Posted on 11/05/2024 7:52:28 AM PST by Red Badger
Just spoke to a Democrat consultant friend on the ground in a swing state who told me I could repeat some of what we discussed. Here's what I can tell you; take it with a grain of salt if you like but I think he's being straight with me.
Nobody really thinks Kamala is going to win at this point. Canvassing is going poorly almost everywhere, with few exceptions. The party is getting their high-follower influencer accounts to push out motivational stories just to keep morale up and get them over the finish line with some dignity, but it's not great. The Iowa poll was good to give a shot of adrenaline to volunteers, but nobody important believes those numbers are real.
Of all the swing states, they're hoping Michigan comes through and possibly a late-night miracle in PA, but nobody is counting on either of them. They don't think Trump is actually going to flip VA or NH, but the fact that they've even entered the conversation is indicative of how bad things could potentially turn out.
The early vote counts are just beyond what they expected to see for Republican turnout, and has Dem strategists rethinking whether it was a good idea to make such a big push to broaden early voting in the first place. Republican low-propensity voters are activated in a way nobody really expected and the polls didn't capture it. Yes it's possible those early Republicans broke Democrat in an unprecedented way, but very unlikely.
The campaign has switched entirely to 'woman vs. man' messaging, as liberal white women are the only reliable voter bloc they can even identify at this point.
Priority now is saving some downballot races and flipping the house so the night isn't a total embarrassment for Democrats.
Like I said, take this all with a grain of salt as this is secondhand information, but this is what I was told, and I think it tracks with other things we know.
12:56 PM · Nov 4, 2024
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2.1M Views
The “ Great Replacment” is to replace THEMA, and I think they figured it out.
Exactly. or as my martial arts instructor used to say, punch through your target.
Or as my shooting instructor used to say "follow through with your shot."
If it come to the point where PA is the deciding state, we are screwed. The shenanigans in PA already being reported show that the Ds are prepared for just such a scenario and are implementing that plan.
“Yep, it’s a completely different vibe than 2020.”
************
It sure looks and feels that way. Trump and GOP are energized and appearing ascendent; Dems are flat and suffering from national disillusionment over their failed policies.
So that's what they're calling it now?
-PJ
link?
Don’t forget that they Democrat machine wants to save ‘face’ with their big-money donors.
Even people with lots of money don’t like lighting it on fire
just to watch it burn.
Twitter.
Married women majority support Trump.
Single, no.
“Black Philly turnout is way down.”
Have a link?
I’m not doubting you, but would like to read and relish the report myself.
Jack Prosopic.
“I’ve been voting in NH since 1986. I’ve never missed a primary or presidential vote. In all of my years, I’ve never seen lines outside of the building and down the driveway of our school. I went by at 8:00 am and then went by at 11 am. Lines the whole time. This is epic.”
An excellent report. Thanks.
Or as the hockey coach said, “bury the puck deep in the back of the net”
Dominion voting machines.
A company so “confident” of its product that it will sue you if you disparage it.
Dixville Notch. I googled it. Took 10 seconds.
“That late Iowa poll is a BS attempt to boost Dem turnout.”
I agree 100%.
It is a very different vibe. In 2020, Americans were probably feeling pretty good about their futures. Now, they have a bad case of Monkey Pox they can’t explain.
The ‘Rats burned an obvious national cheat to inflict the last four years of destruction on Americans’ jobs, health and children. When they threw Biden under the bus at his last debate, I think that was the signal that they weren’t going to do it that way, again.
I expect Trump to win, and then we will find out what the ‘Rats are planning.
At some point, we will figure out why they just couldn’t tolerate 4 more years of Trump, to be done with him.
Actually 2026.
The senate races, from what I see, aren't in our favor in two years.
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