Buckle your seat belts, this is going to be a wild week. Stock markets are in a spin globally and the middle east is a powder keg.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate to High THREAT - up dated July 14, 2024
— Attempted assassination of Trump.
August 19 - DNC convention in Chicago, IL
***
Rep Jamie Raskin says Congress will stop Donald Trump on J6 2025 using the 14th Amendment and create “civil war conditions”
OBSERVATION - Are they that stupid or crazy to try such an attempt? IMHO the answer is a strong YES. The history of the matter of their persecution of Trump the past 4+ years indicates that they will do what ever is necessary - inlacing an assassination (yes I went there) to prevent Trump from retiring to the presidency. Raskin is only echoing what the left has been increasingly been spouting the past couple years. If he and his ilk in congress attempt such a move, it won’t be unarmed Trump supporters coming into DC this time.
***
The riots in Britain are a harbinger of what to expect soon in the US IMHO. We have sections of the country essentially now moslem entities and pro-islamic violence has started to rear its head in the pro-Hamas protests/riots of this year. Things in Europe are devolving into what many consider to be a race/religious war between islam and the west. Because nations like Great Britain are essentially unarmed, the more aggressive knife and axe wielding moslems have the current advantage. Here in the US it would devolve into something far more lethal.
Terrorism - Heightened THREAT as of Aug 1, 2024
See Illegal Immigration below on released terrorists into the US by the regime.
Economy- HIGH Threat - as of AUG 5, 2024
Stock markets in Europe remained unsettled on Tuesday despite a rebound in Japan which almost reversed record falls at the start of the week.
London’s FTSE 100, along with stock markets in Paris and Frankfurt, opened higher but soon slid back.
Overnight, Japan’s Nikkei 225 stock index jumped by 10.23%, or 3,217 points in its biggest one day gain in points, after the previous day’s plummet.
Focus has now shifted to US stock markets.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c1d77xe2p26o
U.S. stock index futures rebounded Tuesday as dovish rate commentary from Federal Reserve officials helped lift the mood and investors looked for bargains after a rout in the previous session.
OBSERVATION - This week will still be jumpy. Some analysts see the rebound being a dead cat bounce, others the Monday losses being an overdue correction. Will the Fed’s platitudes be enough to stem the hemorrhage?
IN RELATED - Robert Prechter, founder and president of Elliott Wave International, conveyed his concerns during an interview with Neil Cavuto on Fox Business, suggesting that the Federal Reserve missed a crucial opportunity at its previous meeting to address the ongoing market turmoil.
Prechter expressed his belief that an emergency rate cut is imminent due to the rapid decline in rates. The last time the Fed made such a move was during the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic. However, many experts argue that another emergency cut could signal that the US economy is in dire straits, potentially exacerbating market anxieties.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
USS Roosevelt CSG is last reported steaming southward and likely headed to the Red Sea region from the Gulf of Oman.
The USS Lincoln last reported Sunday at Guam headed west.
The USS Wasp ARG has moved into the eastern Med.
POLITICAL FRONT –
August 19 DNC convention in Chicago, IL
**** Remember, most polls are designed to shape opinion, not reflect it. ****
Former Secret Service Chief Cheatle wanted To destroy cocaine evidenced according to three sources in the Secret Service Community.
New details emerge about the unsolved cocaine mystery, a “partial DNA hit” and Secret Service leaders’ bungled efforts to make it all disappear.
OBSERVATION - Headline news, but at this stage the cancerous corruption of our federal level law enforcement agencies is at Stage V I fear. With the abysmal handling of the PA shooting, the SS is severely compromised.
Biden / Harris Watch –
Lets take a step back from the last couple weeks. Does everyone remember how the democrat party was torn about getting rid of biden and having to put up with a wildly unpopular harris - even to the extent of resurrecting hillary for the task?
Well the massive propaganda effort to show harris as the best thing to happen to this country has been, to say the least, incredible and may account for much of her bounce in the recent polling. This will likely stay until she is forced to start answering press questions and even a debate with out scripted helps. Also noted is that her campaign website is completely void of her policy goals for her administration - nothing, nada zilch. The press / PR machine is going all out to screen her from real public scrutiny .
Biden’s top economic advisor, Gene Sperling announced he is leaving the WH to join the harris campaign.
Kamala Harris was “dismissed” from an Israel/Iran briefing in the Situation Room yesterday. Some say she only showed up for a photo op and left early.
Illegal Immigration –
Fox News’ Bill Melugin, who also reviewed the report, said the border data that dates back between 2021-23 shows “at least 99 illegal aliens on the FBI terror watchlist were released into the US after being arrested by Border Patrol at the southern border, and another 34 watchlisted aliens are still in DHS custody.”
BREAKING: Per new DHS data provided to @JudiciaryGOP, between fiscal years 2021-2023, at least 99 illegal aliens on the FBI terror watchlist were released into the US after being arrested by Border Patrol at the southern border, and another 34 watchlisted aliens are still in DHS…
— Bill Melugin (@BillMelugin_) August 5, 2024
OBSERVATION - Cross ref to Terrorism NOTE - it only took 13 to cause the 9/11 carnage. This is 10 times that - of the ones we KNOW OF.
Russia -
The Secretary of the Russian Security Council and Former Minister of Defense, Sergei Shoigu has reportedly arrived in the Iranian Capital of Tehran, for what is being described as a “Working Visit” with him set to meet with the New Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures continue in the 80 - 90 degree range and fair.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Russian Ministry of Defense claims full occupation of Tymofiivka village in Donetsk region of Ukraine, Ocheretyne front.
Ukrainian forces have reportedly crossed the border into the Kursk region of Russia launching attacks on the towns of Gogolevka and Nikolaevo-Dar’ino. Probably done by the Russian Freedom Legion / Russian Volunteer Corps who have launched these border raids in the past. .
Ukrainian forces reportedly have repelled 18 large scale assaults in the direction of Toretsk today, Russian forces have made some advances they are concentrating 80 percent of their daily assault efforts in this direction.
Ukrainian forces repelled 2 large scale assaults in the area of Mala Tokmachka destroying significant amounts of equipment and manpower of Russian forces.
Outlook —
Russia is attempting to focus its forces to exploit weaknesses in the Ukrainian defensed identified and developed over the spring/summer. Part of this may be in recognition that the favorable terrain will soon revert to the infamous Ukraine mud in a matter of a couple months. Even with all this effort, Russian gains versus losses are incredible, with well over a thousand lost each day, the forces necessary to exploit any breakthrough at this stage are dwindling.
Speaking of losses, Russia is fast approaching the 600,000 casualty level. Somehow Russia is managing to scrounge up enough to keep the meat chain alive and grow the force, but like the declining numbers of operational tanks and armor, those reservers are beginning to run out.
The Russian ADA support to Iran could provide a window of opportunity for Ukraine to increase its attacks on S300/400 batteries in the theatre. Even before the Israeli / Iranian flare up, Russia was hurting to cover its own assets from the Ukraine drone attacks. Now, it will have even fewer reserves to replace batteries lost to ATACMS fire.
Europe / NATO General –
The immigrant riots in England continued to cycle upwards yesterday. British police continue to ‘protect’ club and axe wielding moslem immigrants who have been essentially going door to door to threaten and beat British citizens, breaking into restaurants to do same and creating road blocks to assault drivers.
Now British police are going to homes to arrest those who posted something ‘offensive’ on social media. (Cross reference this under Globalism/Great Reset)
British prime minister Keir Starmer said in new comments that he’s readying a “standing army” of police to crush the anti-mass migration protests and riots. He said courts would be opened 24 hours for fast prosecution and sentencing.
Baron Walney, John Woodcock, the UK Government’s adviser on political violence, is now arguing that the government consider a COVID-style lockdown using the 2023 Public Order Act to stop all protests against open borders and migrant violence if the unrest continues.
OBSERVATION - The year is now shaping up as one where radical islamists who’ve infiltrated western countries are surging forward via violence to essentially overthrow their host govts. And in the case of Britain, the govt is condoning the movement.
This is not unlike what was seen here in 2020 where many of the major cities kowtowed to the Antifa/BLM demands and riots of the year.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Tensions continue to be high in anticipation of the Iranian/Hezbollah strike.
- UN admits its employees participated in Oct 7 atrocities.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.
UN says nine UNRWA members may have been involved with Hamas terror attack on Israel on October 7. Those individuals have been ‘fired’.
Chairman of the National Security Committee of the Iranian Shura Council: The assassination of Haniyeh is considered a “declaration of war” and an infringement on Iran’s territory
biden reportedly briefed that Iran and Hezbollah are planning a two wave attack, but unclear as who will fire first and when.
Unconfirmed reports from unnamed US officials that over the weekend, the US has recognized that Iran is moving missile launchers and conducting military exercises - steps that signal that it is preparing to launch an attack in the coming days
Senior IDF officials suggested to the Prime Minister and the Minister of Defense not to wait for an attack by Hezbollah and launch proactive Israeli attack
There are rumors that Israel conveyed a message to Iran through a third European country- Any attack on civilian targets by Iran will be met with the immediate destruction of all Iranian nuclear facilities. Some are beginning to think that this is the cause of Iran’s current delay before attacking.
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Israel maintains a fairly high tempo of air/artillery strikes against Hamas concentrations across Gaza.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Israeli army spokesman: Given the recent developments, there is no change in the instructions of the Home Front Command
Israel and Hezbollah exchanged strikes overnight.
The IDF has eliminated Ali Jamal al-Din Jawad, who was a commander in Hezbollah’s Radwan special ops force.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
A missile attack on the Ain al-Asad base, which houses American forces, in western Iraq. Several US servicemen wounded. US retaliatory strikes anticipated.
The US military announced that it destroyed three Houthi drones in the Gulf of Aden, one drone that was ready to be launched on Yemeni soil and another drone, one unmanned vessel and a ballistic missile in the Red Sea
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Both Jordan and Saudi Arabia have barred Iran and Israel/US Coalition aircraft from using its airspace. In the case of Saudi Arabia it has reportedly told Iranian Officials, that and violation of its airspace will be seen as a violation of Saudi sovereignty, stating that, “We are Defending ourselves, not Israel.”
——— FORECAST ————————-
The attack tonight on Al-Asad Airbase in Western Iraq, may have thrown a monkey wrench into Iran’s planning for a drone/missile strike on Israel. The attack has thrown US assets in the region on a level of higher alert than they were. Now there is the probability of a US retaliatory strike on the Iranian-backed militias to further complicate matters.
Thus the guessing game of when will the attack occur continues. Besides the ill-timed attack on the Ain al-Asad base, Iran must be facing a decision on how hard to hit to avoid the potential counter strike by Israel on its nuclear and even oil facilities.
The closure of Jordanian and Saudi airspace to both sides could be limiting - depending on Iranian attitude. This would force Iran to route its drones and cruise missiles via Syria along a narrow corridor. Launches by Iranian back Iraqi and Houthi forces will almost have to violate the ban. ‘hat said, will Iran honor the ban? From its statements against any arab nation who ‘helps’ Israel , chances are they would ignore the ban.
Israel? They have shown they can pass thru Syrian airspace with impunity to all launch sites on Iran.
Neither Jordan or Saudi Arabia have the capability to intercept ballistic missiles above the atmosphere traveling over their respective countries. Other than political complaints, little can be done on this matter.
Netanyahu many think, is operating with a more of a free hand now that biden has dropped out of the race. This makes an Israeli counter strike on those Iranian families a greater reality than before. Visions of what Israel did to the port in Yemen is likely bouncing around their heads. Should Iran choose unwisely and get hit in this manner, the next question is to what extent will Iran attempt to escalate the situation? Besides trying to shoot more drones and missiles, their options will have to shift to target the US and the west via an attempt to close the Straits of Hormuz and throw the world into a global oil crisis.
Another view is that the threat on Iran’s precious nuclear weapons program is so vital to them that they are willing to toss Hezbollah into the fire just to protect it from Israeli bombs, just like they did to Hamas. Interesting thought for those trying to fill the shoes of the significant number of senior Hezbollah leaders.
This is just the tip of the ‘what if’ iceberg as we wait to see what will happen next. Iran/Hezbollah’s next move is still considered to be imminent and that will given us some information to see just how large the regional escalation may be.
Iran –
Iran has requested advanced Russian air defense and radar systems following a visit to the Islamic Republic by a top Moscow official and shipments are already on their way, The New York Times reported on Monday.
Two Iranian officials confirmed that Iran made the request and Russia has started delivering radars and air-defense equipment, according to the Times, citing Iranian media.
The request came following a day-long visit to Tehran by head of the Russian Security Council and former Minister of Defense, Sergei Shoigu, on Monday.
https://www.newsmax.com/world/globaltalk/iran-russia-air-defense/2024/08/06/id/1175399/
Most desired system is the S400
OBSERVATION - Russia may only be suppling a token number of these systems. The war of attrition against Ukraine has forced Russia to strip many mainland units of their ADA assets to protect against the growing threat of Ukraine drones and other missiles. In one stroke recently in Sevastopol, an entire S400 battery was taken out. The fact that Russia is willing to send such a scarce resource to Iran indicates just how close the two countries have become over the past couple years.
Iraq -
Iraq said Tuesday it rejects all “reckless” actions that target Iraqi bases, diplomatic missions, and U.S.-led coalition outposts.
At least five U.S. personnel were wounded Monday in an attack against a military base in Iraq, U.S. officials told Reuters, as the Middle East braces for a possible new wave of attacks by Iran and its allies following last week’s killing of senior members of terrorist groups Hamas and Hezbollah.
https://www.newsmax.com/world/globaltalk/iraq-terrorists-bases/2024/08/06/id/1175396/
OBSERVATION - See discussion under Israel above for potential impacts to Iran’s pending drone/missile attack.
Problem: There is all sorts of technology now that make any such uprising difficult (at best). Microwave "Pain Rays", drones, you name it.... and if you think they won't deploy fatality-causing armaments, think again.
Re: Economy
‘Buy gold’ Google searches up 64% in one week as recession fears spike: Could a new U.S. retail market emerge?
Costco sells gold? Who knew? :)
FYI, I won’t be posting this Friday as I will be attending a special event here in the Redoubt. Unlikely to do anything Saturday either - unless all heck breaks loose as I’ll be getting home very late Friday night/Saturday morning.
Globalism / Great Reset –
Sept 22- 23: UN Summit of the Future
The BBC is reporting that the UK may seek to extradite social media influencers if they feel that they contributed to riots in the UK.
OBSERVATION - This is regards to the ongoing islamic uprising and the British crackdown on the victims of the uprising. Social commentators from outside Britain are collectively saying “bring it on”. This perversion of justice is what is to be expected from the globalist if/when they take power.
***
Newly-adopted World Health Organization amendments commit the U.S. to giving WHO wide-ranging authority to police, surveil and control Americans, in the name of protecting them from “pandemic emergencies,” a former WHO medical director warns.
Approved on June 1, the Biden Administration-backed amendments to WHO’s International Health Regulations (IHR) require WHO to set up an office (“National IHR Authority”) in the U.S., from which it will address both real and perceived “potential” health threats.
After their adoption, the Brownstone Institute published an analysis of the amendments co-authored by Senior Scholar David Bell, a public health physician and former WHO medical officer. Titled “IHR Amendments Open Door to Perpetual Emergencies,” the report examines the amendments line by line, highlighting their most problematic initiatives:
1 Broadening the definition of a “pandemic emergency” to the point that “a simple threat can be declared an emergency,” resulting in a proliferation of declared “emergencies” and government-imposed mandates, restrictions and lockdowns.
2 Ordaining WHO’s Director-General “as the sole person who declares” a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC).
3 Creation of National IHR Authorities (offices) in member countries (such as the U.S.) to manage, implement and track compliance with the WHO agenda.
4 Requiring member nations to perform “a broad list of surveillance and reporting activities” within their respective countries.
5 Justifying the imposition of mandates and restrictions under the guise of combating perceived “potential” health threats.
6 Broadening the definition of “health products” to the point that “a whole industry of pandemic products will be facilitated and rolled out by the WHO, without any oversight, transparency, and accountability mechanisms.”
In a statement to CNSNews, WHO confirmed that:
- The president of the United States has ten months from the date that the Director-General issues a formal notice of the amendments to reject or voice reservations regarding any the amendments on behalf of his country.
- The amendments would come into force two months after the ten-month deadline passes, if the U.S. does not file reservations or reject them (12 months total from passage).
- The Director-General will issue the formal notice and the final text “in the coming weeks.”
OBSERVATION - The WHO is working backdoor on getting its global authority. This one is flying under the radar due to the current political chaos in the US. As the most important component of the eventual global “treaty’ WHO desires, its is maneuvering the US and other countries into position for the final act next year when they try again to sign the pandemic treaty.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate to High THREAT - up dated July 14, 2024
— Attempted assassination of Trump.
August 19 - DNC convention in Chicago, IL
***
Though technically not in the US, islamic protests/riots are spreading across Canada. One of the key demands is shriah law and submission to allah. There is a growing potential for similar to start springing up in moslem-heavy regions of the US.
***
The selection of Walz for democrat VP will likely send a signal to dormant Antifa elements that the game is on for election violence. Walz stood by and did nothing while Minneapolis burned, his wife said she kept the windows open to smell the smoke and savor the moment, while his daughter transmitted sensitive NG plans to Antifa/BLM riot leaders. Just how quickly they will jump remains to be seen. Most likely fire up if it becomes evident that the democrats are sinking again or following the election if Trump wins.
****
Michigan Attorney General Dana Nessel’s office sent a cease and desist letter to a resident over allegedly posting “election misinformation” online.
Robbin N. Liddell, chief of Nessel’s Criminal Trials Division, sent the letter to a Ross Township resident on July 24, informing the recipient that they were “in violation of Michigan election law,” The Midwesterner reported Tuesday.
Liddell wrote that the individual had “spread misleading or false election information regarding polling locations in Ross Township through on-line sites” and violated a state law that “prohibits and criminalizes this conduct.”
[snip]
The resident who received the letter told The Midwesterner that the online information cited in the letter was a group of social media posts claiming the township didn’t inform residents within the 60-day window that voting locations had been changed.
OBSERVATION - The leftists will intensify their campaign to silence free speech. This is just a continuation of the assault on “misinformation” that began with the wuhan plandemic. Selectively enforced.
Terrorism - Heightened THREAT as of Aug 1, 2024
A Pakistani national with alleged ties to Iran has been charged in connection with a foiled plot to assassinate a politician or U.S. government officials on U.S. soil, according to a Department of Justice (DOJ) press release and indictment unsealed on Tuesday.
Asif Merchant, also known as “Asif Raza Merchant,” 46, was charged with murder-for-hire as part of a scheme targeting public figures within the United States. He was apprehended and is currently in federal custody in New York.
OBSERVATION - There are probably dozens more like him roaming around out there.
Economy- HIGH Threat - as of AUG 5, 2024
Global and US markets are stabilizing, but still concerned after Monday’s fallout and happy words from the Fed. Breath is being held that it all can be kept duct taped together before the elections. A lot of economic confidence depends on the Fed dropping rates in September. However, a drop of a quarter point will not due much as the deeper damage is done and credit will still remain obscenely high.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
U.S Defense confirms that an F/A-18 squadron from the aircraft carrier USS Theodore Roosevelt has relocated to a regional airbase.
Twelve American F-22 Raptor jets made a stopover at RAF Lakenheath in the UK as they head towards an operational deployment in the U.S. Central Command area. This deployment is part of preparations for a potential Iranian attack on Israel and the escalation.
POLITICAL FRONT –
August 19 DNC convention in Chicago, IL
**** Remember, most polls are designed to shape opinion, not reflect it. ****
Harris has selected Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz as her vice presidential running mate. The MSM spun up into overdrive to try to polish this turd. I won’t go into greater detail, multiple FR threads are covering this piece of slime quite well.
Squad member Cory Bush got squashed in her primary bid. That two down. Omar is facing primary next week.
Biden / Harris Watch –
There are still no policy goals on the harris website
Distant RUMINT that biden his having regrets about pulling out of the race and may seek to reverse his decision. Don’t hold your breath.
Russia -
RUMINT-
Russia has conditioned their transfer of air defense equipment and technology to Iran in exchange for a pledge from the mullah’s not to strike Israel and potentially starting a much broader regional conflict.
Additional unconfirmed reports that the Russian rail road network is coming apart at the seams. Sanctions combined with the war effort have limited supplies and materials to keep the rails repaired and the engines running.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures continue in the 80 - 90 degree range and fair.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
RUMINT. Ukrainian forces in a counter attack pushed Russian forces from the Zhovtnevyl microdistrict of Chasiv yar and back over the canal.
Soldiers, infantry fighting vehicles and tanks crossed into Russia from Ukraine and are now attacking the Russian Army in the Kursk region. This morning, the force has reportedly driven as deep as 15 km across a 10 km front into Russia. Russia reportedly scrambling to get reinforcements into the region. During the fighting a central gas pumping station was destroyed, it is one of the largest gas pumping stations in Russia, and the largest in transferring natural gas to Europe by land. The settlements of Nikolayevo-Daryino, Daryino and Sverdlikovo in Kursk region are now reportedly under control of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
Ukraine breaks its record for strike against the most distant oil refinery. The Transneft oil refinery in Usinsk in the Komi Republic was hit overnight. It’s more than 2000 km away.
Outlook —
This push into Russia is different from past crossings. Those were conducted by the Russian Freedom Legion / Russian Volunteer Corps and usually accompanied by an abundance of PR announcing the raids -which those basically were. Those PR announcements have been absent.
The tactical goal of this operation appears to be to capture/control key logistical lines of communication that the Russian Northern Army Group heavily relies upon. This consists of rail road nodes and highways that are carrying supplies to the Russian forces attacking on the Kharkiv and other axis further south and southeast. The speed of the advance indicates Russia was not expecting anything this aggressive.
The Ukraine forces have also come packing ADA. Already at least two of Russia’s advanced attack helicopters have been shot down along with at least one fighter/bomber.
This also occurs as Russia has directed its resources towards the Ocheretyne front. Time will tell just how much of a threat this can pose to Kursk.
ISRAEL –
Tisha B’Av, August 12 and ends on August 13,
Key overnight developments -
- Emergency meeting of the Arab league today in Saudi Arabia.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.
Israel assesses that Iran attack may target high-profile sites such as the Knesset, Prime Minister’s Office, Israeli army Headquarters, Mossad HQ and/or Air Force & Israeli army intel bases; other potential targets include power plants, seaports & airports
Unconfirmed reports Russian President Putin requested that Supreme Leader Khamenei deliver a “controlled response” to Israel and avoid causing civilian casualties.
According to the Al Arabiya report, the latest intelligence suggests the Iranian response may be delayed until Thursday or Friday. While the exact nature of the response remains unclear, American officials noted they are confident it is imminent.
Canadian diplomats and their families will leave Israel tomorrow due to the security situation - Ynet
The Israeli army has confirmed that Bilha Yinon, a resident of Netiv Haasara who was considered the last missing person from the October 7th massacre, was killed in the attack. After complex testing, evidence found near her home confirmed her identity
Hamas has just announced that Yahya Sinwar, the terror group’s leader in Gaza, was selected as the head of its political bureau, succeeding the assassinated leader Ismail Haniyeh.
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Following last night’s rocket fire from the north of the Gaza Strip, the Israeli army spokesman informed the residents of Beit Hanon this morning that the Israeli army will operate on the ground in the area and they must evacuate immediately towards the safe areas. Another example of Hamas firing from within a humanitarian safety zone.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Hezbollah’s biggest barrage since the beginning of the war was fired at Metula, Kfar Giladi and Kiryat Shmona. This followed Hezbollah announcement of the 400th terrorist in its ranks who had been eliminated since the beginning of the war.
Reports that UNIFIL “peace keeping” forces in southern Lebanon are leaving the country.
The Times of Israel reported that earlier today, Israeli jets set off Sonic booms in Beirut just as Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah was set to start delivering his fiery speech once again threatening the world’s one and only Jewish State.
“Israeli warplanes broke the sound barrier over Beirut just ahead of a pugnacious speech by Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah on Tuesday afternoon, as northern residents were told to stay close to bomb shelters amid a series of cross-border attacks from Lebanon,” the Times of Israel detailed. “At the beginning of his televised address on Tuesday to mark the one-week anniversary of Shukr’s death, Nasrallah charged that the sonic booms set off by Israeli planes flying low over Beirut were intended as a provocation.”
“The loud booms sent residents rushing to open their windows to prevent the glass from shattering or standing on their balconies to get a glimpse of the planes flying over,” the report continued.
Clearly, this was a message from Israel.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
A convoy of international coalition forces deployed from the city of Al-Shaddadi to Deir ez-Zor following the attack launched by tribal forces on YPG militia positions in the eastern countryside of Deir ez-Zor.
Initial reports of U.S. airstrikes on Houthi targets in the Taiz Governorate of southwestern Yemen.
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Iran’s acting Foreign Minister Ali Bagheri arrived in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, to attend the emergency meeting of foreign ministers of Muslim countries to address regional situation and the Israeli assassination of late Hamas political leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran
More than a thousand British military personnel are on standby in case of emergency evacuation of British citizens from Lebanon in case of war. Hundreds of soldiers, commandos, sailors and pilots are on standby at the British Air Force base in Cyprus, and hundreds more are on standby at bases in the UK in case they are deployed in an emergency.
——— FORECAST ————————-
Sepeculation and rumors continue. It is being reported that some Israeli officials believe that Iran is beginning to get “cold feet” and is now reconsidering a major response against Israel, due to the possibility of it causing a full-scale region war that they couldn’t win and losing valuable nuclear and oil facilities in the process. This may be moved along with Russian insistence.
Another rumor suggests that Hezbollah is getting impatient with Iran, and may soon launch their own unilateral attack on Israel. If Hezbollah tries to attack Israel in some major way, Beirut, the capital of Lebanon where Nashallah routinely hides, will be on the table.
This also coincides with thoughts that Iran is willing to toss Hezbollah under the bus like they did Hamas to protect its nuclear program.
Worst case planning points to at least two waves of attacks and could extend over several days. If Iran/Hezbollah hit any of the areas noted above, the red lines will have been crossed and israel will likely make a severe retaliatory strike.
Current timeline may well depend on the outcome of today’s emergency meeting of the Arab League, meaning that the earliest now would be tomorrow. Another opportunity which would be highly symbolic would be to attack on Tisha B’Av, August 12 and ends on August 13,
Iran –
In an unusual move, all Iranian government offices and banks in Tehran province and the neighboring Alborz province will be closed on Wednesday, the Iranian government announced, citing a ‘significant rise in temperature’ as the reason
Iraq -
Iraq has arrested three people in western Anbar suspected of carrying out the rocket attack on Ain al-Assad airbase, injuring seven Americans including five service members, AlArabiya reported citing sources
Syria -
The Syrian Democratic Forces SDF say they are under a major attack by the forces of the Pro-Assad forces and its militias in Dei_Ez_Zor region in eastern Syria. SDF deployed reinforcements from the base of the Al-Omar field to the city of Abu Hamam, east of Deir Ezzor, following clashes with tribal forces
Arab forces have begun capturing Syrian oil fields from the Americans.
Unconfirmed reports that these Syrian tribal forces have captured 81.2 square kilometers in their offensive so far
The US coalition has begun air strikes.
OBSERVATION - This scrum appears to be a hybrid of the iranian militias attacks on US/Coalition bases and more internal Syrian civil war actions.
Venezuela -
Maduro is still holding power and arresting opposition and protestors. It doesn’t seem that the general population is not ready/willing to take the protests to the next level to force him out.