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I have not changed my position on that.

I still see a tapering of the spread of new cases. It’s a signal that the outbreak is under a tenuous but statistical control.

Previous outbreaks are pretty useless to use as a guide as they did not reach densely populated areas with transportation.

Unless the bugger jumps to the East and Central continent, or flares up in another backward population, I don’t see it getting any more dangerous than it is today, although it has recently exceeded my estimates of total dead, which was 1200+, it’s speed of spread (new cases) has slowed to closer match the expected death rates of 60-70% which to me indicates that the wild spread has moderated a lot.