I have drunk deeply of the Apple kool-aid, and I own many Apple products.
I predict right here that the Apple watch will flop and Tim Cook will resign.
I know you predict a flop for the Apple watch, but this seems all too familiar to the pre-phone so called smart phone market.
I was an early smart phone adopter - I owned ‘em all. I too, wondered why the iPhone would be different, after all, it was far inferior to the phone i owned at the time, the Sony Ericsson P800. I mean, the P800 had a detachable hard keypad, touch screen, better battery life, and on and on....but what it didn’t have was good software, and an eco-system.
I predict Apple will sell more smart watches than all the competitors put together.
If, for example only 2 or 3 out of 100 iPhone (worldwide) buys the thing on a lark then they will sell MILLIONS, which is of course more than anyone else has managed.
Also, iPhone is “where the money” is at. The average in phone purchases are iPhone vs Android or Windows Phone is a multiple of 3-5x.
And if apple gets a few more iterations (maybe 3) they can dominate the market they create.
I think apple suffers from high expectations. everybody thinks they have it completely evolved before they introduce it. :)
I showed my cousin a part of the Apple Event where one of the engineers showed how the Apple Watch worked with various daily activities. She was AMAZED at what she saw and was wowed by the technology.
It was like what I told her earlier ... “The Apple Watch is not a watch!” ... LOL ...
FLOP?! No ... it will be a success. All you have to do is wait and see, just like you have with the iPod, iTunes, iPhone, iPad, etc.
I too have drunk deeply of the Apple kool-aid. In my family/business we are up to (in current use):
3 Macbooks
1 Macbook Air
5 iPads
7 iPhones
3 iMacs
2 Mac Pros
2 Mac Minis
1 Apple TV
2 iPods
1 Airport/Time Machine
I even own stock.
While I will not be rushing out to buy the Watch, it is on my radar. I think, like the iPad, the version 2 will be much better than the premier device. Also, like the iPad, this device will be far more useful and integrated into everyday life than people expect now.
As for it being a hit - I predict in two years unit sales of the Watch will exceed that of the iPad and that over 60% of iPhone users will own an Apple Watch.