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Video: Lights Forming Crop Circles
youtube ^

Posted on 02/14/2009 4:03:37 AM PST by JoeProBono

Lights Forming Crop Circles


TOPICS: UFO's; Weird Stuff
KEYWORDS: cropcircles; ufo
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To: navyguy

TYPE I ERROR VS TYPE II ERROR

is standard statistical jargon for testing the null hypothesis.

You can look them up on Wiki

Basically, as I’ve noted above . . . or on another thread . . .

A TYPE I ERROR is saying SOMETHING IS THERE—when there is NOTHING there.

A TYPE II ERROR says that NOTHING IS THERE when THERE IS SOMETHING THERE.

Naysayers seem sooooooooooooooooooooooooooo terminally allergic, soooooooooooooooooo irrationally and obsessively allergic to experiencing a TYPE I ERROR about UFO’s that they

AUTOMATICALLY, INEXORABLY SET THEMSELVES UP

FOR ALMOST A CERTAINTY of a TYPE II ERROR.

And they persistently sound utterly clueless that THAT IS TRUE. And when I point it out—even some with some statistical understanding—they get more irrational and insist:

IS NOT! . . . just because they say so.

Yet they think those of us paying attention to 10’s of thousands of pages and more of the data about UFO’s—that WE’RE the ones being irrational and dumb.

Sheesh.

Thankfully—in some respects—in terms of my ego—which is essentially worthless or worse—they will fall flat on their faces in the mother of all TYPE II ERROR COWPIES . . . or worse.

Are you saying that the CROP CIRCLE was a hoax

OR

that the photo with the light in it WAS A HOAX.

VERY DIFFERENT ISSUES.

The crop circle could certainly have been ‘authentic’ . . . whatever that entails . . . and the light photo of the crop circle could still be hoaxed.

If so, the plant nodes would be consistent with most authentic crop circle plant nodes—zapped.


81 posted on 02/15/2009 6:07:27 PM PST by Quix (LEADRs SAY FRM 1900 2 presnt: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/religion/2130557/posts?page=81#81)
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