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To: Perdogg; campaignPete R-CT

They gotta beat them Seahawks or hope the Rams beat the Hawks in Week 17 to win the division. Yes?

I would question that there is a 63% chance that will happen. But I hope so!!


192 posted on 12/14/2014 9:56:18 PM PST by Impy (They pull a knife, you pull a gun. That's the CHICAGO WAY, and that's how you beat the rats!)
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To: Impy

Go ‘Hawks, baby!


194 posted on 12/14/2014 10:15:55 PM PST by Lexinom
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To: Impy; Perdogg

THAT site assumes every game is 50/50 ... except home team has advantage ... so they assume AZ has better than 50% to beat SEAHawks.

there is no site that I know that does it right.

SEA is 7pt favorite.


195 posted on 12/14/2014 10:35:43 PM PST by campaignPete R-CT (Let the dead bury the dead. Let the GOP bury the GOP.)
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To: Impy; Perdogg

the “moneyline” on SEA vs AZ game:
AZ has about 80% chance to win.

http://www.oddsshark.com/nfl/odds

380/480 = ~ 80%

so you are correct that the numbers at playoffstatus.com do not reflect reality. AZ is the home team, so Az is a slight favorite to win per playoffstatus.com, as are all home teams.

my calculation on AZ to win DIV:
80% x 90% = 72%.

they must win vs AZ (80%) and also
avoid losing ground in week 17 (avoid both SEA loss and AZ win):
1- (15% SEA loss x 65% AZ win ) = 1 - 10% = 90%


211 posted on 12/15/2014 2:26:25 PM PST by campaignPete R-CT (Let the dead bury the dead. Let the GOP bury the GOP.)
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