Yeah, well the Wii will delight those with simple tastes, I agree. For people who enjoy some challenge and some realism, they will look elsewhere. I do not think PS3 will come in 2nd. I firmly believe that, if it comes down to a second place finish, the XBOX will be 2nd...if not 1st in this generation...Wii’s sales will fall off soon enough...people can only handle so much Mario Kart and little fuzzy, furry cutesy characters who throw cotton balls at cutesy flower “baddies” for so long before they desire something a little less juvenile. PS3 will fail this time around...Sony has had its dominance interrupted for this generation.
The game lineup for the 360 ANNIHILATES anything PS3 OR Wii have...and I do not think Microsoft will capitulate this time around...
Well, time will tell. Personally I think neither 360 nor PS3 has a prayer of first place. They are in a battle for 2nd.
I think MS will be 3rd, not because they capitulate, but simply because they don’t know what they are doing.... Yea, HALO’s a killer app, but it can’t carry you to 1st place. SONY has hurt themselves short term in terms of console sales by forcing Blu Ray to be part of the console, however as Blu Ray wins the format wars, in part because of this decision, and costs of manufacturing come down, Sony will drop the PS3 and it will have more and more going for it.
1) Back catalog of PS2 games, huge.
2) Better games for it, 08 will be the year where PS3 will come into its own in terms of its catalog.
3) HDTV, as HD becomes more widely adopted, and Blu Ray becomes the defacto standard for it, that is another cap in Sony’s crown, and aid in decision making to PS3 over 360. MS made a huge mistake helping revive the HD-DVD format IMHO.
4) Even to this day 360 adoption in JAPAN is laughable, you don’t win a console war without winning Japan.
Long term, I think PS3 will beat MS. Wii will blow them both out of the water in terms of sales. Wii sales will not slow down as you believe, you seem to think fuzzy and cute is all that Nintendo has to offer. This is a classic “misunderestimation”.
The controller allows for completely new game interactions and types of games that have never been thought of yet, and that the 360 and PS3 will not be able to offer.
Relying on this “its got weak graphics” is a fools argument. The DS graphics are beat by the PSP, but the DS outsells it by tons and is cheaper... why? Because it allowed for entirely new types of games because of its new interface... same will hold true for the Wii.
Wii will be a MUST HAVE for a gamer this generation, the PS3 and 360 will be interchangeable, with the only differentiator being who publishes more platform exclusive “killer apps”. And Sony has shown it will win that battle.