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To: SouthTexas
TD 5 Statement as of 4:00 am CDT on August 15, 2007

...Depression remains disorganized over the central Gulf but
expected to strengthen later today...

 
a tropical storm watch remains in effect for the Texas coast from
Freeport southward...and for the northeast coast of Mexico from Rio
San Fernando northward.

 
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

 
At 400 am CDT...0900z...the center of Tropical Depression Five was
located near latitude 24.6 north...longitude 91.8 west or about 365
miles...590 km...east-southeast of Brownsville Texas and about 380
miles...615 km...east of La Pesca Mexico.

 
The depression is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph. A turn
towards the west-northwest is expected later today.  On this
track...the center of the depression is forecast to be near the
lower or middle Texas coast Thursday.  

 
Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph...45 km/hr...with higher
gusts.  Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours and
the depression is forecast to become a tropical storm prior to
making landfall. 

 
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb...29.71 inches.

 
Total rain accumulations of 3 to 5 inches are possible along the
middle Texas coast...with isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches.

 
Repeating the 400 am CDT position...24.6 N...91.8 W.  Movement
toward...northwest near 10 mph.  Maximum sustained winds...30 mph.
Minimum central pressure...1006 mb.

 
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane
Center at 700 am CDT followed by the next complete advisory at 1000
am CDT.

 
$$
Forecaster Rhome

176 posted on 08/15/2007 1:42:15 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Action speaks louder than words but not nearly as often.)
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To: NautiNurse
You sure were up bright and early this morning!

Actually, it was before bright.

180 posted on 08/15/2007 6:24:21 AM PDT by SouthTexas
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To: NautiNurse
It looks like the 5 day cone is shifting to the south.

Initially the forecast track was aiming at Puerto Rico. Now it is aiming at Jamaica.

184 posted on 08/15/2007 6:50:15 AM PDT by Clive
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