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True. But, don't ya think that maybe they are performing "jihad by the pen"?

Me, I think the huge amount of threats coming out of multiple sources is a kinda of jihadi wet dream/group-think. Just like when you have a crowd or group of people, and a common thought starts to permeate the community. Happens in normal life (eg: "Bush is an idiot", "It was a huge right-wing conspiracy", etc). Point being..repeat something often enough, and even those who don't hold the same point of view to start with begin to repeat it ad-naseum.

On the flip side, perhaps there is something to it. But I really don't think so. And, you have to consider - most of the "warnings" are coming out of 'net message boards. Me..I just don't take that as a "credible" source.

Now, if one of the "official" AQ types were to come out and say something like "we will destroy an American city on Tuesday. Stay tuned to your media", I would believe it.

But..ya gotta admit..99% of the "threats" we are seeing are coming from Websites and message boards.

Could just as easily be: Groupthink, jihadi "wet dreams", "jihad by the keyboard" or (my guess) a small # of people getting their (twisted) kicks.

All in all, I would bet that we will all be here and just fine on Feb 5. Matter of fact, let's all plan parties to celebrate the fact that we will be.

Stolie, jihad by the pen. :) I like it. :)

I think we are getting both real messages and some not so real. I do think they are communicating with one another. Why, I don't know, but feel it can't be to our good. The Homeland Security people, have determined and stated these jihadist use the internet to plan, implement, connect, and coordinate attacks. Now, it remains to be seen if the dominate two, talked about here, are for real or not. Hopefully, not. At the very least, it's been interesting to watch a certain mind set unfold, and certain desires talked about.

Just my take on things, off the top of my head. :)

I agree with your premise that this is most likely a "jihad by pen" action. However, I do recall that just prior to 9/11, there was a post on a yahoo stock message board that foretold the event. After 9/11, there was quite a hoopla on yahoo and the other stock message boards about the post.
I had the message saved at one time but that hard drive got fried. And now, the public archives don't go that far back.

...and then there's that report of the kid in school who foretold the demise of the towers...

I'd say that some threat posts are credible but that there is a lot that are of the jihad by pen variety.

This board's importance is the documentation of and the background information of all of those posts. We won't know which was credible until there is an event...and we (FR) will be able to provide a tracer for the authorities.

I would bet that we will all be here and just fine on Feb 5.

I agree. I check out this thread from time to time, but I really wouldn't be worried by most of the reported "threats" I see on it. However, I think it's a valuable thread, because if nothing else, it would give an analyst an idea of how people would react to specific threats, areas to focus on, etc.

It also gives some sort of history, from the layman's point of view, of these events over the last several months. And it is also always possible that somebody will stumble across something important, or think "out of the box" in such a way as to really zero in on our enemies.

But I don't think people should become excessively worried about any of this.