Suffolk University/USA Today Poll Shows Clinton & Trump Holding Primary Leads

suffolk.edu ^ | February 17

[Helicondelta]

Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and businessman Donald Trump continue to hold leads in their respective parties as presidential primary season picks up, according to a recent Suffolk University/USA Today national poll of likely voters.

Clinton leads Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders 50 percent to 40 percent among Democrats and Democratic leaning-voters, with 10 percent still undecided. This is a significant change from a Suffolk University/USA TODAY poll taken two months ago, when Clinton led Sanders by 27 points (56 percent to 29 percent).

On the Republican side, Trump (35 percent) holds a solid lead over Texas Sen. Ted Cruz (20 percent) and Florida Sen. Marco Rubio (17 percent). Trailing behind are Ohio Gov. John Kasich (7 percent), former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush (6 percent), and neurosurgeon Ben Carson (4 percent), with 12 percent undecided.

"The New Hampshire primary was more than just the allocation of a few party delegates from a small state. As voters digest the results, we are finding shifts in national opinion from coast to coast," said David Paleologos, director of Suffolk University Political Research Center in Boston. "What happens next week in Nevada's caucuses and the South Carolina primaries also will have an impact."

[LS]

This was the one I couldn’t post earlier. FR gave me some warning box. Anyway, glad you got it posted.

[stephenjohnbanker]

When I was a kid, Suffolk was where you went if you got TD everywhere else : )

[Helicondelta]

[SamAdams76]

So when’s that national primary everyone keeps yip-yip-yapping about?

[HarleyLady27]

Huffington Post: Trump 37.5%; Cruz 18.5%; Rubio 16.4%; Carson 8.4%; Kasich 5.5%; Bush 5.4%

Morning Consult: 2/15-2/16

Trump 41%; Rubio 14%; Cruz 12% Carson 11%; Kasich 3%; Bush 7%

Suffolk/USA Today: 2/14-2/16

Trump 35%; Cruz 20%; Rubio 17%; Carson 4%; Kasich 7%; Bush 4%

Quinnipiac Poll: 2/10-2/15

Trump 39%; Rubio 19%; Cruz 18%; Carson 4%; Kasich 6%; Bush 4%

[fortheDeclaration]

Hillary is dropping like a stone!

[SC_Republican]

Strange to see the Trumpets’ all agog about a little poll....

https://trumpquestions.com/

[BigEdLB]

Post it from Suffolk, USA Today is on the Copyright list. Offended lefty newspaper, you know.

[Jeff Head]

I have been keeping a running average of four major polls since September, each week or two.

This time I have added the actual Primary votes in because those are the ones that count. So what you have is the average numbers between the four latest major polls and the two actual votes to date, IA and NH. I will add the other primaries in as they come.

This is what that average produces this wee as of today, Wednesday, February 17, 2016:

A little erosion overall for Trump, but he is still maintaining a significant lead. Rubio is climbing...as is Kasich. Carson has fallen way off, Bush remains down low.

[scooby321]

One try every one but 1

[ironman]

Thank you for your poll analysis work. I like to study the data and trends.

[StAnDeliver]

If you take out the special sauce in the NBC/WSJ (their peculiar sudden change in weighting aka Murdoch trying to accomplish through WSJ what he couldn't lift at Fox), and reverse that MoE, it almost completely correlates to this Suffolk.

[StAnDeliver]

"When I was a kid, Suffolk was where you went if you got TD everywhere else"

Not Northeastern? Then again, once you drop past BU, does it really matter...