Posted on 03/01/2016 11:31:37 PM PST by Citizen Zed
Can Rubio, Kasich and Carson give their delegates to Cruz?
(Excerpt) Read more at google.com ...
Currently Trump 285. All others 280. Cruz called the other candidates to unite in his S.T. speech.
Will Cruz disavow this endorsement?
Google says ...
1,237 needed for nomination · 1,900 available
So that’s 2/3 needed.
Who knows how this will end?
So far we have had 15 primaries/caucuses with their delegate counts set. Including Guam, U.S. Virgin Islands, District of Columbia, American Samoa, Northern Mariana Islands, and Puerto Rico, there are 41 more to go. Cruz has supposedly spent $41 million so far. That’s $2.7 million per caucus/primary. Multiply that by 41 and you get $110.7 million.
Trump has spent $23.9 million. At that rate he will have spent $65.3 million in the 41 yet to go.
I might add that places like Guam with only 9 delegates may cost much less than the $2.7 million. However, with the 15 states counted so far, you already have had states with big and small delegate counts.
Things will get real spendy in the race from the Convention to November 8, 2016 (Election Day). Some have estimated it will a $billion. After what Cruz has spent so far, he only has $13.6 million on hand. That’s a huge amount of money he will have to raise through the entire process. For a look at all the numbers to make your eyes roll like a slot machine, go here:
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/us/elections/election-2016-campaign-money-race.html
This thing is turning out to be one hell of a crap shoot!
I would have just to have a little moose at the Palin’s who would be worth the cost just to enjoy their hospitality.
It’s so nice, I have already posted it twice. :)
Was that based on polls or was that a guestimate?
There’s a large number of delegates that are not being counted yet. When you look at the stats and they show, for instance, Trump having 28 delegates and Cruz 2 in Alabama, Alabama has 50 delegates. So we are not seeing the whole counts yet. Trump will be much further ahead when those are assigned.
I once held a sign for der Hildebeast that said, “Why take the bus, fly yo’ broom!!” If Cruz flapped his arms, he could go as one of her Flying Monkeys! LOL!
On that theme, Michael Savage said on his Friday Night radio broadcast that when he looks at Cruz on the TV with the sound muted and his eyes squinted, he looks exactly like a Count Dracula commercial. In a way, I think Cruz is sucking the blood out of Trump’s quest to the nomination. He could as well be one of der Hildebeast’s Flying Monkeys if a brokered convention throws in someone like Mitt Romney for another loss in 2016.
I have Cruz at 223, Trump at 241, Rubio at 110 - all not counting Alaska.
So it is your math - not mine, that is wrong - actually, it’s probably not so much wrong as it is incomplete. Check in the morning and you’ll find you have left out a bunch of delegates from Cruz’s total as well as from the others.
Trump is only 241 or so, way under the 250 that was supposed to be his minimum.
Sarah helped Trump in Alaska. Both Trump and Cruz each won 11 delegates. Alaska did nothing to help either candidate. All it did was drain a few more delegates of the 1237 delegates Trump will need to win the nomination. So far, Trump has 285 delegates and Cruz has 160. My big question, is why is Rubio, with only 87 delegates, is he staying in the race?
Unfortunately it is probably because the GOP establishment wants to steal the nomination from Trump in a brokered convention.
Where are you getting your numbers? I have got numbers from Bloomberg Politics which is linked from the Drudge Report and the New York Times site. Both sites agree with each other. At the Bloomberg site, you put your cursor on the Super Tuesday state and the numbers for delegate count appears (along with vote percentage). For the count of the total delegates each candidate has received since this thing started in Iowa, go to the top where it shows this:
Donald Trump: 285, Ted Cruz: 160, Marco Rubio: 87, John Kasich: 25, Ben Carson: 8, Jeb Bush: 4, Carly Fiorina: 1, Mike Huckabee: 1, Rand Paul: 1, Not yet allocated: 1,900
Here is the page that shows Bloomberg’s numbers:
http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/graphics/2016-delegate-tracker/
Bloomberg’s delegate allocations are incomplete. Take Texas, forexample, it only has 77 out of 155 allocated.
That the GOPe wants to use a brokered convention to steal the nomination is what I am hearing. However, with Trump’s triumph on Super Tuesday, there is such a thing as momentum. the GOPe may have got off the block too late. Also, I think Trump is actually starting to look and act Presidential. I see a good change in him.
Winner takes all states soon. Florida and Ohio are winner take all.
A state has Bound Delegates which are committed delegates based on their state votes. These committed delegate numbers are what I am using and what all the sites are using. States can have a certain number of uncommitted delegates. These delegates technically can cast their votes for whomever they choose. Here are the states involved in Super Tuesday. The delegate number in front of the “/” are the committed delegates (bound delegates). The delegate numbers after the “/” are the uncommitted delegates. Then, the real math happens when you factor in the candidates who meet the threshold percentage number. How the math is done is a mystery to me. For instance, don’t ask me how Georgia with a possible 76 delegates has only 61 allocated. The states:
• Alabama Primary (50 total delegates/47 bound) — Proportional with 20% threshold
• Alaska Caucuses (28/25) — Proportional with 13% threshold
• Arkansas Primary (40/37) ¬— Proportional with 15% threshold
• Georgia Primary (76) — Proportional with 20% threshold
• Massachusetts Primary (42/39) — Proportional with 5% threshold
• Minnesota Caucuses (38/35) — Proportional with 10% threshold
• Oklahoma Primary (43/40) — Proportional with 15% threshold
• Tennessee Primary (58/55) — Proportional with 20% threshold
• Texas Primary (155/152) — Proportional with 20% threshold
• Vermont Primary (16/13) — Proportional with 20% threshold
• Virginia Primary (49/46) — Proportional
The New York Times:
The difference is that this page estimates the full totals for the day (excluding Alaska), but you are looking at only some of the delegates allocated.
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