Since 10/20, RCP avg of Ohio has Obama’s lead dropping .4. In that time the D advantage has gone from D+5.5 to D+6.6. More Ds, but slips.
Margin of errors = dead heat.
Undecideds break for challenger about 3-1 usually. Very close. Momentum on Mitt’s side.
Turnout was huge in 08 for Obama. Not this time. Toss up but looking good.
Three of those polls have it tied and only one has Obama at 50%. His average is 47.9%; being that for below 50% is very bad news for an incumbent.
The one good thing about all those recent polls, which are tied or an Obama lead- Obama is below 50% as an incumbent. So hopefully the undecideds will vote for Romney.