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TS Gustav & TS Hanna
NOAA/NHC ^ | August 28, 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 08/28/2008 8:25:49 AM PDT by NautiNurse

The 2008 peak of hurricane season is ramping up with Gustav and Hanna. The two storms pose threats to the U.S. At least 22 deaths in Hispanola are attributed to Gustav to date, and a Hurricane Warning is in effect for Jamaica. Tropical Storm Hanna has formed in the Atlantic.

Gustav
Hanna


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Buoy Data: Western Caribbean
                  FL and East GOM
                  Western GOM
East Caribbean
West Atlantic
Florida

Forecast Models

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: Breaking News; Front Page News; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: 2008dncconvention; 2008rncconvention; gustav; hannah; hurricane; predictions; tropical
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To: raygun

What is that showing? It almost looks like we have a storm on top of us now?


1,181 posted on 08/30/2008 7:16:52 PM PDT by Amelia
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To: NautiNurse

Ivor Van Heerden, Dep.Dir. LSU Hurricane Center, warns of overtopping and breaching of levees all along the west bank.

I’m trying to undersell this. Based on the current storm, the models show catastrophic levee failure on a broad front on the west bank and great problems for no-grass levees on the east bank.

Wave fields of 3-5 feet every 8-9 seconds.

I’m paraphrasing as best I can.

He’s talking about the angel coming forth and breaking the seal(s).

If Gustav moves slightly east, it gets significantly worse for the east bank.


1,182 posted on 08/30/2008 7:17:03 PM PDT by Petronski (The Vice Presidency is below Sarah Palin's paygrade.)
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To: SE Mom
Baton Rouge, look out.
1,183 posted on 08/30/2008 7:17:20 PM PDT by TornadoAlley3 ('GOP' : Get Our Petroleum)
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To: pnz1

Contraflow will begin 4 a.m. Sunday.


1,184 posted on 08/30/2008 7:18:41 PM PDT by LA Woman3
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To: VirginiaMom

I haven’t watched FOX on this in several hours, and won’t.

Was “Bob” talking to Joe Bastardi?


1,185 posted on 08/30/2008 7:18:47 PM PDT by Petronski (The Vice Presidency is below Sarah Palin's paygrade.)
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To: Petronski

Someone needs to show the local weather guy the models

http://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images/weather/plots/storm_07.gif

Janice Dean is on with (oh not, not him) Geraldo- showed the press conf with Nagin. He was behaving like an adult.

Sound like this storm surge is going to be a nightmare.


1,186 posted on 08/30/2008 7:19:57 PM PDT by SE Mom (Proud mom of an Iraq war combat vet-McCain/Palin 08)
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To: VirginiaMom

Q: Are there any parts of NO at risk of being under water for a long period of time?

Dr. Van Heerden: Any parts of the bowl...


1,187 posted on 08/30/2008 7:20:10 PM PDT by Petronski (The Vice Presidency is below Sarah Palin's paygrade.)
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To: Petronski

I only tuned in briefly. He was drawing a sad face on his weather map and hoping the storm would go in another direction. Then telling people not to evacuate yet. He and the news anchors were very amused with themselves. I’m back wwltv now.

VirginiaMom


1,188 posted on 08/30/2008 7:21:15 PM PDT by VirginiaMom (lost in the wilderness)
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To: Petronski
Dr. Van Heerden: We believe there is going to be very significant levee overtopping.
1,189 posted on 08/30/2008 7:22:06 PM PDT by Petronski (The Vice Presidency is below Sarah Palin's paygrade.)
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To: CindyDawg
Just got a call that they will be here sometine in the morning..."Get a good night's sleep."

It looks like it might be bad around here Tuesday...but we will be on the clean side. We were on the dirty side of Rita about 10 miles from the eye. We left...had a tree on the house.

We had 5 huge pines uprooted and they all had azeleas planted around them...it took months to get a stump grinder and I came very close to having azeleas blooming in the air.

1,190 posted on 08/30/2008 7:22:08 PM PDT by lonestar
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To: Petronski

Pretty chilling interview they’re having with Dr. Van Heerden. Very interesting.

VirginiaMom


1,191 posted on 08/30/2008 7:22:39 PM PDT by VirginiaMom (lost in the wilderness)
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To: VirginiaMom

Perhaps if there is justice someone will pistolwhip him in the parking lot.


1,192 posted on 08/30/2008 7:22:46 PM PDT by Petronski (The Vice Presidency is below Sarah Palin's paygrade.)
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To: Petronski

The fellow from the NHC just told Geraldo this was the worst storm Cuba has had in over 50 years.


1,193 posted on 08/30/2008 7:23:41 PM PDT by SE Mom (Proud mom of an Iraq war combat vet-McCain/Palin 08)
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To: VirginiaMom

I’m going to pray for a westward bend for Gustav.

Dr. Van Heerden is scaring the poop out of me, and I live at 1800 feet....in Penna.


1,194 posted on 08/30/2008 7:24:20 PM PDT by Petronski (The Vice Presidency is below Sarah Palin's paygrade.)
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To: SE Mom

Whorealdo?

Good grief.


1,195 posted on 08/30/2008 7:25:01 PM PDT by Petronski (The Vice Presidency is below Sarah Palin's paygrade.)
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To: lainie
Wish we could see in our crystal ball whether Gustav will weaken.

From what I've heard, with the Gulf waters as warm as they are, the only hope for NOLA would be a high pressure forming to the north, to kick the storm further westward -- sorry Texas -- or high southernly winds to decapitate it.

1,196 posted on 08/30/2008 7:25:10 PM PDT by Mad_Tom_Rackham ("The land of the Free...Because of the Brave")
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To: Amelia

Woops, didn’t mean to alarm you.

That’s next Friday (check the valid date at the top of the image). The first date is the time of the model run, Tau is how many hours out the forecast is.


1,197 posted on 08/30/2008 7:25:32 PM PDT by raygun
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To: Petronski

I’m so grateful that my son and his girlfriend got out of New Orleans this morning. Praise God!

VirginiaMom


1,198 posted on 08/30/2008 7:26:21 PM PDT by VirginiaMom (lost in the wilderness)
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To: Petronski

Jindal should order contraflow be bumped up to 1am.


1,199 posted on 08/30/2008 7:26:55 PM PDT by Petronski (The Vice Presidency is below Sarah Palin's paygrade.)
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To: Petronski

You’re missing Jerry Rivers.


1,200 posted on 08/30/2008 7:27:05 PM PDT by lainie (Never underestimate the power of stupid people in large groups.)
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