(Knowing Silver got North Catolina wrong in 2008, his 2016 forecast is meaningless.)
As I mentioned earlier, his overall history is pretty amazing. He may have gotten a state wrong. Does that explain away literally everything he’s nailed? He got all 50 states 100% correct in 2012.
That being said, this whole election is very fluid right now. As long as trump sticks to speeches and TelePrompTers, he tends to move in the right direction. Hitlery has stayed the course. Her only headway is when he makes outlandish statements that the media runs away with.
Silver’s election forecast about Trump was 100% wrong everytime in the last year. I watched him closely this year since an anti-Trumper told me he was better than sliced bread. Silver usually tried to ignore Trump hoping he would go away.
He’s not all that great not at all. Anyone could do what he does if one pays attention. He’d make his final primary predictions only a few hours before a vote after a slew of polls came in making it easy to predict.
The liberal media and their pollsters have now made a pivot being all-in for Hillary that was not seen as much in the Republican primary elections where their liberal bias was down a few pegs. With the media polls in the general election being skewed and slanted against Trump as I routinely see looking at the internals when it is possible. Little liberal Natey is going to get it wrong again about Tump and a lot wrong.