Conditions should be favorable for development and already pretty close into the U.S.
Posted on 08/02/2008 11:46:18 AM PDT by nwctwx
Conditions should be favorable for development and already pretty close into the U.S.
Sounds about right. Earlier the warning banner listed all the way over to Austin County and up to Walker Co, which is Huntsville. If all the areas listed actually get some of this rain, it will be the first rain for many of them in a few months. My Dish is back up now. I miss cable.
please add me to your ping list if am not already on it..thanks
Not for their purposes.
Took wife out to dinner this evening and stopped at Home Depot for extra extension cords for generator, no one had a clue a storm was brewing.
Thanks...one can never take a TS too lightly, TS Allison 2001 is a case study....
Know the Weather Channel is not the best resource - but ...looking at http://www.weather.com/maps/news/atlstorm5/gulfofmexicosatellite_large.html
Looks like the storms near you are not related to Eduoardo, are they?
Those are the models. I doubt if 1% of Houston residents have any idea yet.
TWC has lost their objectivity and are adrift in political correctness. There is a tropical storm in the GOM, and they have a special running about how to reduce your carbon footprint while vacationing. sigh.
‘too late’
bwahahahahahah
Hurry up, Eduaordo, cool us down, give us rain!
Still, if I was in Galveston tonight I would be in Shreveport tomorrow night.
bump
I assume they are related, but that’s just an uneducated guess. I missed the Fox weather report and will catch the 10:00 news to see what they say. The thunderstorm that we experienced has passed but the skies are still cloudy and not a star to be seen.
Tropical Storm Public Advisory
Statement as of 10:00 PM CDT on August 03, 2008
...Hurricane Watch issued as Edouard continues slowly westward...
At 10 PM CDT...0300 UTC...the Tropical Storm Warning is extended
westward to Cameron Louisiana. A Tropical Storm Warning is now in
effect from the mouth of the Mississippi River westward to Cameron.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours.
At 10 PM CDT...0300 UTC...the tropical storm watch from west of
Intracoastal City to Port Oconnor Texas is replaced by a Hurricane
Watch. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are
possible within the watch area...generally within 36 hours.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.
At 1000 PM CDT...0300z...the center of Tropical Storm Edouard was
located near latitude 28.1 north...longitude 88.5 west or about 80
miles...125 km...south-southeast of the mouth of the Mississippi
River and about 390 miles...630 km...east of Galveston Texas.
Edouard is moving toward the west near 5 mph...7 km/hr. A turn to
the west-northwest with some increase in forward speed is expected
on Monday...with a west-northwestward motion expected to continue
on Tuesday. By Tuesday morning the center of Edouard is expected
to be very near the Upper Texas coast or the coast of southwestern
Louisiana.
Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph...85 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Some increase in strength is expected tomorrow...and Edouard
could be nearing hurricane strength before reaching the coastline.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 35 miles...55 km
from the center.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb...29.59 inches.
A storm surge of 2 to 4 ft above normal tide levels can be expected
in the warning area in areas of onshore flow.
Edouard is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 2 to 4
inches along portions of the Louisiana coast. Total rain
accumulations of 3 to 5 inches...with isolated maximum amounts of 8
inches are possible over southeastern Texas.
Repeating the 1000 PM CDT position...28.1 N...88.5 W. Movement
toward...west near 5 mph. Maximum sustained winds...50 mph.
Minimum central pressure...1002 mb.
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane
Center at 100 am CDT followed by the next complete advisory at 400
am CDT.
$$
Forecaster Franklin
On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->
My Mom is is Waco. They just had a storm come thru too. Her lights are out.
did it hit 107 as forecast? what’s the humidity like there?
Tropical Storm Edouard Discussion Number 3
Statement as of 11:00 PM EDT on August 03, 2008
the maximum winds are set at 45 kt based on peak flight-level winds
of 54 kt and a visual estimate of 55 kt prior to 00z from the Air
Force reconnaissance aircraft. Since then...convection over the
center has largely diminished...and the earlier intensification
trend has no doubt stopped for the time being. Northerly shear is
still affecting the cyclone...and water vapor imagery shows some
mid-level dry air near and to the north of the center. Global model
guidance indicates that this shear should diminish over the next
day or so...and Edouard could find itself in a difluent upper
environment that would favor intensification as it moves into the
northwestern Gulf. The GFDL...SHIPS...lgem...and superensemble all
make Edouard a hurricane. The latter three models...however...are
heavily influenced by the recent strengthening trend...a trend
which is no longer occurring. Consequently...the official forecast
lies slightly below this guidance...bringing Edouard to just below
hurricane strength.
The initial motion is 270/4. The cyclone is expected to move to the
west and then west-northwest through landfall around the periphery
of mid- to upper-level high pressure over the south-central United
States. Model guidance is in good agreement on this scenario.
However...because Edouard is moving at a very oblique angle to the
coastline...small errors in the forecast track would result in
large differences in the landfall location. Consequently...and as
illustrated by the NHC wind speed probability product...the chances
of experiencing tropical storm conditions are roughly equal from
Morgan City all the way to Galveston Bay. The official forecast is
adjusted slightly north of the previous advisory and is close to
the center of a relatively narrow guidance envelope.
Forecast positions and Max winds
initial 04/0300z 28.1n 88.5w 45 kt
12hr VT 04/1200z 28.2n 89.7w 45 kt
24hr VT 05/0000z 28.6n 91.9w 50 kt
36hr VT 05/1200z 29.3n 94.1w 60 kt
48hr VT 06/0000z 30.0n 96.5w 40 kt...inland
72hr VT 07/0000z 31.0n 101.0w 20 kt...remnant low
96hr VT 08/0000z...dissipated
$$
forecaster Franklin
Latest update has shifted landfall a tad further north. If this holds, Galveston Bay and Houston would be directly in the path of Edouard.
Yup, making a trip to the gas pumps for the generator in the AM.
Thanks for the ping.
Home is Louisiana for us. We are transplants (maybe temporary) here to GA.
My family all lives in Louisiana as far south as Houma. Kind of worried about them, although it appears it will not be heading in their direction as it stands right now.
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