I’ll take a stab at a guess.
Guys take the reward challenge but even after the rain the girls stage a comeback and win the IC.
Colton bluffs with the II but does not have to play it as the misfits lead by Colton vote off Matt.
At the end of the episode Colton giggles and waves the II during a secret scene.
Hey, I’m batting 0% on the lottery also.