You're kidding me, right? Being from CA, you should be well aware of what happened to Matt Fong (moderate) and Bruce Hirchensohn (conservative). California is lock solid 'RAT now. Boxer's ultra-liberal positions only HELP solidify her "base" of thousands of welfare receipeants. The only chance a Republican has of winning a statewide race in CA is if they are EXTREMELY well known and popular, and running for an open seat. Condi Rice MIGHT win an open Senate seat, but one's not going to be available any time soon.
>> Dorgan <<
In theory, he should be extremely vunerable, but the guy is an entrenched incumbant. The GOP will need BIG $$$ to win.
>> Graham <<
Possible. (cause Florida leans GOP) Unlikely, because he's very popular and has been around so long.
>> Hollings <<
If he retires, the open seat would lean VERY strongly GOP unless the Dems nominate some folksy statewide official like the Sec. of Edu. If sticks around, the ol' goat will put a tough fight.
>> Reid <<
Possible. He's the 2nd most powerful 'RAT, but I don't think that will help him with them being in the minority now.
>> Fitzgerald <<
Pretty Vunerable, but depends on his opponent. One of the biggest problems is that the country-club Sununu "oust the right-wing incumbants" wing of the party wants to damage him even more by putting up a primary challege.
>> Gregg <<
Safe. Unless he runs for another office and we have an open seat here.
>> Specter <<
Scottish law man is vunerable and deservely so. That's what happens when you vote with the Democrats 60% of the time. We need to get Julia Nixon-Eisenhower to bump him off before the general election.
Bush wins re-election in a landslide, demoralized Dems stay home and weak Republican candidate wins out over Boxer.