Joe, SC has re-elected that lite in the loafers Graham repeatedly and elected Nikki Haley. SC may claim evangelical but they don’t seem to live it strongly. I think SC will be a tough sell for Cruz and maybe even Trump. I have family there and they find the voters weird. I will give Cruz he has a strong group on the ground there.
Go Trump
Graham is from South Carolina and the incumbent. Trump isn’t. South Carolina dumped Romney in 2012 for the more conservative Gingrich, despite Romney’s big win in New Hampshire.
Plus even in South Carolina, Graham continued to poll in very low figures for the GOP primaries.