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To: tlozo

Just because his analysis is based on historic lessons, he has been correct in the outcome. That Russia has choosen to not burn up their ever growing military in ground combat... but have used artillery and fm Jan 24 on FABs for weeks before assaults, Russia has proven slow is excellent.

Now that Russia has not pnly matched but supassed Ukrainian drone superiority, this is proving to totally disrupt Ukrainian logistics and vehicle movement adding yet another deminsion to accelerating Uke losses.

Russia went fm Uke manpower siperiority to their own manpower supremency with 4/5-1 numbers.

Did anyone think that Russia would withhold 700,000 troops from Ukraine as they were trsined? They project 590k in Dec 24, up from 420k or so in July.

Had Russia fed their army into the meatgrinder everyone making predictions on timelines probably would have been more timely.

Russia has outwaited NATO and the west politically. NATO built up Ukraine btw 2012-2022. Russia has whittled away the vast treasure invested by the west. Zelinski boosted his tanks wpuld be in Moscow in the Summer and fall of 2022.

NATO had an excellent longterm plan. Only the implementation of the Russian FAB broke the defensive lines. Now the drones are absolutely becoming a strategic advantage, going from Ukraine adv to Russia in Aug 24.

More Russian aviation will participate as Russia advances.

Never trust a democrat. They have snatched defeat from the military victory 100% since ‘53. Since Biden hosing VN he has made the wrong choice always. Obamas purge of the US Military has resulted in accelareted decline in US military performance and now NATO led by AmeriKa is failing at the atrategic level yet again in Ukeland.


51 posted on 09/01/2024 11:16:05 AM PDT by Jumper
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To: Jumper; tlozo; UMCRevMom@aol.com; dforest
Jumper: "Just because his analysis is based on historic lessons, he has been correct in the outcome.
That Russia has choosen to not burn up their ever growing military in ground combat... but have used artillery and fm Jan 24 on FABs for weeks before assaults, Russia has proven slow is excellent."

From all accounts, "History Legends" YouTube channel is run by Alexandre Robert, who says he is from Montreal, Canada.

Those who follow him seem to be rather evenly split between ones who say he's a pro-Russian shill and others who claim he's really pretty "fair, balanced and unafraid".

The case for "pro-Russian shill" comes from claims that he too often celebrates minor Russian victories while ignoring major Ukrainian wins.
The case for "fair and balanced" points to examples of the opposite.

There is even an interesting suggestion that Robert's ultimate loyalties are with Serbia, and this explains his pro-Russian biases.

There is no evidence to confirm or disprove that Alexandre Robert is the same man reported in this incident from 2007 in Dubai.

Jumper: "Now that Russia has not pnly matched but supassed Ukrainian drone superiority, this is proving to totally disrupt Ukrainian logistics and vehicle movement adding yet another deminsion to accelerating Uke losses."

Pokrovsk is roughly 25 miles west of Avdiivka, Donetsk, which Russians destroyed & conquered in February, 2024.
In the past six months Russians have advanced about 20 miles west, or roughly a mile per week, and are now about 5-miles east of Pokrovsk.

Five miles is within artillery range, which means Russians can already disrupt Ukrainian logistics moving through Pokrovsk, which makes Pokrovsk already far less of the central supply hub it once was.
So, Pokrovsk has now mostly evacuated civilians.

Russians still advancing only one mile per week, does not yet suggest "accelerating Uke losses".

Jumper: "Russia went fm Uke manpower siperiority to their own manpower supremency with 4/5-1 numbers.
Did anyone think that Russia would withhold 700,000 troops from Ukraine as they were trsined?
They project 590k in Dec 24, up from 420k or so in July."

In the meantime, Russian casualties have averaged well over 1,000 per day, according to Ukrainians and independent sources, meaning over 200,000 Russian casualties in 2024 alone, over 600,000 since February 2022.

Ukrainians report casualty ratios increased in 2024 from three Russians for every Ukrainian casualty to now six Russians for every Ukrainian.

Ukraine's total armed forces are now listed as 1,200,000 active duty, compared to Russia's 1,350,000 with 2,000,000 in reserves.
Both countries have millions more they could draw on in emergencies, but Russia's available numbers are circa three times larger than Ukraine's.

Jumper: "Russia has outwaited NATO and the west politically.
NATO built up Ukraine btw 2012-2022.
Russia has whittled away the vast treasure invested by the west.
Zelinski boosted his tanks wpuld be in Moscow in the Summer and fall of 2022."

All of that is 100% pure Russian propaganda nonsense, which no serious person would believe, much less repeat.

"Six people killed in Russian glide bomb attack in Kharkiv Russian forces used aerial guided,
Soviet-era bombs
weighing more than 1,000 pounds in the bombardment,
according to Ukraine’s general prosecutor’s office."
WaPo, August 31, 2024:

Jumper: "NATO had an excellent longterm plan.
Only the implementation of the Russian FAB broke the defensive lines.
Now the drones are absolutely becoming a strategic advantage, going from Ukraine adv to Russia in Aug 24."

"FAB" stands for "Fugasnaya AviaBomba", we call them Russian glide bombs (similar to US JADM-ERs), which have done considerable damage to Ukrainian fixed positions.
Ukrainians have used several different types of countermeasures to defeat Russian FAB glide bombs, but so far there are no statistics available to say how effective either side has been.

Jumper: "Never trust a democrat.
They have snatched defeat from the military victory 100% since ‘53.
Since Biden hosing VN he has made the wrong choice always.
Obamas purge of the US Military has resulted in accelareted decline in US military performance and now NATO led by AmeriKa is failing at the atrategic level yet again in Ukeland."

To me your words here sound very confused and disoriented, as if you'd been partaking of Russia's national drink.
So, my suggestion is: lay off that stuff for at least 24 hours before you sit down to post the next time, FRiend.

178 posted on 09/02/2024 9:14:24 AM PDT by BroJoeK (future DDG 134 -- we remember)
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