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New Leaked Memo Confirms Democrats’ Alarming Turnout Crisis in Key Battleground States
The Gateway Pundit ^ | Nov. 4, 2024 | Jim Hᴏft

Posted on 11/04/2024 1:25:31 PM PST by SoConPubbie

With the clock ticking down to Election Day, Democrats are reportedly panicking over abysmally low voter turnout, especially in crucial battleground states. Leaked data reveals a troubling gap in urban voter participation—traditionally a Democrat stronghold—that could spell disaster for Kamala Harris’s campaign and the party at large.

With President Trump’s campaign outpacing Democrat efforts in absentee ballots and early voting, the data paints a troubling picture for Democrats.

According to the leaked memo from Tim Saler, Chief Data Consultant for the Republican National Committee, Democrats are facing a staggering deficit in urban turnout across battleground states.

This is not just a minor blip; it signals a catastrophic decline in support for Harris, or maybe those weren’t real “people” in 2020.

According to the confidential memo:

With Early Voting closed and Election Day on the horizon, Democrats are facing a massive turnout deficit. In every single battleground state, we see President Trump and Republicans outperforming elections past in absentee ballots and early votes cast. As we dive deeper into the data, Democrats are facing a precipitous decline in urban turnout according to their own “data experts” and we are tracking an uptick in rural turnout.

Obama’s former campaign manager, Jim Messina, said on MSNBC that “the early vote numbers are a little scary.” What Mr. Messina is downplaying, is they are a lot scarier for Democrats. According to NBC News, President Donald

Trump has a 16-point lead (56-40) among voters who plan to cast their ballot on Election Day. Obama’s chief campaign strategist and CNN political commentator, David Axelrod, told CNN that there are no guarantees that voters will turn out on Election Day for Vice President Harris.

Democrats are spinning themselves and reporters by claiming that their voters will turn out on Election Day when polls show otherwise and, most importantly, that’s asking Democrat voters to do something they have absolutely no history of doing. If Democrats, who historically vote ahead of Election Day, haven’t been motivated to show up for Kamala yet, why do we expect them to show up tomorrow?

President Donald J. Trump is going into Election Day stronger than he has in any previous election and if patriots across the country keep the momentum and turn out as expected on Election Day, we will be swearing in President Trump in January.

But you don’t need to take our word for it. According to Democrat data expert Tom Bonier of TargetSmart:

Arizona:

Urban turnout is down -385,285 votes compared to this point in 2020
Female turnout is down -170,011 votes compared to this point in 2020
Rural turnout is UP +14,124 votes compared to this point in 2020


Georgia:

Urban turnout is down -153,846 votes compared to this point in 2020
Female turnout is down -46,732 votes compared to this point in 2020
Rural turnout is UP +171,837 votes compared to this point in 2020


Michigan:

Urban turnout is down -321,523 votes compared to this point in 2020
Female turnout is down -204,856 votes compared to this point in 2020
Rural turnout is UP +55,951 votes compared to this point in 2020


North Carolina:

Urban turnout is down -175,470 votes compared to this point in 2020
Female turnout is down -154,459 votes compared to this point in 2020
Rural turnout is UP +26,911 votes compared to this point in 2020


Nevada:

Urban turnout is down -191,199 votes compared to this point in 2020
Female turnout is down -126,112 votes compared to this point in 2020


Pennsylvania:

Urban turnout is down -381,519 votes compared to this point in 2020
Female turnout is down -450,802 votes compared to this point in 2020


Wisconsin:

Urban turnout is down -100,733 votes compared to this point in 2020
Female turnout is down -238,452 votes compared to this point in 2020

BREAKING: New memo confirms that Democrats are facing a huge turnout issue in the battlegrounds.

PA: Urban turnout is down 381K votes, female turnout is down 450K votes.

WI: Urban down 100K, female down 238K. pic.twitter.com/azDBWGHSx4

— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) November 4, 2024

The Gateway Pundit reported on Sunday that Kamala Harris will need a record turnout on Election Day in order to overtake President Trump in Pennsylvania.

Former Philadelphia Mayor Michael Nutter warned Democrats that Kamala will need to 600,000 ballot vote margin over Trump in Philadelphia on Election Day to overtake the former President in Pennsylvania.

Now is not the time to sit back. Make sure your voice is heard—get out and vote!


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: harris; trump; turnout; urbanturnout
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1 posted on 11/04/2024 1:25:31 PM PST by SoConPubbie
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To: SoConPubbie

They make up the turnout with fake ballots.


2 posted on 11/04/2024 1:28:54 PM PST by ConservativeMind (Trump: Befuddling Democrats, Republicans, and the Media for the benefit of the US and all mankind.)
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To: SoConPubbie

Guess people are starting to realize that those food pantries are going to go bare one of these days, if they haven’t already.


3 posted on 11/04/2024 1:29:03 PM PST by LibsRJerks
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To: SoConPubbie

It’s sort of odd that the latest polls to be released show small Harris leads, just about everywhere, but the early voting data seems to contradict that.


4 posted on 11/04/2024 1:29:31 PM PST by Repealthe17thAmendment
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To: SoConPubbie

Oh yeah, Nutter. He’s the guy who fixed everything that was wrong with Philadelphia, right?


5 posted on 11/04/2024 1:29:54 PM PST by Wally_Kalbacken (uely)
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To: SoConPubbie

I think the Democrats have long thought that spending twice as much dough as the Pubs, along with fraudulent vote schemes, GUARANTEED them victory regardless of policy in oval office elections. It’s like they were thinking....”For the Garbage people, we don’t need no stinking policy!”

They may be 30 hours away from dead reckoning.


6 posted on 11/04/2024 1:30:06 PM PST by Cen-Tejas
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To: Repealthe17thAmendment
It’s sort of odd that the latest polls to be released show small Harris leads, just about everywhere, but the early voting data seems to contradict that.

It's not odd. They are effectively an extension of the DNC and they are desparate. Never assume they act honorably as you do. They don't. They're liars and cheats, PERIOD!
7 posted on 11/04/2024 1:32:49 PM PST by SoConPubbie (Trump has all the right enemies, DeSantis has all the wrong friends.)
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To: Wally_Kalbacken

I can tell you what its like on the ground in NV - and Dems are melting down all media with abortion-themed ads. So, I read that as an attempt to drive up turnout by women, and it looks not to be working, so far.


8 posted on 11/04/2024 1:33:04 PM PST by Wally_Kalbacken (uely)
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To: SoConPubbie

Where are Joe’s 81 m going to come from?


9 posted on 11/04/2024 1:35:11 PM PST by sopo
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To: Wally_Kalbacken

I can tell you what its like on the ground in NV - and Dems are melting down all media with abortion-themed ads. So, I read that as an attempt to drive up turnout by women, and it looks not to be working, so far.


10 posted on 11/04/2024 1:35:39 PM PST by Wally_Kalbacken (uely)
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To: SoConPubbie

The Trump campaign should NOT have released this now the Dems know how many ballots they have to stuff in order to “win”


11 posted on 11/04/2024 1:40:20 PM PST by Sarah Barracuda
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To: SoConPubbie

All the while the owners of our company are gleefully going to her rally tonight-—as their company is on the brink of closing down after 94 years of business.
Unbelievable-—Yes, business is that bad and yet they still don’t see it. Romans 1 is the only way I can deal with this kind of blindness.


12 posted on 11/04/2024 1:41:13 PM PST by mikelets456
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To: ConservativeMind

One reason 2024 is different than 2020 is that in 2024 mail in ballots in almost all states were only sent to people who requested them by a specific date (that has already passed).

That includes most of the key swing states.

That makes large scale cheating very difficult—not impossible—but much harder.


13 posted on 11/04/2024 1:41:16 PM PST by cgbg ("Our democracy" = Their Kleptocracy)
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To: Repealthe17thAmendment

The polls are discounting the many many Trump voters who are afraid to say who they are voting for..In 2016 we were deplorable, now we are Nazi’s..can you imagine some pollster calling your house knowing your name and asking who you are voting for..Id hang up


14 posted on 11/04/2024 1:41:29 PM PST by Sarah Barracuda
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To: SoConPubbie

I pray that Virgina does something unique and gets rid of Kaine. That would be an incredible victory in and of itself.


15 posted on 11/04/2024 1:42:29 PM PST by wbarmy (Trying to do better.)
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To: Wally_Kalbacken

Well probably a whole bunch of them made the track to a grocery store today and the food prices smacked them right between the kisser and probably weighted whether putting food on the table for your family is more important than paying for someone else’s taxpayers funded abortions! Believe me when it comes down to either starvation or disposing a baby in the womb hunger will always win! I know a lot of of us have experienced hunger growing up and I can tell you without a shadow of a doubt food will always win at the end!


16 posted on 11/04/2024 1:42:30 PM PST by RoseofTexas
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To: Sarah Barracuda

See post 13.

Kamala is burnt toast.


17 posted on 11/04/2024 1:42:34 PM PST by cgbg ("Our democracy" = Their Kleptocracy)
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To: cgbg

ping


18 posted on 11/04/2024 1:44:41 PM PST by nutmeg (Proud irredeemable deplorable bitter clingin’ piece of garbage)
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To: ConservativeMind

Or Dems are indeed turning out.

They’re voting for Trump.

And their votes are being deleted.


19 posted on 11/04/2024 1:44:47 PM PST by mewzilla (Never give up; never surrender!)
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To: cgbg

Oops, you’re already here! Keep up the great work. 😊


20 posted on 11/04/2024 1:45:43 PM PST by nutmeg (Proud irredeemable deplorable bitter clingin’ piece of garbage)
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