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I asked Grok: If the Palestinians did get their wish of controlling all the land “from the river to the sea,” how long would it take for them to turn it from a first world country into a third world country?
Wordpress ^ | Twitter | Daniel Alman (aka Dan from Squirrel Hill)

Posted on 04/25/2025 3:34:47 PM PDT by grundle

Any other AI probably would have accused me to all sorts of racism, bigotry, Islamophobia, etc.

But Grok actually answered my question.

Heh heh heh.

I asked Grok:

If the Palestinians did get their wish of controlling all the land “from the river to the sea,” how long would it take for them to turn it from a first world country into a third world country?

This is the answer that it gave:

Predicting the outcome of such a hypothetical scenario involves many variables and assumptions, making precise timelines speculative. If Palestinians gained control over the entire territory from the Jordan River to the Mediterranean Sea, the trajectory would depend on governance, economic policies, international relations, and internal stability.

Israel currently has a developed economy with a GDP per capita of around $55,000 (2023 data), advanced infrastructure, and a strong tech sector. Transitioning control could disrupt existing systems—ports, airports, tech industries, and trade networks—especially if conflict or mismanagement occurs. Historical examples of rapid governance changes (e.g., post-colonial transitions or regime shifts) suggest declines can happen within a decade if institutions falter, corruption rises, or external support wanes.

Palestinian governance in Gaza and the West Bank offers clues. Gaza, under Hamas since 2007, faces severe economic challenges, with a GDP per capita around $1,200 and reliance on aid, partly due to blockades and conflict. The West Bank, under the Palestinian Authority, has a GDP per capita of about $4,300 but struggles with corruption and restricted autonomy. Scaling these models to a larger, more complex economy like Israel’s could amplify issues if governance isn’t robust.

Factors accelerating decline:

Institutional breakdown: Dismantling Israel’s systems without effective replacements could disrupt services and markets within 1–3 years.

Brain drain: Emigration of skilled professionals could weaken industries like tech and healthcare in 2–5 years.

Conflict or isolation: Loss of trade partners or ongoing violence could stagnate growth, with effects visible in 5–10 years.

Factors mitigating decline:

International aid: Support from allies could sustain infrastructure.

Natural resources: Access to Israel’s assets (e.g., gas fields) could fund development if managed well.

Governance reforms: Effective leadership could maintain or adapt existing systems.

Without stable institutions, investment, and peace, a slide toward “third world” status—marked by low GDP per capita, weak infrastructure, and instability—could begin within 5–10 years and solidify in 20–30 years. However, this assumes no major stabilizing interventions.

Outcomes could vary widely based on leadership and global dynamics.

If you want, I can dig into specific economic or historical parallels for a deeper analysis.

(end of Grok’s answer)

https://x.com/DanielAlmanPGH/status/1915889815624482952

I asked Grok:

If the Palestinians did get their wish of controlling all the land "from the river to the sea," how long would it take for them to turn it from a first world country into a third world country?#Israel #Jews #Palestinians #Muslims #Islam #Palestine #Gaza #Grok pic.twitter.com/GuqOO31Ia5— Daniel Alman from Squirrel Hill (@DanielAlmanPGH) April 25, 2025



TOPICS: Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: ai; aithinksforme; hamas; hezbollah; yemen
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To: All

I asked Grok “how can I get laid?”

Answer: LOL you so old dude.


21 posted on 04/25/2025 7:19:12 PM PDT by Peter ODonnell (For two countries with so many lawyers, there ain't much justice in Canada or America (yet))
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Arthur Wildfire! March; Berosus; Bockscar; BraveMan; cardinal4; ...

22 posted on 04/25/2025 9:58:49 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (Putin should skip ahead to where he kills himself in the bunker.)
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To: grundle

Look what has happened to South Africa and Rhodesia.
Same for any democrat party run city or state.


23 posted on 04/26/2025 1:33:00 AM PDT by minnesota_bound (Need more money to buy everything now)
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To: Fiji Hill
But the day after the Israelis departed, Arab mobs stormed, sacked and looted the hothouse complex, destroying a free gift which could have brought the people of Gaza billions of dollars in revenue.

IF...and that's a big if...they could find any Arabs willing to work the hothouses.

24 posted on 04/26/2025 7:52:07 AM PDT by JimRed (TERM LIMITS, NOW! Finish the damned WALL! TRUTH is the new HATE fSPEECH! )
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To: grundle

Wildly wrong - two weeks at the outside.


25 posted on 04/26/2025 10:15:27 AM PDT by PIF (They came for me and mine ... now its your turn)
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To: grundle

It would be a hellhole within two years...


26 posted on 04/26/2025 11:41:11 AM PDT by GOPJ (If 11 million illegals must have 'due process' to be deported - it'll bankrupt our court system.)
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To: BobL

Seventh Century murdering savages is what they are! Totally incapable of building anything civilized!


27 posted on 04/26/2025 7:02:01 PM PDT by Taxman (MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN! SUPPORT THE FAIRTAX!)
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