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To: Windflier

The General, if I remember correctly.

I remember they were all excited before the election and then just couldn’t believe the outcome.

Granted we know there was wide-spread cheating going on, but never believe the infallibility of the polls at any stage of the race.

Nor the inevitability of any candidate as declared by anyone.

Reagan was down by 30+% after the primaries in 1979 and went on to be Carter by I believe 10%.

Cruz started out at 3% against Dewhurst and won pulling away by 10%.


23 posted on 02/01/2016 9:16:05 PM PST by SoConPubbie (Mitt and Obama: They're the same poison, just a different potency)
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To: SoConPubbie
...never believe the infallibility of the polls at any stage of the race. Nor the inevitability of any candidate as declared by anyone.

I'm there with ya. I never said that polls are anything more than a predictive tool, but predicting the Iowa Caucus through polling is notoriously difficult. Regular primary states, not as much.

You're also correct in saying that we shouldn't count any candidate out until a mathematical impossibility presents itself. I'll never forget how perplexed I was that McCain wound up as our nominee in 2008.

32 posted on 02/01/2016 9:21:29 PM PST by Windflier (Pitchforks and torches ripen on the vine. Left too long, they become black rifles.)
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