I don’t understand how they know how these people voted. Are they just counting Party affiliation?
Yes.................
Yes....Nevada registers by party and these are numbers based on those affiliations actually voting. That being said in Nevada 2020 Dems held a 83k edge in party ID..this year its down 19k..That being said the spike in independents in NV dwarfs both the Repub and Dem numbers. Independents now outnumber both parties in party ID by a lot.
Yes....Nevada registers by party and these are numbers based on those affiliations actually voting. That being said in Nevada 2020 Dems held a 83k edge in party ID..this year its down 19k..That being said the spike in independents in NV dwarfs both the Repub and Dem numbers. Independents now outnumber both parties in party ID by a lot.
>> I don’t understand how they know how these people voted.
They don’t. It’s all inference based. That’s not to say it’s wildly inaccurate, but just as with polls there are definitely error bars around their conclusions.
One bright spot (to me): much has been said about how many good Christian folks don’t vote because of lack of interest and disgust with politics. It is possible that that that bad habit has been broken somewhat in this election.
Yes. They are assuming that the R ballot requesters vote Trump (and all other Pubbies on the ballot), D’s vote the other way and Indy’s naturally break our way because reasons.
Another dangerous assumption:
Back when Rats dominated early voting everywhere, we assured ourselves that it was no big deal because that meant there were fewer D’s to vote on election day while tons of Republicans would vote on E-Day.... and just watch our smoke bay-bee!!!! We’re gonna “swamp the vote!”
Oops.
So NOW, when Rats no longer dominate early voting we are assuring ourselves that a significant number of Dems who fail to vote early will not vote at ALL and the good guys will still dominate on election day.
Oops again. Probably.
Correct—the are counting party affiliation.