Margin of errors = dead heat.
Undecideds break for challenger about 3-1 usually. Very close. Momentum on Mitt’s side.
Turnout was huge in 08 for Obama. Not this time. Toss up but looking good.
“Huge” is relative. There were 300,000 more RV in 2008 than 2004, but only 50K more votes. Neither candidate excited Ohioans that hugely, especially not McCain. He got 62K fewer votes than even Kerry pulled in 2004.