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The Hobbit Hole XIX: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/chat/1329893/posts |
Posted on 12/20/2004 9:01:36 AM PST by ecurbh
New verse:
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Upon the hearth the fire is red, |
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Still round the corner there may wait |
Home is behind, the world ahead, |
Aha... well, I'm ready. I'd enjoy a little snow.
I don't remember our vows... she said something about creation, then held the rings up, then we kissed.
Heh... well, one of us should have kept track of what we promised. :~D
Didn't she say something about One Ring to rule...?
Gots me a pair of Sorel boots from my MN days. Very nice, they are.
Unfortunately, the liners were taken out to be washed untold months ago, and I have no idea where they are any more. Methinks they need to be tracked down in case I need to wear them this weekend.
I think it was "Ash nazg durbatulúk..."
slewet/snow mix here... light accumulation... if'n it don't get any werse, the temp plunge will be less of an issue...
glad you got yer power back osage...
OT, 2J: how you holdin' out?...
They're saying we'll have cloud cover tonight which should help.
Hope the pipes don't freeze.
Ash nazg baggadonutz...
you got problems with yer plumbing?...
Outside of a slow drain on the washer, no.
I always worry about freezing pipes when it gets cold.
Dogs and couches belong together. LOL, it does look more furniture is in order. You know, I haven't been able to convince Gypsygirl of that. Samantha truly enjoyed the couch. Sammy didn't enjoy fires, Gypsygirl warmed right up to them.
you can go weeks without doin' laundry... or bathin'... just melt ice fer drinkin' water...
Ewww!
---- fxus66 ksew 052208 afdsew
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Seattle Washington
300 PM PST Wednesday Jan 5 2005
Synopsis...cool...dry northeast flow will continue through tonight. A cold front will move south across the area Thursday afternoon bringing rain and snow to the area. A cool upper level trough will develop offshore on Friday keeping the threat of precipitation in the forecast through the weekend. A reinforcing shot of cold air from Canada could invade western Washington by early next week.
&&
Discussion...plenty of office discussion today regarding the developing weather system this weekend and the possible very cold airmass to arrive early next week. The large scale pattern evolution still looks quite interesting over the next several days with a long wave blocking pattern over the east Pacific keeping deep troughing along the West Coast. Highly anomalous h500 heights over Alaska...and also strong ridging back east puts the Pacific northwest in a favorable cold and possibly snowy pattern.
The system currently seen on WV/infrared imagery will continue moving south the next 24 hours and form a deep closed upper/surface low near Vancouver Island. Models show this low will deepen at the surface and aloft through Friday as it slowly sags southward to around the S Washington coast by Friday afternoon. Southern stream energy will be under cutting the Pacific Ridge during this time...and models now indicate that some of this moisture will become entrained in the main low along the Washington coast. This entrained moisture combined with a very dynamic system...ie deep Omega...divergence aloft... and low level convergence...should produce more precipitation than has been the case with previous systems. As for the cold air...this does seem to be the big question. Models imply enough mixing in southerly flow for mostly rain. However...the strong vertical motion fields and initial cold airmass in place may allow for a mixed rain/snow scenario for the low lands. It does still appear that Whatcom County remains the one place where cold air should hold in...and the Winter Storm Watch will be continued this afternoon for Thursday night into Friday. The late Friday into Sat period looks the most interesting. The ETA model remains warm...but the GFS and other models imply cooling aloft and at the surface with northerly gradients increasing down the sound. The GFS gradient output give -18mb from bli-ywl by Friday 12z with olm-bli gradients -3.3 implying some northerly flow all the way down the sound. It still looks possible that a Switch Back to snow could occur over most the urban corridor by Friday night into Sat. The GFS also develops a good deformation axis and precipitation band lifting northward over the area at this time which could produce accumulating snow. Because everything must line up perfectly for low land snow and the cold still remains questionable I will not issue anything for the low lands yet. An Special Weather Statement went out midday and covers the possibilities well.
The airmass should dry but cool Sat night into sun as the low heads a little further south and east. Still...some snow showers may linger under cyclonic flow so a low pop mention will remain in the forecast. On it's heals is a much stronger front which could be the prelude to an Arctic outbreak for the area early next week. All long range models insist that very cold air over Alaska will drive southward through b.C. To the Washington border by Monday. Some models even generate substantial moisture with the front for another might-be snow event. Of even more interest is the strongly anomalous deep polar-like vortex forming very far south...basically over Saskatchewan by Tuesday. If this upper pattern does develop...very cold air will have no problem pushing right over the terrain and across all of Washington by Tuesday. Models are generating some wild h850 mb temperatures over western Washington...down to -25 or -30 c with 1000-5000mb thickness values possibly below 490dm. Now...obviously this is far enough out to expect these values overdone. But it is starting to look more likely that a cold outbreak of some proportion will begin next week. The possibility of sub freezing temperatures was included in the earlier issued Special Weather Statement as a heads up for this possibility. Have continued trending forecasted temperatures next week downward...but not yet indicating the record cold potential given that this is still day 5 and beyond. Mercer
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Aviation...weakening offshore flow and a dry cool air mass will continue though late this evening. Low level moisture will advect northward for areas of fog over the southwest interior and south Puget Sound sound region. Mvfr ceilings of 020-028 will arrive central Puget Sound sound after 12z. Computer models having trouble coming together on timing of cold front moving out of British Columbia Thursday. Best bet on timing is to Strait of Juan Delaware fuca/Bellingham by 18z...central pgt sand/sea by 21z and SW interior by 00z. Min expected conditions 2-4sm rasn mvfr ceilings sct008-015 ovc020-025. Prange
&&
Warnings/advisories...Winter Storm Watch Whatcom County Thursday night and Friday.
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Katx...vcp31/csr32 operational.
$$
Weather.Gov/Seattle
*shakin head*...
dogs don't belong on the furniture... I love 'em... but that's a floggin' offense...
It's great, but nobody has that email address! Oh well.
Heh.... someday I'll start a dog out right... but I'm a sucker for a sad face. It started with just Zulu... the little dog.
WHAT WHAT WHAT? Oh - they said air from Cananda... ;~D
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