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To: FtrPilot

When I read the usuals talking about the size of the Russian military as if that means guaranteed success, I never see the following question addressed.

You have the largest “country” in terms of land mass, a country (federation)held together largely by intimidation, corruption, and coercion. The fact that this “large” military is more and more being located in and around Ukraine leaves vast parts of your federation largely undefended and without occupation forces to enforce control.

Question how is that working out?

I have said for some time that the Russian federation as it stood Jan 2022 will not be the same in the future.

If China does not outright take land, they are and will effectively control much of it.

Another side question I have asked and would like some feed back

It is said that Russia has 500000 troops in Ukraine? Where are they. That is a lot of folks who need quarters, infrastructure to maintain,equipment…. The occupied territories of Ukraine is not really that big, having them disbursed in smaller groups across the land would not lend well to “discipline “ and logistics. In iraq and Afghanistan we had a large presence but we also had several very large bases like bagram, kaf, balad, green zone….as well as many established FOBs….

Troop concentrations are being hit but reports I see have them in the hundreds or less.

Where are they?


3,068 posted on 06/19/2024 4:44:02 AM PDT by blitz128
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To: blitz128

It is said that Russia has 500,000 troops in Ukraine. Where are they?


Still forming up on the overall commander’s paper roster.

More than likely, those troops are stationed at posts/camps behind the international border on the Russian side being trained. Please do NOT tell V.V. Putin!


3,071 posted on 06/19/2024 5:13:55 AM PDT by PIF (They came for me and mine ... now its your turn)
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To: blitz128
Excellent analysis...thanks for posting.

"It is said that Russia has 500000 troops in Ukraine? Where are they?"

A lot of those troops are in trenches and blown out buildings along the stationary front.

ISR drones make it difficult or impossible to mass for a breakout attack.

Attacks are small with a couple of tanks or IFVs and 10 to 20 poorly trained orcs.

The attacks have achieved small gains, but at the expense of high casualty numbers in equipment and troops.

The attacks are easily spotted by ISR drones and stopped by mines, FPV drones, Javelins, NASAM rockets, and now ATAMCMs.

Your comments WRT discipline and logistics are true...I believe this will, over time, cause the Russian military in Ukraine to collapse.

3,072 posted on 06/19/2024 5:34:18 AM PDT by FtrPilot
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