Posted on 10/14/2008 4:21:24 PM PDT by nickcarraway
New computer simulations that use three-dimensional geologic and seismic models were unveiled Tuesday morning, and earthquake experts say they will help people better understand the consequences of a temblor on the Hayward fault.
U.S. Geological Survey seismologist Brad Aagaard said the quake simulations, which incorporate dozens of scenarios, can show city planners and emergency managers the various patterns of shaking for which they need to prepare.
"The next big earthquake could happen at any time and we expect a quake of a magnitude between 6.8 and 7.0," Aagaard said.
He noted that Oct. 21 will be the 140th anniversary of the 1868 Hayward earthquake, which was one of the worst ever to hit the Bay Area.
He said the five most recent large earthquakes on the Hayward fault have occurred an average of about 140 years apart, so a repeat could happen at any time.
Joining Aagaard this morning's news conference at California State University, East Bay, Mary Lou Zoback, of Risk Management Solutions, said economic losses caused by shaking damage from a 7.0 quake on the Hayward fault could exceed $200 billion.
Zoback said only 7 or 8 percent of those losses would be covered by insurance.
-PJ
That was my first thought, too. I was wondering what the Quake models were models of? Who wouldn’t want to play Quake as the Saracuda?
Excellent idea! I would play as Saracuda on headhunters.net - Quake servers against the DIMs and collect the heads of Reid, Pelosi, Kennedy, Obama and other uglies.
7 to 8% recovery by insurance is an incredible loss. We’re talking more than cans knocked off the shelf.
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Thanks.
Where are the pics?
Where I live we hope the big one will only be 7.0
I’d have posted them, but I wasn’t sure everyone had the glasses.
Hayward Quake Could Cause Nearly Double Katrina Damage
NBC11 | October 15, 2008
Posted on 10/15/2008 10:37:15 AM PDT by nickcarraway
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