[PA Engineer]

Well......That news is going to be disappointing to some...

Who? Why would you post what you just did?

Your understanding of the situation is somewhat out of date.

That alone should tell you something...The initial outbreak being 12 cases per day, has only doubled to 23.5 cases in what is now months...

You posted that on the 17th. The initial outbreak was one in December.

I think people would feel relieved, especially those in the medical profession.

[Cold Heat]

I have not changed my position on that.

I still see a tapering of the spread of new cases. It’s a signal that the outbreak is under a tenuous but statistical control.

Previous outbreaks are pretty useless to use as a guide as they did not reach densely populated areas with transportation.

Unless the bugger jumps to the East and Central continent, or flares up in another backward population, I don’t see it getting any more dangerous than it is today, although it has recently exceeded my estimates of total dead, which was 1200+, it’s speed of spread (new cases) has slowed to closer match the expected death rates of 60-70% which to me indicates that the wild spread has moderated a lot.

[Cold Heat]

You posted that on the 17th. The initial outbreak was one in December

Actually I was commenting on those numbers, posted by lafroste. You might want to read the entire post. Those numbers were his calculations from july of this year. So the time span was July to August.

If you do a similar calc from August to September, when we get there....

We can discuss it then..and we will have something to talk about.