CNN's First Electoral Map Shows Biden in Big Trouble, Trump in Position to Win

Red State ^ | 01/07/2024 | Nick Arama

[SeekAndFind]

CNN has come out with its first electoral map of the campaign season and the "Road to 270." The map is based on polling and other factors they detailed. 

And it is that path to 270 that we attempt to explore here. We base this current outlook on public and private polling, conversations with campaign advisers, Republican and Democratic political operatives, members of Congress, and political professionals involved with outside groups poised to be active in the race.

First, let's start by saying how hilarious it is that they spent multiple paragraphs downplaying the map before they even started talking about it. Here's a small sample. 

This is an exercise designed to capture where the race stands today. If we have learned anything in recent American political history, it is to expect the unexpected. We don’t even know for certain if Biden and Trump will be the two major party nominees in the fall. However, since that appears to be the likeliest choice at this point, we have explored this initial outlook through the lens of a Biden vs. Trump race. Future versions of this outlook will similarly reflect the realities of the race, as best we can assess them at the time.

But once you get to the map, you see why they seemed to be trying to downplay it. 

Map of 2024 based on CNN projections

Obviously take this with a grain of salt, but if this is indicative of reality and holds until November, this year will be interesting


pic.twitter.com/IEsIGTaVrX— Jesse Hughes ✝️🇺🇸 (@jhughes1776) January 6, 2024

In this initial electoral map outlook, Trump has 28 states (and one congressional district in Maine) either solidly in his corner or leaning in his direction that total up to 272 electoral votes – two more than what is required to win the presidency.

For his part, Biden has 19 states plus the District of Columbia either solidly in his favor or leaning in his direction, which brings his total electoral vote count to 225 – 45 votes short of the 270 required to win.

They thought three states and one district with 41 electoral votes were toss-ups: Arizona (11), Nebraska 2nd Congressional District (1), Pennsylvania (19), and Wisconsin (10). But that would still leave Biden short even if he got all the toss-ups. He would still need one of the ones that's "leaning Republican" to flip to him. 

Now, it is early, and I have doubts about things like Michigan leaning red. And we've already seen many data points that are spelling trouble for Biden that seem to back it up. From swing states going to Trump to Biden starting to hemorrhage people from vital groups he needs, including the young, the more left, black voters, and yes, Muslims in Michigan saying they're not going to vote for Biden because of his stance on the Israel Hamas war. Even Barack Obama is worried about the election and Trump's strength. 

So I think it's fair to say this is one more sign of big trouble for Biden. 

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Related: 

New Swing State Polling Show Great News for Trump - Even CNN Admits Biden Is In Big Trouble

Report: Obama Worried About 2024 Biden Campaign, Aides Dish on Tension Between Camps

[Mark17]

How about election fraud?

[j.havenfarm]

Florida’s a toss up?

[chickenlips]

From the article: “But once you get to the map, you see why they seemed to be trying to downplay it.”

Of course they “downplay it”. It’s a CNN psyop.

[Rocco DiPippo]

More than three years since the election was stolen from Trump which was enough time to at least put a big dent in the Dem’s, RINO’s and globalist’s vote fraud schemes. I don’t think that’s happened which means that the big cheat will once again be in play.

[Mark17]

Yes, who is going to stop their election fraud?

[Deplorable American1776]

CNN worried but not enough fraud in 2024 to help Biden.

Fixed the headlines.

[napscoordinator]

No. Just a win from 5-10 point which is light red. Florida has the abortion amendment on it for 2024 which is probably why it’s not deep red.

[Dan in Wichita]

It’s really stomach-churning to see so many states approve of what Biden and the Democrats are doing to America.

[Mlheureux]

Common CNN, my dog could beat biden and my dog is dead.

[wny]

PA, WI and AZ are certified cheating states. They will all go blue....miraculously...in the middle of the night....or 2 weeks later after finding ‘missing’ ballots. Same old same old....

[Arlis]

Irrelevant if fraud is not prevented.

& no one has done anything to change who counts the votes.....