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USGS Forecast: Chances Of Magnitude-8 Earthquake Up 7 Percent
CBSLA.com) ^

Posted on 03/10/2015 2:24:35 PM PDT by BenLurkin

The good news is there’s less of a chance of a magnitude-6.7 earthquake hitting California in the coming years, but the bad news is that the likelihood of a magnitude-8 or large hitting in the next 30 years jumped from 4.7 percent to 7 percent.

...

“The new likelihoods are due to the inclusion of possible multi-fault ruptures, where earthquakes are no longer confined to separate, individual faults, but can occasionally rupture multiple faults simultaneously,” according to USGS scientist Ned Field. “This is a significant advancement in terms of representing a broader range of earthquakes throughout California’s complex fault system.”

(Excerpt) Read more at losangeles.cbslocal.com ...


TOPICS: Local News
KEYWORDS:

1 posted on 03/10/2015 2:24:35 PM PDT by BenLurkin
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To: BenLurkin

California with an eight would bankrupt the nation.

Oh, we are already bankrupt.

Never mind.


2 posted on 03/10/2015 2:27:12 PM PDT by hadaclueonce (It is not heaven, it is Iowa. Everyone gets a "Corn Check")
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To: hadaclueonce

California with an eight would bankrupt the nation.

Oh, we are already bankrupt.

Never mind.


Kinda like a murderer on death row murdering a guard.


3 posted on 03/10/2015 2:28:44 PM PDT by cuban leaf (The US will not survive the obama presidency. The world may not either.)
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To: BenLurkin

4 posted on 03/10/2015 2:40:52 PM PDT by Theoria (I should never have surrendered. I should have fought until I was the last man alive)
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To: BenLurkin

5 posted on 03/10/2015 2:46:14 PM PDT by TADSLOS (The Event Horizon has come and gone. Buckle up and hang on.)
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To: hadaclueonce

An 8 would bankrupt us, but a 10 could save us a lot of money :)


6 posted on 03/10/2015 2:48:18 PM PDT by CrappieLuck
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To: BenLurkin

I predict between now and 2020 California will have at least 10 earthquakes ranging from 4.0 to 7.

See how easy it is to make a near certain guess? Cause that’s all they’re doing.


7 posted on 03/10/2015 2:59:44 PM PDT by Usagi_yo (White privilege? No. White Liberal Privilege? Yes.)
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To: BenLurkin

To those of you in my birth state who remain for whatever reason (Peace be Upon You), no man knows the date of the big one’s coming or even a littler one. Just don’t ignore the dog’s unusual promptings as it may be a sign the big one is near. Of course, you wont know for sure until you get the dog out to his favorite spot.


8 posted on 03/10/2015 3:23:06 PM PDT by CARTOUCHE (Professionally trained and licensed BS detector. References on demand.)
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To: BenLurkin

93%= ain’t gonna happen.


9 posted on 03/10/2015 3:27:09 PM PDT by Mark (Obama Care is now DEMOCRAT CARE)
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To: BenLurkin
"USGS Forecast: Chances Of Magnitude-8 Earthquake Up 7 Percent"

And they can possibly know this with anywhere near this level of precision just HOW? These are the same quacks and charlatans telling us first about "Global Warming" and failing even the flimsiest evidence of this changed their BS to "Climate Change". I believe we used to refer to that a weather when I was a kid. The older I get the more I wonder just how stupid people can be without forgetting to breath.

10 posted on 03/10/2015 4:27:51 PM PDT by Desron13
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To: BenLurkin
I'm confused about this magnititude-8 or whatever number is used.

The Richter scale isn't a measurement of 1-10. Here's what I heard how the Richter scale works.

The Richter scale is logarithmic, meaning that whole-number jumps indicate a tenfold increase. In this case, the increase is in wave amplitude. That is, the wave amplitude in a level 6 earthquake is 10 times greater than in a level 5 earthquake, and the amplitude increases 100 times between a level 7 earthquake and a level 9 earthquake. The amount of energy released increases 31.7 times between whole number values.

Without knowing what the measurement of the first earthquake, how can anyone predict what the second earthquake will measure?

Does anyone understand what the USGS is predicting?

11 posted on 03/10/2015 4:37:52 PM PDT by A Cyrenian (Don't worry about stuffing the bus or filling the fridge. Try filling the Church.)
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To: BenLurkin
Aren't journalists required to pass even High School math?

An increase in the probability of a magnitude 8 earthquake from 4.7 to 7 percent is a 48% increase.

"Ceterum censeo 0bama esse delendam."

Garde la Foi, mes amis! Nous nous sommes les sauveurs de la République! Maintenant et Toujours!
(Keep the Faith, my friends! We are the saviors of the Republic! Now and Forever!)

LonePalm, le Républicain du verre cassé (The Broken Glass Republican)

12 posted on 03/10/2015 4:49:25 PM PDT by LonePalm (Commander and Chef)
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To: Mark

“Science” has told us for years that the San Andreas can never kick in anything higher than a high 6 magnitude....


13 posted on 03/10/2015 4:52:41 PM PDT by ErnBatavia (It ain't a "hashtag"....it's a damn pound sign. ###)
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To: CrappieLuck

That’d be a lot funnier if I didn’t live so close.


14 posted on 03/10/2015 5:30:51 PM PDT by gundog (Help us, Nairobi-Wan Kenobi...you're our only hope.)
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To: BenLurkin

The sky is falling, the earth is cracking....cue the little stick figures running around screaming and shouting.


15 posted on 03/10/2015 7:00:42 PM PDT by Conservative4Ever (Het Hillary, liar, liar pants on fire.)
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To: BenLurkin

The sky is falling, the earth is cracking....cue the little stick figures running around screaming and shouting.


16 posted on 03/10/2015 7:04:52 PM PDT by Conservative4Ever (Hey Hillary, ... liar, liar pants on fire.)
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