Posted on 08/01/2011 4:58:01 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Tropical Storm Emily has formed in the Eastern Caribbean Sea in an area known as Hebert Box 1. See NHC products for Tropical Storm Watches and Warnings.
Buoy Data:
Caribbean Sea
Florida
The weather channel guys STILL are waffling on the future of the storm.
LOL--keeping the viewers tuned in.
...Emily degenerates into a trough of low pressure...heavy rains continue over Hispaniola...
SINCE ITS INCEPTION...EMILY NEVER HAD A PARTICULARLY ROBUST LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION...AND THE HIGH TERRAIN OF HISPANIOLA CONTRIBUTED SIGNIFICANTLY TO THE FURTHER DEGENERATION OF THE CYCLONE TODAY. SATELLITE...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT EMILY NO LONGER HAS A CLOSED CIRCULATION....AND THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WITH ITS AXIS ALONG 75W. THIS WAS A BIG WIN FOR THE ECMWF GLOBAL MODEL...WHICH NEVER DEVELOPED EMILY AND ALWAYS FORECAST DISSIPATION NEAR HISPANIOLA.
THERE IS STILL A LARGE AREA OF ORGANIZED DISTURBED WEATHER OVER HISPANIOLA ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF EMILY. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST OVER EASTERN CUBA AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS WITH SOME POTENTIAL FOR REGENERATION IN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
EDFA = Emily Done Fell Apart
Yippee! I am still a hurricane newbie even though I have lived in SW FL for three years (knock wood). Yes, I am a wimp.
Thank you for the thread and, I am sure, others to follow. Appreciate your input.
70% chance Emily will regenerate.
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