Attack On Europe: Documenting Russian Equipment Losses During The 2022 Russian Invasion Of Ukraine (2 year anniversary)

ORYX ^ | Since February 24, 2022 and daily | ORYX

[SpeedyInTexas]

This list only includes destroyed vehicles and equipment of which photo or videographic evidence is available. Therefore, the amount of equipment destroyed is significantly higher than recorded here. Loitering munitions, drones used as unmanned bait, civilian vehicles and derelict equipment are not included in this list. All possible effort has gone into avoiding duplicate entries and discerning the status of equipment between captured or abandoned. Many of the entries listed as 'abandoned' will likely end up captured or destroyed. Similarly, some of the captured equipment might be destroyed if it can't be recovered. When a vehicle is captured and then lost in service with its new owners, it is only added as a loss of the original operator to avoid double listings. When the origin of a piece of equipment can't be established, it's not included in the list. The Soviet flag is used when the equipment in question was produced prior to 1991. This list is constantly updated as additional footage becomes available.

[BeauBo]

The DIVE-LD (LD for "large displacement" - it is however functionally also long-distance and long-duration) AUV (Autonomous Underwater Vehicle), measuring 48 inches in diameter and 19 feet long and designed for operations down to 6,000 m water depth (the deepest part of the Black Sea is 2,212 meters).

DARPA has been shepherding its development for a few years. It won the swim-off as best in class, and Anduril stepped in and bought the company in 2022, bringing bigger financial backing to the company, as well as cutting edge AI capabilities, and a deep Defense Acquisition team.

Anduril said (in 2022) it will integrate Dive’s DIVE-LD modular and customizable AUV into its Lattice OS backbone, an autonomy software that uses computer vision, machine learning and mesh networking to fuse real-time data into a single, autonomous operating picture that can be scaled as needed.

It can be used for long-range oceanographic sensing, seabed mapping, undersea battlespace awareness, mine countermeasures and anti-submarine warfare. Somebody will likely pack it with a Mondo explosive charge, or arm it with weapons (like torpedoes), if they have not already.

[BeauBo]

Putin lands in North Korea looking for support, weapons, validation.

[BeauBo]

“Somebody will likely pack it with a Mondo explosive charge, or arm it with weapons (like torpedoes)”

Prototyping already on contract.

Anduril Industries
2/8/2024

“The U.S. Navy selected Anduril and its Dive family of large autonomous underwater vehicles (AUVs) to prototype distributed, long-range, persistent underwater sensing and payload delivery in contested environments.”

[PIF]

Reporting From Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU/videos

Reporting From Ukraine Uncensored Combat Footage (from this and past Reports) is found on Telegram:
https://t.me/RFUEnglish or @RFUEnglish
[ You need to have the Telegram app to view. ]

The complete transcript.
—
[ 2 Ukrainian Helicopters Wreak Havoc on a Russian Base ]

—

Day 846: Jun 18

Today, there are a lot of developments in the Kharkiv direction.

The most interesting news comes from the Lyptsi area.

Here, Russians attempted to concentrate their forces for a renewed wave of assaults and to regain the initiative. Ukrainians countered this by destroying the Russian units with air power and drive-by raids before they had the chance to launch their assaults.

The main Russian goal in this direction continues to be establishing control over the town of Lyptsi and creating a buffer zone to push Ukrainian artillery away from the international border.

Previously, Ukrainians were able to demoralize Russian units with drone strikes to the point that Russian soldiers abandoned their positions as soon as Ukrainians launched counterattacks. In desperation, Russian commanders saturated the area with reserves, which halted the Ukrainian momentum, but only in the short term.

The Institute for the Study of War reported that Russian forces were gathering near Hlyboke. Such a concentration of forces can only mean that Russians were preparing for a new wave of attacks toward Lyptsi.

The reason Russians decided to use Hlyboke as the launching area for their renewed attacks is quite complex. Russians are unable to transfer a large number of armored vehicles into the area, as Ukrainian drone operators are operating well behind the Russian border.

Geolocated footage confirms this, as any time Russians attempt to probe Ukrainian defenses with a tank, it quickly gets detected and destroyed by Ukrainian drone operators, as soon as it comes close to or crosses the border.

This causes Russian forces in the direction of Lyptsi to suffer from a severe lack of armored support.

Additionally, the terrain between Lukiantsi and Neskuchne is characterized by a series of small forests, separated by large open fields. Attempting to cross these fields with assault groups made up of pure infantry would be suicide, as Ukrainians have a large window of opportunity to spot and destroy the enemy.

This leaves only one possible axis of advance for large infantry assaults in this region. The distance between Hlyboke and the northern dachas of Lyptsi is relatively short, which limits the exposure of Russian soldiers to Ukrainian fire while they move to their target.

Ukrainians had initially pushed the Russians out of these dachas, but the new Russian force’s concentration here indicates that Russians planned to attack and regain the foothold.

Ukrainians understood the threat that this growing Russian force posed to Ukrainian defenders in the dachas and immediately sprang into action.

Firstly, Ukrainian drone operators spotted Russian infantry moving into one of the buildings in Hlyboke before targeting it with an FPV drone. It turns out that Russians had also gathered ammunition here, as it quickly caught fire and burned down the building.

As you may remember from a previous report, Ukrainians had also targeted numerous Russian air defense systems inside of Russian territory. As this significantly weakened the Russian air defense network, Ukrainians were also able to conduct air strikes on the Russian force’s concentrations in Hlyboke.

Geolocated footage shows how Ukrainians targeted other buildings that Russians had moved into with a series of JDAM air strikes. Ukrainian drone operators then continued to monitor the settlement and called in air strikes on Russian positions, leveling any Russian building to the ground.

Ukrainians also complimented the JDAM strikes, which are launched from fixed-wing aircraft, with helicopter close air support, to rain down further destruction on Russian forces in the settlement. Geolocated footage shows two Ukrainian Mi-24P ‘Hind’ heavy attack helicopters returning from such a fire mission on Hlyboke.

To emphasize to the Russian soldiers gathering in Hlyboke that Ukrainians would not allow them to collect sufficient forces from launching new attacks, Ukrainians launched a drive-by raid on the settlement with a Ukrainian-made BTR-4E Infantry Fighting vehicle, nicknamed ‘Bustafel.’

Bustafel first drove up to the settlement, firing its secondary gun to suppress Russian infantry hiding in the buildings. After it drove into position, it fired into the settlement with its main autocannon, destroying Russian positions with high-explosive ammunition. The vehicle then turned to also fire into the side of the town and a tree line with Russian positions before driving back to safety.

The Ukrainian operation of destroying the Russian forces concentrations had succeeded, as the Russians eventually did not launch their storming operation of the northern Dachas.

Russian military analysts even reported that due to later Ukrainian counterattacks, Ukrainians were able to advance up to the outskirts of Hlyboke. However, the true extent of the damage that Ukrainians had done to Russian forces became clear the next day. Ukrainian Kharkiv Group of Forces Spokesperson, Yuriy Povkh, stated that Russian soldiers were again beginning to abandon their positions.

Overall, Ukrainians have successfully prevented a new wave of Russian assaults by destroying the Russian accumulation of forces before they had the chance to attack. The effectiveness of this operation even allowed Ukrainians to regain a small amount of territory, despite the large amount of Russian forces present.

If Ukrainians can continue to inflict massive casualties on Russian forces and exploit the increasingly low Russian morale, Ukrainians will be able to push the Russian offensive back to the international border.

[PIF]

Kremlin snuff box, 06/19/24

Putin confirmed our insight about new taxes. When will we pay for childlessness?

The President said [ https://t.me/smotri_media/87001 ] that tax changes in Russia will be adopted in August. We wrote [ https://t.me/kremlin_secrets/4008 ] about this back in April.

They ask us: Vladimir Putin said nothing about the childlessness tax [ https://t.me/kremlin_secrets/4167 ]. Does this mean that they decided not to introduce it?

“A tax on childlessness is planned, nothing has changed here. But it is still being developed now. Vladimir Vladimirovich acted very wisely. Why announce a tax that is not fully developed? Everything will be said in due time,” a Kremlin source explained to us.

At the same time, according to the interlocutor at the Ministry of Finance, it is possible that taxes will be introduced in stages. “The base date for introducing the childlessness tax remains unchanged - August. But it is possible that it, like several other new taxes, will be postponed until the fall,” the source noted.

By the way, Andrei Belousov believes that first of all it is necessary to introduce the so-called “tax on deserters.” We wrote in detail about its essence here [ https://t.me/kremlin_secrets/4075 ].

[FtrPilot]

80% of Russian equipment and personnel that were stationed on the Russian border with Finland, have been transferred to Ukraine, a high-ranking Finnish military source confirms.

Garrisons and military bases are almost empty.

https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1803387700772225297

[FtrPilot]

❗Panic and Strong EXPLOSIONS #Belgorod 🔥🔥🔥

https://x.com/Azovsouth/status/1803368518651383908

Awaiting further information.

[blitz128]

When I read the usuals talking about the size of the Russian military as if that means guaranteed success, I never see the following question addressed.

You have the largest “country” in terms of land mass, a country (federation)held together largely by intimidation, corruption, and coercion. The fact that this “large” military is more and more being located in and around Ukraine leaves vast parts of your federation largely undefended and without occupation forces to enforce control.

Question how is that working out?

I have said for some time that the Russian federation as it stood Jan 2022 will not be the same in the future.

If China does not outright take land, they are and will effectively control much of it.

Another side question I have asked and would like some feed back

It is said that Russia has 500000 troops in Ukraine? Where are they. That is a lot of folks who need quarters, infrastructure to maintain,equipment…. The occupied territories of Ukraine is not really that big, having them disbursed in smaller groups across the land would not lend well to “discipline “ and logistics. In iraq and Afghanistan we had a large presence but we also had several very large bases like bagram, kaf, balad, green zone….as well as many established FOBs….

Troop concentrations are being hit but reports I see have them in the hundreds or less.

Where are they?

[FtrPilot]

Overnight, Russia launched 21 Shahed drones into Ukraine of which 19 were shot down.

https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1803295951383097702

In addition four other type drones were shot down in the Kherson region

The trajectory of Shahed drones during the attack overnight.

[PIF]

Translation:

https://yle.fi/a/74-20093440

High intelligence source for Yle: Almost all land forces in Russia’s vicinity are now in Ukraine

Satellite images obtained by Yle show that Russia has built a new supply hall for the Petrozavodsk equipment depot. It is surrounded by obsolete equipment.

Russia is intimidating NATO countries through World War III, but at least near Finland it does not seem to be preparing for a war.

Russian Army garrisoners and military bases near the Finnish border are still almost empty, although Russia has announced its strengthening of troops.

“At average, 80 per cent of equipment and soldiers have been transferred to the war in Ukraine,” says a high-ranking Finnish military intelligence source to Yle.

Yle does not give the identity of the source because of his office.

According to a source of intelligence, such a hard loss has also occurred at Russian bases in other parts of Russia. Only in the Moscow region of aggression against Ukraine has not taxed crews and weaponry as much.

In this case, changes in Russian local bases are assessed based on both intelligence and recent satellite images.

They show that, as far as the Army is concerned, Russia has sent much of its war of aggression to useable weaponry.

Training of conscripts brings temporary spike to military numbers

A war of invasions of Ukraine has taxed the highest number of Russian ground forces. Air Force, air defense forces and fleet have better occupation.

“We have followed the Army Brigades. Anti-aircraft equipment around St. Petersburg is still relatively strong, a Finnish intelligence source says.

The source said there is some variation in the strength of bases. In some garrisons, more than a fifth of soldiers remain, others less than. In addition, the numbers vary from season to season.

“There are sometimes new training items, i.e. the number of employees varies according to the training situation. Equipment comes and goes.

There are only conscript trainers left, while all contract soldiers have been put into real action, the source says.

Norway is in line with Finnish military intelligence.

The country’s intelligence agency has estimated that the number of ground troops has plummeted by 80 percent. The figure, though, reported in the annual report applies only to land force forces in Russia’s northern region of the Kola Peninsula.

The intelligence service estimates that after the end of the war in Ukraine, it will take Russia three to five years to restore the combat capability of its armed forces.

In addition, the decrease in Russian troops in areas against Finland and the Baltic states has been assessed by Foreign Policy newspapers in the early stages of the war. At the time, anonymous sources estimated that Russian Army forces in the region had been reduced by 80%.

The fierce of change won’t be revealed by satellite imagery

The launch of troops on the Ukrainian warfront is only partially reflected in satellite imagery.

Yle has acquired fresh satellite images of all nearby Russian bases and garrisonings, which were mainly taken during May.

The biggest single change was found at the Petrozavodsk equipment depot, where a new fleet hall was erected in May.

Yle also had a much more accurate new satellite image, but Yle could not get permission to publish it.

Petrozavodsk hangar repairs equipment to war

Petrozavodsk’s fleet would accommodate, for example, about 50 armoured vehicles when driven tightly.

Halls are likely to be used to renovate useful material. The main task of the depot is to send as much combat equipment as possible to the front, estimates a military expert, Major Retired. Marko Eklund.

Eklund, who has long studied the Russian armed forces, has studied satellite images in his work as a background provider for Yle.

There is plenty to fix, as much of the armored vehicles and guns of the Petrozavodsk equipment deposit have been kept at the mercy of the weather for decades.

According to satellite images, there is one new area in the Petrozavodsk depot that has emptied during the past winter.

Based on images from parents, at least MT-LB transport tanks have been retained there.

According to Eklund, they are used, for example, as gun-runers and infantry combat vehicles.

The intelligence source tells Yle that all first-line equipment has already been taken to war. Old equipment has also been deployed by renovating.

“It’s a pretty bad fleet according to our standards, but according to Russian standards it can still be OK,” an intelligence source told Yle.

Even if some of the equipment are rusty, there won’t be any problem, as it’s not a sensitive top technology.
Many equipment has been lost from north of Petrozavodsk

North of Petrozavodsk, Suoju is home to another separate area that has not been presented in public in Finland.

Before the offensive war, there were still a couple of 100 armoured vehicles in the open, as well as artillery, pioneering equipment and trucks. There are also six large halls in the area, which can hold at least the same amount of equipment.

As you can see from this pair of images, most of the equipment outside the base has lost to Ukraine since the Russian invasion.
According to Eklund, this is a base in which Russia retained equipment belonging to the rapidly established reserve forces.

War efforts are also evident in other garrisons in Russia’s nearby region.

In Kakjärvi, a large garrison and training area is separated from the satellite images of Kamenka, which is used by 138. A motorized infantry brigade. It is the strongest group of Russian armed forces in the direction of Finland.

A satellite image taken at Kamenka on April 30 shows how more than a hundred tents have been erected in the garrison’s training area.

According to Eklund, during the summer season, troops often move to camp accommodation in training areas.

“However, this camp is so large and is located near the barracks that it may be a number of training and accommodation arrangements recruited for war,” Eklund said.

The war-related movement can also be seen at Pskov Airport, where large air carriers are kept.

At the beginning of last August, only three of the machines were visible, but only three were only seen in a picture taken at the beginning of May.

According to Eklund, the low number of aircraft indicates that during wartime, heavy transport aircraft have many flight tasks around the country. In addition to the armed forces’ own transport, they can be used to transport components of the arms industry, for example.

Ukraine has previously hit Pskov Airport, so it is possible that equipment is also distributed to safer areas.

The remaining Ilyushin IL-76 transport aircraft appear on taxiing roads. None of them are land-mainly protected standings.

According to Eklund, it is difficult to estimate how quickly Russia will be able to equip the re-empted ground bases near Finland.

“It is influenced by the duration and end result of the war, i.e. how much of Russia will eventually lose its modern equipment and old warehouses,” Eklund says.

According to Eklund, it also matters how Western sanctions affect Russia’s arms industry: whether it will at some point be able to produce new combat equipment or focus on the renovation of the old one, as is happening now.

In the future, Russia will not only be able to focus on improving anti-Finnish areas, Eklund points out. Russia has a large border with other countries it considers hostile, too. Russia automatically denies hosty NATO countries, despite making a major offensive itself.

It will take years to build a modern army, Eklund says. Instead, Russia, which consists of old military equipment, can get ready faster.

“If only the requirement is that equipment is moving and smoke coming from the exhaust pipe, gaps created by war can be filled more quickly by using old warehouses,” Eklund said.

[PIF]

It is said that Russia has 500,000 troops in Ukraine. Where are they?

—
Still forming up on the overall commander’s paper roster.

More than likely, those troops are stationed at posts/camps behind the international border on the Russian side being trained. Please do NOT tell V.V. Putin!

[FtrPilot]

Excellent analysis...thanks for posting.

"It is said that Russia has 500000 troops in Ukraine? Where are they?"

A lot of those troops are in trenches and blown out buildings along the stationary front.

ISR drones make it difficult or impossible to mass for a breakout attack.

Attacks are small with a couple of tanks or IFVs and 10 to 20 poorly trained orcs.

The attacks have achieved small gains, but at the expense of high casualty numbers in equipment and troops.

The attacks are easily spotted by ISR drones and stopped by mines, FPV drones, Javelins, NASAM rockets, and now ATAMCMs.

Your comments WRT discipline and logistics are true...I believe this will, over time, cause the Russian military in Ukraine to collapse.

[FtrPilot]

A North Korean official kicked out Russian ministers who entered the meeting room before Kim Jong Un. Foreign Minister Lavrov, Defense Minister Belousov, Health Minister Murashko, Roscosmos head Borisov, First Deputy Prime Minister Manturov and Deputy Prime Minister Savelyev were expelled from the hall.

— Go out into the hall.
- Why did we come here? You should have warned me right away...
— Our leader will come in first.

https://x.com/wartranslated/status/1803416735690682462

[PIF]

Russia, vassal state of China and now North Korea.

[ETCM]

80% of Russian equipment and personnel that were stationed on the Russian border with Finland, have been transferred to Ukraine, a high-ranking Finnish military source confirms. Garrisons and military bases are almost empty.

You have to wonder why Russia had large troop concentrations on its border with NEUTRAL Finland, no? And it's the same across all of Russia's borders. Of course Putin has always known that NATO would not invade Russia. NATO "expansion" was never a threat to Russia. In fact, when Russia invaded Ukraine in 2014, the USA had just 30,000 troops in all of Europe, the lowest level since the fall of the Soviet Union. And European NATO also had the lowest number of troops since 1991. NATO wasn't growing, it was disarming. Fewer men, fewer weapons, lower manufacturing, more western money flowing to Russia. NATO was weaker than any time in over 30 years. Putin took advantage of that weakness to invade Ukraine in 2014, and when NATO did nothing about that, he launched a full scale invasion in 2022.

Finland has long known why those Russian troops were on their border, and it wasn't because they feared a Finnish invasion. They were the global poster child of "forced neutrality", in constant fear of a Soviet/Russian invasion if they dared align with any nation but Russia. Finlandization has also been applied in Georgia, Ukraine, Moldova, Central Asia, and now Armenia. The 2022 invasion was the final straw that convinced the Finns they might be next. With Russia weakened and tied up in Ukraine, Finland finally had an opportunity to stand up and declare independence.

[blitz128]

lol then not actually in Ukraine

Still we had bases with 20-30000 and not nearly the numbers they claim

Basically I am saying the 500k is bs Muscovite propaganda