But have we seen low voter--or high voter turnout so far? My understanding is compared to Republican primaries 4 and 8 years ago, turnout has been much higher.
Given past understanding, I would have assumed Trump should be finished by now. He often says things that make many--even me at times-cringe, but shortly thereafter his poll numbers go up, not down.
I don't think this year's election can fit in any past template.
Things are really different.
The primaries are higher, but primaries are a view into the more politically active. The dynamic of a two person race is different from one with several. Also, primary numbers are small in comparison to the general.
Even if the trend of higher total turnout carries over, what about the negative numbers? Wouldn’t they carry over as well? And what happens in a two person race due to the low second choice numbers? Will those primary voters stay home in the general?