How many of the 25 proportional states have a 20% threshold? And are you sure that you have current rules?
I’m not too worried, in that whatever makes things hard for Trump should make it nearly impossible for Bush and everyone trailing him, but I’m glad to hear that somebody has run the numbers. One question though, what if Cruz gets above 20% as well?
delegates needed to win nomination 1236
winner take all states: pledged delegates
south carolina 50
Florida 99
illinois 69
missouri 49
ohio 66
arizona 58
wisconsin 42
delaware 16
maryland 38
pennsylvania 71
indiana 54
nebraska 36
california 169
montana 27
new jersey 51
south dakota 26
Proportional states with 20% threshold
Georgia 76
Texas 152
Vermont 13
Tennessee 55
Louisiana 43
Puerto Rico 23
Idaho 32
New York 92
Washington 41
Total delegates Trump guaranteed 1448
Total needed to win 1236
I am not sure how a brokered convention happens.
Some states have 20 as a threshold, some 10, and some 5. None have 3, so, .outside of Florida, Bush is out of Luck