Attack On Europe: Documenting Russian Equipment Losses During The 2022 Russian Invasion Of Ukraine (2 year anniversary)

This list only includes destroyed vehicles and equipment of which photo or videographic evidence is available. Therefore, the amount of equipment destroyed is significantly higher than recorded here. Loitering munitions, drones used as unmanned bait, civilian vehicles and derelict equipment are not included in this list. All possible effort has gone into avoiding duplicate entries and discerning the status of equipment between captured or abandoned. Many of the entries listed as 'abandoned' will likely end up captured or destroyed. Similarly, some of the captured equipment might be destroyed if it can't be recovered. When a vehicle is captured and then lost in service with its new owners, it is only added as a loss of the original operator to avoid double listings. When the origin of a piece of equipment can't be established, it's not included in the list. The Soviet flag is used when the equipment in question was produced prior to 1991. This list is constantly updated as additional footage becomes available.

GROK3

Russia's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has shown resilience and growth in recent years, particularly when viewed through certain economic lenses. In 2023, Russia's nominal GDP was approximately $2.01 trillion USD, according to World Bank data, reflecting its position as the 11th largest economy globally by nominal terms. However, when measured by Purchasing Power Parity (PPP), which adjusts for price differences and local purchasing power, Russia's GDP is significantly higher—estimated at around $4.99 trillion in 2023 by the IMF, making it the 4th largest economy worldwide, behind China, the U.S., and India, and surpassing Germany and Japan.

Recent economic performance indicates strength despite challenges like Western sanctions following the 2022 invasion of Ukraine. Real GDP growth, adjusted for inflation, was 3.6% in 2023, a notable recovery from a 1.2% contraction in 2022. The IMF projects growth to slow to 1.3% in 2025 due to factors like tighter monetary policy and labor market constraints, but Russia has outperformed earlier forecasts predicting sharp declines. This resilience is partly driven by a shift to a war economy, with significant government spending on defense—projected at 6.3% of GDP in 2025—boosting production, particularly in the arms sector. Energy exports, especially oil and gas, remain a cornerstone, contributing around 40% of GDP, while the country has pivoted trade toward non-Western partners like China and India.

Someone is in a hurry.

Кремлевская табакерка

The Central Bank named an “almost exact” timeframe for the end of the SVO. And gave a forecast for the summer.

The SVO will “almost definitely” end before the beginning of the summer, several sources in the Central Bank believe. They gave this forecast to our channel. According to one of the sources, there are as many as three reasons why this will most likely happen.

Firstly, the Central Bank notes that if the SVO is not ended by the summer, at the latest in June, “a terrible crisis will occur in our economy”. “We have repeatedly warned about such a scenario. Now the forecasts have worsened. Therefore, military actions must be ended”, - emphasized the source close to Elvira Nabiullina. He did not specify what kind of crisis it will be, but noted that “serious problems may begin with food prices, the ruble exchange rate and the sale of energy resources”.

Secondly, the Central Bank believes that pressure from the Americans is an important factor in the end of the SVO. “They can introduce sanctions that I'm afraid to even talk about. I think Vladimir Vladimirovich understands all the threats,” another source of the channel emphasized.

Thirdly, the interlocutors claim that they heard that they are preparing almost repressions against radical patriots, whom some call hawks. And who advocate continuing the SVO until complete Victory. It should be noted that such concerns were previously expressed in conversations with us by the patriots themselves . Thus, a source in the Kremlin said that he does not rule out that he will be “cleaned up.” What exactly he meant, the representative of the Presidential Administration did not specify. The Kremlin refused to comment on the words of the Central Bank representatives. And the military urges “not to listen to economists, financiers and not to believe any of their forecasts regarding the SVO.”

https://t.me/kremlin_secrets/5420

“The SVO (invasion of Ukraine) will “almost definitely” end before the beginning of the summer, several sources in the (Russian) Central Bank believe...

...Firstly, the Central Bank notes that if the SVO is not ended by the summer, at the latest in June, “a terrible crisis will occur in our economy”... “serious problems may begin with food prices, the ruble exchange rate and the sale of energy resources”.

Secondly... pressure from the Americans is an important factor in the end of the SVO. “They can introduce sanctions that I’m afraid to even talk about.”

I would add the depletion of Russia’s Military stockpiles and the mounting damage being inflicted by Ukrainian attacks inside Russia as well.

Russia needs a deal, and President Trump has the cards (and the testicular fortitude) to force them to deal.

My assessment is that we are likely to see a ceasefire reasonably soon (before the mud season dries), that gets extended, and hopefully a final settlement out of that.

Historic.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 16, 2025

US National Security Advisor Mike Waltz stated on March 16 that Ukraine will receive unspecified security guarantees in exchange for unspecified territorial concessions.[1] Waltz also stated that the United States is considering “the reality of the situation on the ground” in diplomatic talks when discussing an end to the war in Ukraine.[2] It is not clear exactly what Waltz meant by “the reality of the situation on the ground.” Russian officials have frequently used the narrative that any negotiations must consider the “realities on the ground” to refer to the current frontline in Ukraine and their claims of the inevitability of further Russian battlefield gains.[3] Waltz's acknowledgement that Ukraine will receive unspecified security guarantees is a key aspect of achieving US President Donald Trump's stated goal of securing a lasting peace in Ukraine, but stopping hostilities on indefensible lines would limit the effectiveness of security guarantees.

The current frontlines do not provide the strategic depth that Ukraine will need to reliably defend against renewed Russian aggression. Russian forces are just across the Dnipro River from Kherson City, roughly 25 kilometers from Zaporizhzhia City, and 30 kilometers from Kharkiv City. Russian troops on the Dnipro River could use a ceasefire to prepare for the extremely difficult task of conducting an opposed river crossing undisturbed, significantly increasing the likelihood of success in such an endeavor. Stopping a well-prepared, major mechanized offensive cold is extremely rare in war, which means that a renewed Russian assault would likely threaten both Kharkiv and Zaporizhzhia cities, as well as key cities in the Donetsk “fortress belt,” almost immediately. Russia is constructing a large highway and railway aimed at connecting major cities in occupied Ukraine and Russia, which will reinforce Russia's hold on occupied Ukraine and Russia's ability to transport and supply Russian forces operating in Ukraine in the event of a future Russian offensive in southern Ukraine.[4]

The US and Europe would likely need to provide military aid to Ukraine more rapidly, in much larger volumes, and at higher cost the closer the ultimate ceasefire lines are to the current frontline. Ukraine would likely need an even larger military with greater capabilities to play its critical role in deterring and, if necessary, defeating future aggression along current frontline (both within Ukraine and along Ukraine's international border with Russia) that is over 2,100 kilometers long. Enforcing a ceasefire along the current frontline would also require the commitment of large numbers of Western forces. Helping Ukraine regain strategically critical territory, as Trump has suggested he intends to do, could significantly reduce the cost and difficulty of securing a future peace.[5] A ceasefire along more defensible positions would also place Russian forces in a more disadvantaged position for renewed offensive operations, making future Russian aggression less likely.

The United Kingdom (UK) convened a virtual Coalition of the Willing summit on March 15 to reiterate support for Ukraine and discuss plans for peace. UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer chaired a virtual meeting with 29 international leaders, including Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and officials from Europe, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand, who have agreed to continue pressuring Russia, supplying military aid to Ukraine, and tightening economic restraints on Russia “to weaken Putin's war machine and bring him to the [negotiating] table.”[13] Starmer stated that the Kremlin's delay over the US ceasefire proposal contradicts Putin's stated desire for peace.[14]

An unnamed military source told The Sunday Times on March 16 that 35 countries within the coalition have agreed to supply weapons, logistics, and intelligence support aimed at deterring Putin from resuming offensive operations in the future.[15] The Sunday Times reported on March 16 that Starmer outlined plans to deploy a Western peacekeeping contingent of over 10,000 troops to Ukraine, and an unnamed senior official told the outlet that officials are working at an “unprecedented” speed to establish the contingent. Starmer stated that the coalition will reconvene on March 20 to accelerate efforts to support a potential peace deal in Ukraine.[16]

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-march-16-2025

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