[MotorCityBuck]

By Winning.

[Utmost Certainty]

Trump’s latest delegate count is 695.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/delegate-targets/republicans/

[Parley Baer]

He should get 8 from Carson. Then he will need to round up some “loose” delegates. I am quite sure the Trump team is already hard at work with the delegates. Trump has very good advisors.

[ripnbang]

Actually, I think Trump is at 700 after the reapportionment of Rubio’s Alaska delegates. Therefore, by your math, he’s over the 1,237.

[RushIsMyTeddyBear]

If that is what is needed.....start a hashtag #1337 (leet, in cyber-speak) and shoot for that number. Would be a pretty good meme.

[SamAdams76]

Basically Trump is going to end up with more delegates than anybody else, whether he gets to the 1237 or not. He will then make the necessary deals to obtain the balance between the final primaries and the convention so that he wins on the first vote.

Trump will be the nominee.

[Katya]

I thought Utah’s delegates will be split proportionally? pretty sure he’ll get some of those

[FreedBird]

Is Cruz really a Canadian citizen? Is Kasich’s Trump’s running mate?

[blueplum]

I go to:
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/delegate-targets/

scroll down past each individual candidate chart to the list of primaries by state by date and what totals each candidate needs each primary.

Currently, Trump is at 97% goal. If he wins Arizona, he needs only 9 delegates from Utah to stay on target. Anything more is gravy and pushes him over 100% goal.

[deport]

Several Trump Math threads here. enjoy reading and playing along.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/search?m=all;o=time;q=quick;s=trump%20math

[mouse1]

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/

[siamesecats]

NJ might help, we are on June 7th, don’t know how many we have, RCP is down.

[Utmost Certainty]

Oh, and btw the math on this has pretty much been done:

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/03/16/upshot/trump-cruz-kasich-republican-delegate-lead.html

[ChuteTheMall]

I get a total of 1050 thru April, and 1213 thru May, and on June 7 he only needs New Jersey.

Literal, actual back-of-the-envelope scribbling & ciphering;
Some states had no recent polls on RCP, so lots of guesses which assume splitting the proportional votes, Trump still taking the WTA’s until June.

AZ 3/22 Winner Take All 58 for Trump
UT 3/22 Proportional 40 (say half) 20 for Trump
WI 4/5 WTA 42 for Trump
NY 4/19 WTA 95 for Trump
CT 4/26 WTA 28 for Trump
PA “........WTA 71 for Trump
RI “......Proportional 19 (say half) 9 for Trump
DE “......WTA 16 for Trump
MD “.....WTA 38 for Trump
Thru April, this adds 377 to 673 total = 1050

---

IN 5/3 WTA 57 for Trump
NE 5/10 WTA 36 for Trump
WV 5/10 Direct 34 for Trump
OR 5/17 Prop. 28 (say half) 14 for Trump
WA 5/24 Prop 44 (say half) 22 for Trump
Thru May, another 163 + 1050 = 1213 of 1237 needed
_____________________________________________
NJ 6/7 WTA 51 for Trump 1264

And that’s enough, with 27 to spare.

---

But wait, there’s more:
NM 6/7 prop 24 (say half) 12 for Trump
SD 6/7 WTA 29
MT 6/7 WTA 27
Now it’s 1264 + 80 = 1344
_______________________________
Oh wait, I forgot California on 6/7 another WTA with 172
and I skipped ND 4/1 because unbound for 28
and I skipped Samoa because unbound for 9
........................................................................................
So there is plenty of margin for error left after NJ, and which WTA states could Cruz actually take away from Trump?]/

[X-spurt]

Figures don’t lie, but lots of liars figure.

Win them or go to 2nd ballot.

[RockyTx]

is Pennsylvania really 71.bound.delegates, winner take all?

if so, Wikipedia has an error

[PGalt]

Interesting post/thread. Thanks to all posters.

[GLDNGUN]

Been there, done that - http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/3410261/posts

[wardaddy]

Trump is at 696

[trebb]

Having Cruz play spoiler will not bode well for the process - he needs to decide if he’s for winning the WH and keeping Hillary out of it, or if he’s for Ted Cruz and F-— the WH as long as he keeps Trump out of it......