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Paxton and Talarico Tied at 48 Percent in Latest Poll for Texas Senate Seat
Breitbart ^ | September 29, 2026 | Olivia Rondeau

Posted on 09/29/2026 4:48:17 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican

Texas U.S. Senate hopefuls Ken Paxton (R) and James Talarico (D) are neck and neck in a poll released just days after a previous poll had the Democrat in the lead.

A Stratus Intelligence survey conducted from September 22-24 among 865 likely voters in the upcoming November election concluded that Paxton, the Republican Texas attorney general, and Talarico, a Democrat state legislator, each have 48 percent support, with 4 percent undecided.

Paxton’s image was rated 41 percent favorable versus 55 percent unfavorable, compared with Talarico’s 46 percent favorable and 49 percent unfavorable.

While the Republican leads among voters aged 55 and older, Talarico is leading the younger crowd.

The poll, which was sponsored by Texans for a Conservative Majority, also found that Republican candidates lead in the six other statewide executive races included in the survey:

(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...


TOPICS: Politics
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1 posted on 09/29/2026 4:48:17 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican

In a sane world, Talarico would barely get into double digits.

Since we live in clown world, all bets are off.


2 posted on 09/29/2026 4:53:38 PM PDT by Disambiguator
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To: Disambiguator

I don’t think that poll is real. They report the pole to try and create social permission to vote for Talarico.


3 posted on 09/29/2026 4:54:54 PM PDT by Jonty30 (Male simping and female promiscuity is the same thing. Resources without reciprocation.)
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To: Jonty30

I know polls are biased, but still. This guy should be laughed off the face of the earth.


4 posted on 09/29/2026 4:59:04 PM PDT by Disambiguator
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To: Disambiguator

Beto was a more likeable/less weird candidate. Both of them have terrible political positions of course and deserve no support. It should not be a contest. I am amazed at the closeness of elections. What a large contingent of commies and ne’er do wells we have.


5 posted on 09/29/2026 5:02:00 PM PDT by Persevero (You cannot comply your way out of tyranny. )
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To: MinorityRepublican

There are only so many things politicians can do. a lot of this is on the pastors and the disunity in the church. There is no way this should be close.


6 posted on 09/29/2026 5:02:35 PM PDT by Salvavida
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To: MinorityRepublican

He is the Deep State candidate. He and Z-Man could play a duet.


7 posted on 09/29/2026 5:09:30 PM PDT by Empire_of_Liberty
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To: MinorityRepublican

For once, Talarico is not leading in a poll. Maybe the effect of the GOP money finally coming in is starting to help Paxton.


8 posted on 09/29/2026 5:09:48 PM PDT by Dan in Wichita
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To: Dan in Wichita

The pacs have been hitting him hard on the trans crap. “Too weird for Texas.” “He’s for they/them, not us.”


9 posted on 09/29/2026 5:20:55 PM PDT by crusty old prospector
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To: Dan in Wichita

Yep


10 posted on 09/29/2026 5:26:02 PM PDT by cowboyusa (YESHUA IS KING OF AMERICA!)
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To: crusty old prospector

If we lose this one we got no business being in business.


11 posted on 09/29/2026 5:26:34 PM PDT by DIRTYSECRET
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To: MinorityRepublican
I can't help but feel Cornyn would have been running away with this. Dumping your proven winner in a 'blue wave' election year in a state that is not that red (Texas is not Oklahoma) may simply not pan out.
12 posted on 09/29/2026 5:30:24 PM PDT by Trump20162020
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To: Trump20162020

The next election is up in 2032. The Democrats will replace Fetterman in the primary and they don’t care if they’ll lose the seat in PA in two years from now even though Fetterman is a reliable supporter of their platform (other than Israel and the Iran war).


13 posted on 09/29/2026 5:34:01 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: Trump20162020

How do you know that MAGA people would not have bothered voting if it were Cornyn? It cuts both ways.


14 posted on 09/29/2026 5:34:32 PM PDT by dfwgator ("I am Charlie Kirk!")
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To: dfwgator

“How do you know that MAGA people would not have bothered voting if it were Cornyn? It cuts both ways.”

I would have gladly voted for Cornyn over Talirico, and I was one of the first here to jump on the Trump Train.

The worst Republican is light years better than the best Democrat


15 posted on 09/29/2026 5:42:19 PM PDT by Fai Mao
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To: Trump20162020

Any time, any place a RINO is thrown out by his own party it is a beautiful thing. Now if we could only multiply it by hundreds in the fed and state levels we’d have a much better country.


16 posted on 09/29/2026 5:44:24 PM PDT by quantim (Victory is not relative, it is absolute.)
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To: MinorityRepublican

If it’s tied, Paxton will win by 6 or more points, based on the historical record and the Senate service of Beto O’Rourke.


17 posted on 09/29/2026 5:47:49 PM PDT by CarmichaelPatriot (Recovering Kalifornian... Loving Alabama)
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To: Persevero
I am amazed at the closeness of elections.

One of the hallmarks of fudged (please excuse my French) Dumbocrat election polls is their surprising closeness. We may recognize this fakery as an artifact of Dims simply quitting counting hidden ballots once they've drug their candidate over the 50.1% threshold, or whatever percentage precludes a recount.

18 posted on 09/29/2026 6:17:53 PM PDT by rx
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To: Trump20162020

Maybe so. But Cornhole was a Democrat with an R next to his name.


19 posted on 09/29/2026 6:36:34 PM PDT by TheThirdRuffian (Orange is the new brown)
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To: Disambiguator
Poll for Texas Senate Seat, Disambiguator wrote:

In a sane world, Talarico would barely get into double digits.

Since we live in clown world, all bets are off.

Yep. I knew it would be trouble when Paxton announced he was gonna run.
A lot of Freepers blew off his cheating and said that's just his personal life, etc. but I knew it would matter. It wasn't a one-time indiscretion, it was repeated.
This kind of stuff matters to many people. Particularly conservative women, but many men as well.

20 posted on 09/29/2026 6:43:36 PM PDT by chud
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