Plus a big endorsement from Rudy. Clinton is the carpetbagger and frankly after the Orlando attack folks there are very uneasy about being next. Trump speaks New Yorkese , Clinton speaks BS.
New Mexico might be close but I think Trump takes it(Republican Governor after all and she did endorse Trump)
Michigan and Wisconsin? Yes. People want their jobs back here in the US.
For reference here's the electoral map for 1980 and keep in mind what the MSM was saying before the election:
look, if NY thought of Hitlery as a carpet bagger she wouldn’t have been picked twice as a Sinator.
I would love to see Trump make NY competitive, but I don’t see evidence that he is doing so.