To be clear, I don’t necessarily disagree with the assessments. The Tuesday PA primary only represented about 2 million ballots (/voters). There were approximately 7 million ballots (probably only 5 million voters), roughly 3.5 times the number of the Tuesday primary.
The primary election results showed that the democrats had approximately 10% more votes than republicans up and down the ballot. It’s had to see how any of the republicans win any of the PA elections n November. The 2024 general election will likely be trinary (DJT, RFK & FJB), but there’s no crystal ball that gives us a clue how this is going to shake out.
Objectively, with the condition of the economy, violent crime, border/immigration crisis and the multiple international conflicts, in a “normal” (/fair), FJB would absolutely toast - no question. But having to consider the last several elections, we probably shouldn’t be surprised to get 115 million votes to DJT’s 100 million votes . . .
Don’t write much into the turnout delta.
Dems had 3 contested elections including 5 people running for AG, GOP literally only had 1 contested race on the ballot
10% better turnout given that reality is nothing to be concerned about at all.
Would expect greater turnout by party who have more candidates running contested their campaigns are all going to work to GOTV. GOP literally only had 1 contested statewide race and it only had 2 candidates.
10% turnout difference is actually low given that difference.