Posted on 12/11/2011 2:05:10 PM PST by Sparky21555
This is purely a gut check question. After the dust settles, whom do you believe will be the one. Not the one you may wish for, as I know it won't be mine.
That’s easy. A RINO.
It is enough for me to know that it is worth saying that I’d just as soon not read more of your remarks out here on this site.
You have a case of the ass against her and that is understandable, I think.
You did not take my query seriously and so then I will not take you as such.
I would guesstimate, at this point in time, that it currently looks like, in order of the chance of getting the nomination:
1. Newt
2. Mitt
3. Rick (Perry)
I’m leaning towards Perry as he is the most conservative of the three, but I’m not optimistic that he has enough time to get back in the race and take the nomination.
“It is enough for me to know that it is worth saying that I’d just as soon not read more of your remarks out here on this site.”
Is there another site that you WOULD like to read them on?
“You have a case of the ass against her and that is understandable, I think.”
Actually no, I hold no ill will for the woman whatsoever and can easily back up everything that I said to you about her. The neat thing is that I don’t have to, you know exactly what I am talking about. You have chosen to ignore her shortcomings, failings and more disturbing parts of her nature and appearance because you like her politically. I too like her politically, but not enough to overlook those things that I have brought up to you.
“You did not take my query seriously and so then I will not take you as such.”
I took your question extremely serious and answered in kind with no sarcasm nor tongue in cheek. You don’t like the answer I gave you?
Put some ice on it.
I have a feeling it will be Newt but following the polls, the voters seem to have a very short attention span and jump to whomever is making news that week.
It is going to be down to who gets good soundbites and consistently avoids or deals best with whatever dirt is thrown at them.
Newt is quick on his feet but those feet can sometimes end up in his mouth. He has, however, already shown he is pretty teflon regarding his marriage issues. People know it and aren’t shocked by it.
The Perry from five years ago I used to know could have done well but I’m very disappointed in his debates. He used to have a good with and sharp comeback. I really don’t know what happened during the primary this year.
Romney and Paul seem to stay flat with their percentages. They have their loyal followers but outside those groups, they are unattractive enough to bring in any new followers. This will pretty much guarantee in the primaries Romney will get around 20% and Paul around 10% no matter what happens with them or other candidates. For Romney, that could result in success only if all the other candidates are sufficiently damaged and split the votes amongst themselves rather evenly to keep them all below 20%.
Bachmann came out of the gate strong and had potential but is blowing it. One thing, she is being seen as a tool for the attacks, usually jumping in the mud (see the 999/666 comments by her). It is turning a lot of folks off. Secondly, she has some great lines in the debates but then she keeps going and going and people forget the good lines. She has a potential to turn it around if she sharpens up a little and starts working on national attention that she can control (similar to how Perry has already started national advertising).
Santorum seems to be immune from attacks but has the dull factor that probably won’t lift him past the single digits. He needs to do something really amazing, really quickly or people will still be saying Santorum Who?.
Huntsman isn’t going anywhere. He has debated well but comes across fake. He isn’t trusted by Conservatives or undecided voters. He has a very small following, probably by those who have crossed off everyone else.
With all that, right now, based on the timing, I am predicting it will be Newt. If he can win the first few primiaries, he can control the momentum. It won’t be pretty and there will be some interesting fights.
However, the media will work their damnedest to make sure the primary lasts as long as possible and leaves everyone bloody. I could see where Newt takes Iowa and SC and then due to the liberal nature of the State as well as the growing libertarian population, Paul takes New Hampshire. The media will exploit this knowing Paul won’t be able to repeat that in other States so they will start promoting him and saying Newt is on his way out. Newt will then battle out some of the next States with Romney due to that beating. It will come down to numbers until some of the big States vote. I have a feeling it will still be open until Texas, whose primary is being moved out due to redistricting lawsuits. Whomever finally gets Texas will have the momentum for the rest of the primary.
I can get rather sarcastic myself at times.
I am almost famous for that quality in some corners and so I appreciate your comments more than it likely shows, (especially considering my comments a few minutes ago.)
I have not been very active on FR a lot for a good while now and so I do not really yet have a complete sense of who now is who out here these days and I need to get my bearings a bit.
I like Michele a lot more than I like Newt or Mitt. Perry seems lost every time that they turn on the red light and start asking questions.
I have voted for Romney twice in the past. Once for Senator and later for Governor. He simply is not worthy of a higher station as far as I am concerned.
The only two persons that I am absolutely that I will not be voting for next year is Mitt and or the Zero.
Nobody else is ruled out here by this Poster.’
Who do you support?
“I like Michele a lot more than I like Newt or Mitt. Perry seems lost every time that they turn on the red light and start asking questions.”
I could have written that very statement.
“I have voted for Romney twice in the past. Once for Senator and later for Governor. He simply is not worthy of a higher station as far as I am concerned.”
I can honestly tell you that I can fathom no scenario under which I vote for Romney. None.
“Who do you support?”
Support? No one. My tagline should tell you who I am resigned to probably having to vote for.
It's good to see a poster who is wary of polls. And your comment is right on the mark.
There are a lot of votes yet to be cast.
Yes indeed (all of the Primary votes in fact). Another on-the-mark comment.
My gut tells me Perry will overcome his difficulties and rise to the top.
I don't know if your gut is right, but I don't think Gov. Perry should be written off as easily as some apparently think. Time will certainly tell. We live in interesting times for sure.
Gingrich. It will be over by South Carolina.
I too like her politically, but not enough to overlook those things that I have brought up to you.
So another words you chose your candidates based on looks? That does not seem the best way to pick a candidate for President of the United States.
I think it will be Perry.
People will see that Newt is simply an ill fit. Perry will be given a second chace,
If not, I think it will be Romney though I do not endorse him.
“So another words you chose your candidates based on looks?”
She has crazy eyes. That is beyond “looks.”
If I had to place a $10,000 bet on a quadfecta ticket for the Iowa Caucus, here would be my picks:
1) Rick Perry to WIN
2) Ron Paul to PLACE
3) Michele Bachmann to SHOW
4) Newt Gingrich
Sorry Mittens, No Soup for You!
Riders Up!!
She has crazy eyes. That is beyond “looks.”
lol. Maybe she has a lazy eye or something. That definitely does not disqualify her from the Presidency. I would vote for him in a minute. She is the smartest of the bunch without baggage.
She is by far SO NOT the smartest of the bunch. Not that the smartest is all that great.
She also can’t hold on to her staff. In five years she has gone through at least five chiefs of staff. I read somewhere that she also had three acting chiefs, if that is correct it’s a total of eight. Same thing with her press secretary and other key positions in any Congressional office.
She has a good voting record but I don’t see her as having executive experience. I wish she would just keep her seat and forget about seeking the presidency.
Sorry, but this was the thinking in 2008 that got him INTO office. Toss up a RINO that leaves the conservatives uninspired and hope for turnout. I played along and held my nose and voted McCain. How that work out for us?
I couldn't agree more, but it would take a Constitutional amendment at least on the Federal level and the "boneheads" in office won't vote up something that is contrary to their interests.
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