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PA Primary a DISASTER for Biden

Posted on 04/25/2024 8:18:31 AM PDT by HamiltonJay

The MSM largely ignored the PA primary tuesday, as they are Trump Trial 24/7 at this point, but the PA primary was a DISASTER for Joe Biden, don't let the top line lazy reporting fool you.

Lefties/TDS suffers want to latch onto the fact Trump only got 83% of the primary vote.. claiming that this was a closed primary state and he only got 83% of the vote.

This is true, but the spin this is bad for Trump once again shows how little the establishment media either understands Trump (or more importantly his supporters) or that they are just willing to lie to push a narrative. The Trump base, and the Republican base are not the same, yes there is a large overlap (about 80% or so), but Trump's support is far far greater than the Registered Republican Base, and always has been.

Haley was still on the ballot in PA, even though she dropped out. So yes at the end of the day Trump got about 16-17% of the Republican Primary vote... And Biden got about 88% of his primary voters... This is true, but it is also AWEFUL... Why?

Why is Biden's 88% awful? Well, he's the sitting President and basically unopposed for all effective purposes and didn't even pull in 88% of his parties vote... On the surface that looks good, but he is a sitting president running for re-election.. and effectively uncontested... (yes Dean Phillips is on the ballot, but he's gotten on press, or anything of any relevance). Trump on the other hand, when running for re-election in 2020 got over 92% of the primary vote.

Biden underperformed Trump's primary when sitting president by a full 50%. Trump lost <8% of his primary vote in 2020 getting 92.1% of the vote, Biden lost > 12% of his Primary vote as sitting president.

over 5% of Democrat primary voters WROTE IN SOMEONE.. and more than 6% went to the other nobody candidate on the Democrat ballot. That's TERRIBLE.

I know the TDS media is going to focus on Haley get about 150k votes or whatever she got, which would be the 20% of the GOP base that isn't Trump... they are the establishment/RINO/Globalist/Uniparty Republicans, the old school McRomBush folks.. I would expect Trump would have a difficult time cracking 85% in the PA primary, it would be an almost impossible task. However the real news is BIDEN did TERRIBLE.. a sitting incumbent president and couldn't even get 88% of his parties vote, and more than 5% wrote in someone, rather than vote for any formal candidate.

There was no formal "undeclared" movement that I am aware of operating in PA, but I can tell you a full 10% of my district wrote that in rather than vote for Biden.

Biden did LOUSY in the PA primary... I know they will try to focus on Haley, and Trump only getting 83%, but don't believe it, BIDEN absolutely is in trouble, no honest assessment of his numbers out of PA should give anyone a cause for elation if they are a Biden supporter, it was a lousy lousy day for him.


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To: Bon of Babble

“I will never believe Trump lost the state in 2020.”

I have relatives in Pennsylvania... I wouldn’t be that surprised.


21 posted on 04/25/2024 10:33:18 AM PDT by Clutch Martin ("The trouble ain't that there is too many fools, but that the lightning ain't distributed right." )
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To: HamiltonJay

“.. Let’s Talk Elections said Biden is going to win based on his PA primary votes.”
Three problems here: one: The RNC is using the Fractal program to find and identify fraudulent registrations in real time; Two: Blacks and Hispanics are running away from Crime Boss Joey and Three: The RNC is hiring 100,000 trained and ready to fight poll watchers - with many being assigned to Philadelphia and Pittsburg.


22 posted on 04/25/2024 10:46:58 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Freedom is never free. It must be won rewon and jealously guarded.)
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To: jmaroneps37

Sadly the PA GOp were active participants in the 2020 fraud, so I honestly believe trump will win PA by a significant margin, but given the PA GOP is I bed with thr Dems when it comes to Trump they may steal it again..

However I honestly expect the 2016 map plus a few more states at thr minimum for Trump. PA is the only one I would think might stay Biden because the corruption in this state to stop trump is across the board .


23 posted on 04/25/2024 11:50:58 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: HamiltonJay

To be clear, I don’t necessarily disagree with the assessments. The Tuesday PA primary only represented about 2 million ballots (/voters). There were approximately 7 million ballots (probably only 5 million voters), roughly 3.5 times the number of the Tuesday primary.

The primary election results showed that the democrats had approximately 10% more votes than republicans up and down the ballot. It’s had to see how any of the republicans win any of the PA elections n November. The 2024 general election will likely be trinary (DJT, RFK & FJB), but there’s no crystal ball that gives us a clue how this is going to shake out.

Objectively, with the condition of the economy, violent crime, border/immigration crisis and the multiple international conflicts, in a “normal” (/fair), FJB would absolutely toast - no question. But having to consider the last several elections, we probably shouldn’t be surprised to get 115 million votes to DJT’s 100 million votes . . .


24 posted on 04/25/2024 2:56:15 PM PDT by MCSETots
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To: MCSETots

Don’t write much into the turnout delta.

Dems had 3 contested elections including 5 people running for AG, GOP literally only had 1 contested race on the ballot

10% better turnout given that reality is nothing to be concerned about at all.

Would expect greater turnout by party who have more candidates running contested their campaigns are all going to work to GOTV. GOP literally only had 1 contested statewide race and it only had 2 candidates.

10% turnout difference is actually low given that difference.


25 posted on 04/25/2024 5:36:18 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
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