Posted on 01/01/2025 6:44:53 AM PST by Godzilla
Welcome to Threat Matrix 2025
For historical reference TM2024 link is
https://freerepublic.com/focus/bloggers/4207046/posts?q=1&;page=1#1
Established in 2001, after the 9/11 attack on America and now in its 24th year, this thread is designed to identify threats to America, both internal and external, and evaluate the probability of those threats occurring and the extent of potential damage. Discussions may stray into ‘tinfoil’ territory, but the goal is to peel back and confirm information so we can make informed decisions and actions. Incredible as it seems, “tinfoil” conspiracy theories have fast become realities so they can no longer be ignored outright, but must be evaluated and compared to current events.
2024 has been “historic”: - The landslide election of Trump back into the Whitehouse, and the collapse of the massive lawfare effort against him. - Assassination attempts on Trump - Stunning defeat of Hamas and Hezbollah by Israel - Israel directly hits Iran after Iranian missile strikes, eliminating Iranian missile production capabilities for several years as well as destroying most of its air defense assets. - The almost overnight overthrow of Syria’s Assad and the associated serious losses to Russia and Iran/Hezbollah
I expect 2025 to be even worse as we are facing: - Massive political infighting as the Swamp tries to thwart the Trump agenda - Potential for civil unrest and violence driven by the communist left and Antifa affiliated elements. - Potential violence as Trump implements is deportation plan for millions of illegals. - The potential for a serious and deep recession - Further movement towards implementing the goals of the WEF via its “global reset” - Combat in Ukraine that could spill out into other parts of Europe - Russian nuclear threats - China making a move on Taiwan - Israel and Iran finally directly going at it. - Other political turmoil growing globally over a wide range of issues. - Potential for a wide variety of Black Swan events to create even greater problems.
It has been my pleasure to continue this thread over the past few years. This thread hopefully is continuing the goals of when it started.
For those who care, my posts reflect my scanning of the interwebs to provide me with early warning concerning factors that can endanger my life and family. Yes, I’m what many would call a “prepper”, and proudly accept that characterization.
How can something happening half way around the world affect me personally? Wuhan virus, my friend is but one recent example. I noted it in TM Dec 2019 and was prepared when chaos hit in 2020.
Other events have secondary and tertiary affects that reach us via shortages and inflation – fossil fuel prices are the most common, as well as economic impacts. I simply share news items and often my opinions that shape my actions and preparations.
My posts are broken down into specific topics and regions. I highlight and evaluative opensource reports in those areas in regard to how it will affect the US. Sometimes it feels like trying to drink from a fire hose – even more so following 2022.
So buckle up for the ride. This is an open thread that I want to continue as a clearing house of tidbits of intelligence contributed by the FR community so that we are all aware of what’s happening and what the impacts of those events will be. Knowledge is power
Schummer's sgoing to let the poor go hungry... so he can give free health care to illegals. Is that sick or what?
Globalism / Great Reset –
Well, Bill Gates has admitted global warming isn’t the crisis he and others have made (billions) selling to the world.
Yet the powers that be consider censorship of opposition to the narrative to still be a priority. If they censor here, other censorship (like with wuhan) is a natural and are conditioning the sheeple for the next round -
No green activist operation makes clearer why they need to ban free speech and cancel scientific debate to achieve Net Zero hegemony than the Guardian newspaper. Last Saturday, we learnt from its Environment Editor Damian Carrington that campaigners had said the UK’s TV and radio regulator Ofcom was allowing GB News and others to ‘flout” accuracy rules and broadcast “climate change denial”, whatever that last phrase means. Carrington noted in response to frequent suggestions of inaccuracy in UN climate models going back to 1979, that, “in fact, UN climate models have been remarkably accurate”. How Carrington, one of three journalists of the year in 2023 at the Green Blob-funded Covering Climate Now, can write this with a straight face is anyone’s guess.
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2025/10/30/guardian-ramps-up-efforts-to-ban-all-climate-dissent/
MORE GLOBALIST CENSORSHIP -
Barack Obama has a bold new proposal — actually not new at all; the social engineers have been viciously attacking independent media voices since at least 2016 following Hillary Clinton’s failed coronation — to regain control over the zeitgeist: eliminate dissident voices on social media.
“Part of what we’re going to have to do is to start experimenting with new forms of journalism and how we use social media in ways that reaffirm facts and separate facts from opinion. We want diversity of opinion. We don’t want diversity of facts*. That, I think, is one of the big tasks of social media. By the way, it will require some government, I believe, some government, um, regulatory constraints around some of these business models in a way that’s consistent with the First Amendment but that also says, look, uh, there is a difference between, uh, these platforms letting all voices be heard versus a business model that elevates the most hateful voices or the most polarizing voices or the most, uh, dangerous, in the sense of inciting violence, voices.”
OBSERVATION - Obama, like other globalists, want to censor speech and allow only the govt to say what is true or not.
CW2 / Domestic violence - National Threat Level - WARNING - up dated Sep 28, 2025
Portland OR - Local Threat Level - WARNING as of Oct 25, 2025
Chicago IL - Local Threat Level - WARNING as of Oct 25, 2025
Los Angeles CA - Local Threat Level - ADVISORY as of Sep 28, 2025
Seattle WA - Local Threat Level - ADVISORY as of Sep 28, 2025
SF Bay area - Local Threat - ADVISORY as of Oct 25, 2025.
DATES TO NOTE -
.
CRITICAL DATE - Nov 1, 2025, EBT and SNAP benefits are gone due to govt shutdown.
Nov 5 - Revolutionary Communists to “flood” Washington, D.C. protests
MASS BLACKOUT - Nov 26 - Dec 2. Economic boycott.
22 November rally in Washington, D.C by “Removal Coalition”
NOTE - Additional protests being announced for DC, assessing the potential for violence or other direct action.
***
More info on the Nov 5 protest -
“Surround the White House. Surround the Capitol. Surround the illegitimate fascist-packed Supreme Court.”
Far-left group, Refuse Fascism, is organizing an insurrection on Nov. 5 in Washington, D.C. The plan is to besiege government buildings and streets until the U.S. government is toppled.
Refuse Fascism is headed up by members of Bob Avakian’s Revolutionary Communist Party.
https://x.com/mrandyngo/status/1983688658046669175?s=61&t=Ca4dYBe3FZLWI7Zi7HkShg
OBSERVATION - Their goal is to bring out millions to this protest. I don’t think they will see that level of support, but it does show the shift to direct action thinking by protest organizers, progressing in the Color revolution format.
***
They realize the only thing they can do is foment revolution. . .. They realize, as Karl Marx realized and Saul Alinsky realized, that the way you take control of a society is to destabilize it.
You destabilize it by destroying Judeo-Christian values, and you destabilize it by creating civil unrest and revolution.”
***
Well, Representative Jim Himes of Connecticut wants to warn Republicans that turnabout is fair play, and if Donald Trump wants to kill cartel members, perhaps President Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez might want to kill Republicans. Because that is the same thing, right?
Yes, that is how many Democrats think. Killing foreign terrorist cartel members, a constituency the Democrats apparently embrace, is no different than randomly killing people AOC or a different Democratic Party president doesn’t like.
The shift towards more over the top advocacy of violence by the left grows more every day. This is also seen more recently by liberal podcaster Jennifer Welch suggests the Dem establishment needs to get on board with wanting conservatives dead or else far-leftists will come “after you in the same way that we come after MAGA.”
https://x.com/CollinRugg/status/1983292238538199398
OBSERVATION - The left has become very open in their desire for deadly violence against their political opposition. This will only drive the nut job lone wolves and Antifa inclined to act out on these desires as ‘legitimate’ forms of protest. This is an undercurrent that I think will continue to break into the open with violence, especially as midterms approach next year.
Economy- Threat Level - WATCH - as of April 4, 2025
For the second time this year, the Federal Reserve has cut interest rates by 0.25% This brings rates to 3.75-4.00%
The decision was widely expected by investors due to soft labor data and subdued inflation prints, with a further rate cut already being priced in by the market for December.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s blunt warning that investors need to rein in expectations for a December interest-rate cut underscored a growing tug-of-war among US policymakers who are opposed in their outlooks for jobs and inflation.
While Powell made it clear that the primary concern for some is a cooling job market, others inside the Fed are warning persistent inflation will limit room for more easing. And a freeze on the release of official economic data during the ongoing government shutdown is only hardening the divide. (Bloomberg)
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
Trump announces that he has instructed the “Department of War” to resume the testing of nuclear weapons, in response to testing programs by other countries, citing both China and Russia. The last nuclear test by the United States was carried out on September 23, 1992, at the Nevada Test Site.
OBSERVATION - This has caused huge ripples across the world. It is unclear if Trump is calling for actual detonation of warhead, just components or more test firing of delivery systems. Resumption of nuclear tests would face a massive uphill fight in Congress as well as global pressure.
***
U.S. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth announced earlier yet another drone strike carried out today against an alleged narco-trafficking vessel in the Eastern Pacific, resulted in the death of four suspected members of a Designated Terrorist Organization (DTO).
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics
Haven’t touched on the health effects of the jab in a while, but here is a new damning report -
A new peer-reviewed paper from Taipei Medical University has reported that 91 percent of Moderna mRNA-1273 recipients developed cardiovascular side effects during the observation period—within one week of receiving the Moderna mRNA-1273 vaccine.
https://x.com/Fynnderella1/status/1983221206724530470
Study -
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0014299925010234
POLITICAL FRONT –
The U.S. House Oversight Committee released its report on the investigation into former President Joe Biden’s cognitive health, resulting in referrals to the Justice Department and the D.C. Board of Medicine, citing multiple cover-ups of Biden’s cognitive decline. The report, released Tuesday morning, claims that the former president’s “inner circle” gaslit the American people on Biden’s cognitive decline. In addition to the referrals, the report argues that many of the former president’s executive actions signed by autopen could be invalid.
OBSERVATION - As much as I want it to happen, I don’t think anything will come from this report.
***
Grassley released 197 subpoenas that the Biden FBI reportedly used to gather testimony and information on over 400 Republican targets as part of the agency’s “Arctic Frost” probe.
197 subpoenas were issued by Jack Smith and his team. These subpoenas were issued to 34 individuals and 163 businesses, including financial institutions,” Grassley said, adding “Arctic Frost was the vehicle by which partisan FBI agents and DOJ prosecutors could improperly investigate the entire Republican political apparatus. Contrary to what Smith has said publicly, this was clearly a fishing expedition.”
OBSERVATION - That alone is nearly 20% of Republicans in Congress. Alas, I doubt any further action will be taken apart from Smith getting nailed.
***
7th Circuit STRIKES DOWN insane leftist judge who required Border Commander Greg Bovino to appear *daily* in her court after he rightfully repelled rioters with crowd control. Judge Sarah Ellis’ order has been OVERTURNED
OBSERVATION - Quick reassertion of the separation of powers.
TRUMP Watch –
Trump said on Wednesday that he reached a trade deal with South Korea:
“South Korea has agreed to pay the USA 350 Billion Dollars for a lowering of the Tariff’s charged against them by the United States. Additionally, they have agreed to buy our Oil and Gas in vast quantities, and investments into our Country”.
***
Trump enroute back to the US after the S Korean meetings.
China -
President Trump met with China’s president Xi in South Korea. Trump called the meeting with Xi “amazing”
Trump agrees to cut China tariffs after a high-stakes South Korean summit with China’s President Xi.
Trump says China pledges to start buying U.S. soybeans and farm goods immediately — and to work “very hard” to stop fentanyl from reaching the U.S.
“Every year we’ll renegotiate the deal, but I think it’ll go on for a long time,” he adds.
But neither side has provided details of what a trade deal would look like.
North/South Korea –
The United States will share nuclear-powered submarine technology with South Korea, President Donald Trump said Thursday, marking a potentially historic expansion of military cooperation between the two allies. Trump announced the move on social media following his meeting Wednesday with South Korean President Lee Jae Myung in Seoul.
Phillipines –
U.S. Indo-Pacific Command (INDOPACOM) has ordered a “show of force” this week against recent and continuous Chinese aggression in the South China Sea, potentially involving the launch of several satellite-guided rockets by Marine Corps M142 High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems (HIMARS) towards the Scarborough Shoal, an atoll in the South China Sea disputed by China, Taiwan, and the Philippines, according to CBS News.
Russia -
Threat Level WATCH, Ongoing - into the fourth year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
*****
NUCLEAR THREATS –
Putin announces successful test of Russia’s “Poseidon” nuclear-capable doomsday torpedo.
The weapon is designed to trigger radioactive tsunamis, potentially rendering entire coastal cities uninhabitable.
***
The Kremlin on Thursday reacted cautiously to President Donald Trump’s remarks about the resumption of nuclear weapons testing by the United States, saying that Russia had not tested but that Moscow would follow suit if Washington did.
Trump ordered the U.S. military on Thursday to immediately resume testing nuclear weapons after a gap of 33 years, minutes before beginning a meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping.
“President Trump mentioned in his statement that other countries are engaged in testing nuclear weapons. Until now, we didn’t know that anyone was testing,” Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told reporters.
Peskov underscored that Russia’s test of the Burevestnik cruise missile on October 21 and the Poseidon nuclear-powered super torpedo on October 28 were most definitely not nuclear weapons tests.
Ukraine –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing Apr 24, 2025
WEATHER FORECAST – Temps in the 40-50 degree range with rain and rain showers first part of the week.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukrainian air forces report overnight Russia launched 653 strike drones, 4 air-launched ballistic missile Kh-47M2 Kinzhal, 5 ballistic missiles Iskander-M/KN-23, 8 cruise missiles Kalibr, 2 cruise missiles Iskander-K, 30 cruise missiles Kh-101, 2 aviation guided missiles Kh-59/69 and 1 air-to-surface anti-radiation missile Kh-31P,
Total of 705 drones/missiles, Ukraine reports downing 623, mostly drones
Zaporizhzhia came under a combined missile and drone strike overnight, at least 20 attack drones and eight missiles. A dormitory and infrastructure facilities were partially destroyed. One person may still be trapped under the rubble. Rescue operations ongoing.
Last night, Ukrainian attack drones mounted a widespread raid deep into Russia. Ukrainian drones successfully hit the Novospassky Refinery, Mari Refinery, Budyonnovsk Gas Plant, Gvardeyskoye fuel depot, Stavrolen Zavod chemical plant, and the Novobryanskaya substation.
Russian losses per 30/10/25 reported by the Ukrainian General Staff
+960 men
+2 tanks
+3 ACVs
+25 artillery
+1 MLRS
+2 AD systems
Analysis and Future Operations —
Another massive drone/missile attack on Ukraine, focusing mostly on Western Ukraine where factories, ammo and munition dumps and power infrastructure are key targets. Big enough and close enough to Poland for them to scramble fighters to intercept any strays.
Battle for Pokrovsk is reportedly still intense, but it appears that Ukraine’s time is limited. Unconfirmed reports of a lot of finger pointing in the military.
Poland –
The Operational Command of the Polish Armed Forces reports the scramble of fighter jets with the Polish and Allied Air Forces, in response to an ongoing drone and missile attack by Russia against locations in Western Ukraine. In addition, early-warning aircraft have been deployed, and ground-based air defense systems as well as radar reconnaissance systems have reached a state of maximum readiness across Poland.
ISRAEL –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing - Apr 24, 2025
Key overnight developments -
- Scattered airstrikes in Gaza
——— GENERAL ——————————-
The defense minister vowed there will be “no immunity” for Hamas leaders, neither at home nor abroad. “There is and will be no immunity for anyone in the leadership of the Hamas terror organization, neither for those wearing suits nor for those hiding in tunnels. Anyone who raises a hand against IDF soldiers, his hand will be severed,” Katz declared.
***
Netanyahu visited last night the US base in southern Israel’s city of Kiryat Gat. The prime minister spoke with CENTCOM Commander Admiral Brad Cooper and General Patrick Frank
“I am pleased to host our American friends here in Kiryat Gat. They are working together with us on a plan to achieve a different Gaza, a Gaza that will no longer pose a threat to Israel.”
——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————
Israeli warplanes launched an airstrike on the electricity company building and a house in the town of Abasan, east of Khan Younis
***
Under Red Cross escort, Hamas used the hostage search as cover to uncover and retrieve weapons hidden inside an IDF-controlled zone.
(YNET)
***
IDF conducted a precise strike in the area of Beit Lahia in the northern Gaza Strip targeting a terrorist infrastructure site where weapons and aerial means were stored, intended to be used for the execution of an imminent terror attack against IDF soldiers and the State of Israel.
***
The IDF conducted 10 attacks in East Khan Yunis. These are attacks on Hamas infrastructures inside the area under IDF control.
——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-
Israel being more aggressive in hitting Hamas targets when identified and not waiting for action on their part.
The reports of collaboration between the Red Cross and Hamas are very concerning, but not surprising given that Hamas has corrupted every NGO in Gaza to some extent as well as the Red Cross staying absolutely silent while Hamas tortured Israeli hostages.
Seems Israel is also ramping up strikes on Hezbollah while pressure is being put on the Lebanese govt to get it in gear and do their part to disarm Hezbollah.
Lebanon -
Hezbollah calls for support to Lebanese army in confronting Israel after the President orders to the army to “foil” any Israeli incursion
***
The Israeli army: We carried out raids on military infrastructure and a Hezbollah launch site in Al-Mahmoudiya in southern Lebanon.
***
Israeli army confirmed it carried out an “overnight operation in Blida, southern Lebanon, targeting Hezbollah infrastructure. During the raid, troops encountered a suspect inside a building and opened fire after identifying an immediate threat”
***
ISW. The Israel-Lebanon ceasefire monitoring committee has agreed to meet more frequently, likely to encourage greater dialogue between Israel and Lebanon. The ceasefire monitoring committee may seek to increase dialogue between Israel and Lebanon to resolve ongoing disagreements between the two countries over the US and Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) plans to disarm Hezbollah.
Venezuela - Threat Level - ADVISORY Sept 4, 2025
Venezuela’s military announced on Wednesday that it has destroyed two Colombian drug trafficking camps in the country. According to reports, the military has destroyed “two logistical camps used by Colombian Tancol groups” in Venezuela. The operation is believed to be a way for the country to showcase its anti-drug efforts to the United States, which has troops nearby.
OBSERVATION - Trump’s deployment of firepower to the Caribbean has really spooked Venezuela into action. In this case, it is probably too little, too late and land based narco-terror sites will soon be hit.
Misc of Note –
Interesting study that indeed could indicate that the “Big One” could be REALLY big.
A new study published recently in Geosphere finds that some of the largest earthquakes along the Cascadia subduction zone may have triggered nearly simultaneous ruptures on California’s San Andreas fault. The discovery suggests that the “really big one” in the Pacific Northwest could cascade southward, affecting much of the U.S. West Coast in a single sequence.
When the Cascadia subduction zone moves, the results are catastrophic. A rupture along its 1 000 km (620 miles) length can reach magnitude 9 or higher, shaking the entire Pacific Northwest and launching tsunamis that cross oceans. For decades, such events were thought to be confined north of Cape Mendocino, where the Juan de Fuca and Gorda plates slide beneath the continent.
South of that point, California’s San Andreas fault takes over as the main boundary between the Pacific and North American plates. It moves sideways rather than under, producing large strike-slip earthquakes such as the one that destroyed San Francisco in 1906. The meeting place of these two systems, known as the Mendocino triple junction, has long been viewed as a dividing line between distinct tectonic worlds.
However, the new study suggests the opposite. Sediments preserved off the coast of northern California record evidence that the two systems have occasionally ruptured in quick succession. That means a Cascadia megathrust earthquake might transfer enough stress to trigger movement on the northern San Andreas.
If so, a single tectonic episode could cause damaging earthquakes hundreds of kilometres apart. The entire U.S. Pacific coast could shake in sequence, creating overlapping crises from Washington to the Bay Area.
OBSERVATION - When I was an undergrad (back in the stone knives and bear skin era), the thought that a major quake could trigger another quake on a different fault zone was generally discounted. Since then, better seismic coverage and analysis has documented many such instances. However, this is on a much larger scale but the two systems are connected in that the movement on the San Andreas is the same as the Cascadia plate movement, hence a magnitude 9 would potentially transfer the stress southward.
Bottom line for those preparedness minded
- Get away from tsunami prone zones across the Pacific NW. In fact, the ‘famous’ I-5 line is still valid, given that a lot of the transportation and other infrastructure west of I-5 will be severely hammered by the 9.0+ quake, though not impacted by any tsunami.
- The Kalifornia ‘Big One’ is still pending, look to get to more stable ground (if not out of the state altogether for other reasons).
- If staying put, make sure your supplies are stored where they won’t be lost in the damage from a big one.
Final note - Even if the Cascadia doesn’t trigger the San Andraes, the disaster would create something of a magnitude the US has never seen. Economic and other effects would ripple out across the country, and especially hard in northwestern US.
Thank Godzilla
The HUGE problem is who gets to decide what's fact and what's opinion.
The globalists want themselves to be the ones to do that.
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