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To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..

It is nice that we were actually able to celebrate 4th of July in this current mess the regime has foisted on us.


CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate THREAT - up dated July 2, 2024
July 25 - Protest of Netanyahu’s appearance before congress.
NOTE - I mis-dated the Netanyahu speech to this month.

***

Numerous calls by a wide assortment of leftists continue to call for the assassination of trump and other conservatives.

Relatively quiet expect for the traditional trouble spots in major cities. Pro-islam / hamas elements burned a lot of US flags - no surprise.


Terrorism - Heightened THREAT as of May 6, 2024

An early Wednesday morning explosion rocked the General Dynamics Ordnance and Tactical Systems facility in Camden, Arkansas, injuring at least two people and leaving one person missing.

Local media outlet Camden News quoted General Dynamics in a statement as saying:
“Today at 8:15 am CDT, an incident involving pyrotechnics occurred at the General Dynamics Ordnance and Tactical Systems facility in Camden, Arkansas. At this time, we are working with first responders and can confirm the incident resulted in at least two injuries and one missing individual.”

The 880,000-square-foot weapons factory, located about 86 miles south of Little Rock, is a “leader in the high-rate production” of weapons, including “Hydra-70 2.75-inch rocket, Hellfire and Javelin missiles, the Modular Artillery Charge System and various mortar munitions,” according to the defense firm’s website.

https://www.americanpartisan.org/2024/07/explosion-rocks-general-dynamics-hellfire-javelin-missile-factory-in-arkansa/

OBSERVATION - Sabotage or operations accident? At this stage of global instability and the rapidly growing demand for these in particularly weapons combined with the great unknowns of who has snuck across the border, this incident must be viewed suspiciously .


Economy- MODERATE Threat - as of June 26, 2024

John Deere, the leading global seller of tractors and crop harvesters, announced another round of layoffs last Friday due to a collapse in demand and a slowing U.S. economy. The company informed approximately 610 production staff in its Illinois and Iowa plants that their employment would end by the end of the summer. According to John Deere, all layoffs will take effect on August 30. Production is going to be moved to Mexico where costs are substantially lower.

***
The number of Americans on unemployment rolls has risen for the ninth straight week, according to data released Wednesday by the Department of Labor, in the latest signal that the labor market is weakening.

The total number of Americans collecting unemployment benefits—known as continuing claims—rose to 1.86 million for the week of June 22. That’s the highest level since November 2021.

Initial jobless claims, widely seen as a proxy for layoffs, increased from 234,000 to 238,000, according to data from the Labor Department. While that’s relatively low by historical standards, initial unemployment filings have been rising steadily recently after mostly remaining below 220,000 this year.

“Had it not been for a rebound in hiring in leisure and hospitality, June would have been a downbeat month,” Nela Richardson, ADP chief economist, said in a statement.

While the ADP report indicated that U.S. private employers added 150,000 jobs in June, the group noted that this figure represented the third straight month of slowing job creation numbers.

https://www.theepochtimes.com/us/number-of-us-workers-on-unemployment-rises-to-highest-level-in-over-2-years-5679415?utm_source=partner&utm_campaign=BonginoReport&src_src=partner&src_cmp=BonginoReport

OBSERVATION - Leisure and hospitality jobs do little to strengthen the economic foundations of the country. Construction and manufacturing sector - where things actually get made - are where growth are needed.


POLITICAL FRONT –

July 15 RNC convention in Milwaukee, WI
August 19 DNC convention in Chicago, IL

***
More associated scrambling among potential replacements for biden. Talk continue to surround newscum, mike 0bama and others with harris (and a strong contingency of black democrat faction) holding to its her or no money transfer from the biden / harris coffers.

***
Meanwhile, fingers are pointing and knives are out in the MSM realm as some outlets/reporters are coming out saying that they knew a half year ago biden was addle minded but didn’t want to report it because it would help trump (note - total lack of concern that biden is mentally unfit to have the nuclear codes). Blame continues to be heard on CNN for allowing biden to faceplant in the debate.


Biden / Harris Watch –

He’s staying - he’s going . . . . . Round and round the discussion goes where it stops nobody knows.

It is becoming apparent that biden realizes he is in trouble (at least between 10 am and 4 pm) and has spent the time post debate running around giving speeches to try to bolster his image that he is healthy and in charge. That hasn’t been working out so well for him as his latest gaff during an interview with a Philadelphia radio station stating that he’s “proud” to be “the first black woman to serve with a black president” .

Things are so bad some democrat supporters are pitching the plan to have AI do the campaigning for biden.

More congressional democrats are banding together to demand he step down, along with deep pocket donors and useful idiots in the MSM and influencer arena. Congressman Lloyd Doggett (D-TX) became the first Democratic lawmaker to openly call on President Biden to step aside. But according to a Reuters report, more than two dozen congressional Democrats are preparing to do the same.

Revelations that hunter is sitting in on major meetings isn’t helping the perception any.

Three in four U.S. voters think Joe Biden is “just too old to be an effective president,” results of a new national survey reveal.

A New York Times/Siena College poll of registered voters, conducted June 28-July 2, finds that 74% at least “somewhat” agree that Democrats’ 2024 candidate for reelection is too old to do the job, with more than half (53%) “strongly” agreeing. Voters think Biden’s too old by more than a three-to-one margin over the 22% who at least somewhat believe he’s not.

The younger the voter, the more likely the belief that Biden’s too old to do the job. Fully 84% of those 18-29 agree that Biden’s too old, with 64% strongly agreeing. But, even among those 65+, 64% agree he’s too ancient, including 44% who strongly agree.

BOTTOM LINE - I think a number of political pundits on both sides have got it bracketed in - biden has a week, maybe two at the tops to regain support of key democrat factions and demonstrate competence mentally or he either has to bow out or is forced out in some manner. The tail spin is changing to a direct plunge towards earth and the democrat leadership wants to stop the bleed now, so they have some time to repair damage before the elections.


China –

Cuba has upgraded and expanded four electronic surveillance facilities, including one near the Guantanamo Bay naval base, amid growing concern about China’s spying efforts in the United States’ backyard, according to a new report from the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS).

“While China’s activities on the island remain shrouded in secrecy, satellite imagery analyzed by CSIS provides the latest and most comprehensive assessment of where China is most likely operating,” the report reads.

The report pointed to four active sites at Bejucal, El Salao, Wajay, and Calabazar. It added that the four locations are “strategically located” and are “among the most likely locations supporting China’s efforts to spy on the United States.”

OBSERVATION - Poor foreign policy by the regime has allowed Cuba to capitalize on China’s and Russia’s interest in placing stress on the US via many means. In this case, intelligence collection facilities. In Russia’s case, stationing potential Russia missiles. Being a former member of the intelligence community I would certainly hope NSA and others have been bolstering capabilities against China, but I fear that the politicization of the alphabet agency has them more concerned to collect against US citizens than china.


Russia -

*****

Talks between Putin and Orban have started in the Kremlin. Orban has been considerably outspoken in opposition to support to Ukraine.

Vladimir Tarabrin, Russian ambassador to the Netherlands threatened military strikes on the Dutch airbase at Volkel, where the F-16s to be transferred to Ukraine are currently located.

Russian Personnel Issues –-

The use of crippled/wounded Russian men as soldiers is not the only or even the most important indicator that Russia has hit the mobilization wall
Nor are female prisoners, foreign mercs or DPRK soldiers.
Russia is now deploying Hitlerjugend-esque child-soldiers.


Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures continue in the 80s to upper 90s and fair.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukrainian air defense shot down 32 Shahed drones overnight. Odesa, Mylolave, Cherksey, and Kyiv were targeted areas.

Ukraine pulls back into Chasiv Yar as Russians were able to consolidate gains across the eastern canal.

Russians push harder along the Ocheretyne axis.

Ukrainian forces continue to slowly push back Russian troops in the Kharkiv sector.

Outlook —

Analysts and OSINT are looking at what appears to be Russian command choice to escalate offensive operations near Toretsk in mid-June exactly because this area offers Russian forces a flexible point of departure from which they can either attack north towards Chasiv Yar or west/southwest in the Avdiivka direction, depending on whatever route of attack the Russian command deems the most immediately promising.

However, the main Russian force concentration in the Toretsk area is formed of lower-quality forces of the Donetsk People’s Republic (DNR) and Territorial Troops, which will likely struggle to properly execute attacks, especially as Ukraine receives additional military aid over the coming weeks and months. Thus on a tactical level, the forces may not be competent enough to carry out the high commands plans, resorting to the same old mass attacks lacking fire and maneuver and racking up higher personnel and equipment losses for very little terrain captured.

Russian success at Chasiv Yar is minor and the city is not in imminent fear of falling. It has taken Russia some 2-3 months to secure this sliver of the town and still has to deal with the prepared strong holds of the main town. Nor is Russia guaranteed to hold this ground as supply lines are hard pressed by drones and artillery fire and russia is lacking the armor necessary to drive the push.


Europe / NATO General –

Britain swung hard to the left in elections with the leftist Labor party regaining control after 14 years. This swing is counter to that seen in France, Italy and other european countries.

This places Keir Starmer in the lead to take over as PM. He is a heavy pro-immigration and pro-WEF politician. Starmer stands by Israel’s right to self-defense and backs an end to the war only when hostages are freed; he is expected to be more critical of Netanyahu’s government and supports a Palestinian state after a comprehensive peace agreement

OBSERVATION - Migrants have caused problems that the conservatives have failed to address as well as economic woes. Labor has a big hill to climb in that traditionally liberal solutions to these two areas usually make matters worse, not better.


ISRAEL –

July 25 - Netanyahu’s appearance before congress.

Key overnight developments -

- Hezbollah confirms their senior commander has been eliminated!

- Hezbollah launches nearly 200 rockets in retaliation for the loss of Abu Nuaima

——— GENERAL ——————————-

Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will dispatch negotiators to resume Gaza cease-fire talks, an Israeli official says. The decision on comes a day after Hamas submitted a new response to a U.S.-backed proposal

——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-

Fighting reported in Gaza City, central Gaza and Rafah.

——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-

IDF Eliminates Abu Nuaima, Commander of Hezbollah’s Aziz Unit on the Southern Front.

Why is this important? Hezbollah has three main commanders in the area:

- COMMANDER OF THE NASSER UNIT:
Responsible for the eastern sector, headed by Abu Taleb, who was the most senior Hezbollah commander eliminated by the IDF since the beginning of the war.

-COMMANDER OF THE AZIZ UNIT: Responsible for the western sector, formerly led by Abu Nuaima.

- COMMANDER OF THE BADR UNIT: Oversees the area to the north up to the Litani River.

The elimination of Abu Nuaima would deal a severe blow to Hezbollah’s strategic operations in the region.

Hezbollah responded to the death of their commander earlier by launching nearly 200 rockets towards northern Israel.

IAF has been hitting numerous targets in response to the rocket attacks. Many include Hezbollah command centers and other infrastructure.

NOTE - I reported in the last post about Israel hitting a vehicle in Lebanon and said it was likely a Hezbollah big wig. Now we know how big.

——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-

Iranian General Amir Ali Hajizadeh, the head of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) Aerospace Force, recently announced that the ayatollah regime was looking for an opportunity to launch a direct missile attack against Israel.

“We are hopeful of the arrival of the opportunity for [conducting] Operation True Promise 2,” Hajizadeh said, according to the Iranian state-controlled Mehr News Agency.

“Operation True Promise,” the Iranian regime’s official name for its unprecedented attack in April, when Tehran fired over 300 aerial projectiles – a combination of drones, missiles and ballistic missiles – against Israel.

https://harbingersdaily.com/israel-at-war-week-38/

OBSERVATION - Part of Iran’s ongoing threats and propaganda directed against Israel in an effort to deter an attack on Hezbollah.

———WEST BANK——————————-

Intensive Israeli security force operations in much of the area.

——— FORECAST ————————-

I see no real change in the current operation tempo. Israel sucking hamas into kill zones by letting them think they can reconstitute without harm, then harming them.

The battlefield shaping continues by Israel against Hezbollah. Losses of senior leadership has got to have the remaining leadership wondering just who is tipping Israel off to their locations and movements. A paranoid leadership becomes a poor leadership impacting war preparations. Still holding to an August window opening for the Israeli operation to kick off.

It doesn’t look like Hezbollah is willing yet to try to preemptively strike Israel. Only 100-200 rockets in retaliation for the death of Abu Nuaima is pretty small considering.


Turkey –

Erdogan plans to invite Syria’s Assad to Turkey

OBSERVATION - There has been a great deal of friction growing between Syrians and Turks of late, resulting in a lot of violence. While this has a surface appearance of working to attain ‘peace’, it has more the goal of Erdogan exerting dominance over Assad.


Misc of Note –

On July 3, 2024, California Governor Gavin Newsom declared a state of emergency in response to the destructive Thompson Fire near Oroville in Butte County. The fire began on July 2 and has rapidly spread to approximately 1 619 ha (4 000 acres), prompting evacuation orders and mobilization of firefighting resources.

OBSERVATION - Fire season is hitting early and bad for Kalifornia and likely spread to the rest of the west as summer progresses. If you live in fire prone regions - get your self ready now with repacking in the event of an evacuation and triple check your ways out. Fires are unforgiving and if you wait until the last minute you may well be dead.

Same WARNING for Freepers in the Gulf/Alantic regions. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) National Hurricane Center (NHC) downgraded Hurricane Beryl to a Category 4 storm from a Category 5 on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale on Wednesday morning. Beryl is the earliest hurricane on record to strengthen into a Category 5 as it churns across the southeastern Caribbean Sea. It is forecasted to hit the Yucatán Peninsula on Friday and afterward poses a threat to US oil and energy critical infrastructure on the Gulf Coast.

Get your preps for the hurricane season up and ready now. Don’t delay.


631 posted on 07/05/2024 6:55:58 AM PDT by Godzilla (“When tyranny becomes law, rebellion becomes duty” - Thomas Jefferson)
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To: Godzilla
OBSERVATION - Sabotage or operations accident? At this stage of global instability and the rapidly growing demand for these in particularly weapons combined with the great unknowns of who has snuck across the border, this incident must be viewed suspiciously .

Time to watch if a new pattern is emerging. An attack at this level would be 'long term thinking' and point to a more serious enemy than mere hothead ME terrorists. Let's hope it was a more traditional factory problem.

632 posted on 07/05/2024 9:51:12 AM PDT by GOPJ (Biden can READ a speech IF written for him. Take the teleprompter away and Biden's a babbling idiot.)
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To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..

I don’t pitch this ofter, but I do have a ping list for those interested.


Globalism / Great Reset –

British elections have hardened the support of WEF/globalist goals for the population. Already locals have been pressed by climate and growing 15 minute city style regulations - these will only get worse. For the short term, there will be virtually no breaks on the british gov’s move to enact globalist measures.


CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate THREAT - up dated July 2, 2024
July 15 RNC convention in Milwaukee, WI
July 25 - Protest of Netanyahu’s appearance before congress.
August 19 DNC convention in Chicago, IL

***

Calls for direct action by leftist and pro-hamas elements largely fizzled out over the 4th.

Calls for action against Netanyahu continue on social media sites. The calls include “planning and strategizing for mass actions, shut-downs, stay-aways, sit-ins, walkouts, traffic blocks, work stoppages, strikes and more.” (FO).

In a little over a week, the RNC convention starts and with it protests/violence likely concentrated in the Milwaukee area, with some minor spill over into other cities.


Economy- MODERATE Threat - as of June 26, 2024

June’s unemployment rate rose to the highest monthly level in 31 months, hitting 4.1%, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported Friday.
June’s seasonally-adjusted 4.1% unemployment rate wasn’t just up from May’s 4.0% level, it was also the highest monthly unemployment rate since November of 2021 (4.1%).

Meanwhile, BLS revised downward the number of jobs created in April and May by a combined 110,000.

As a result, the previously-reported job growth in May was lowered by 54,000, down from a robust 272,000 to 218,000. Despite the downward revision for May, June’s job growth of 206,000 still slowed from the previous month.
The number of unemployed people rose to 6,8 million, up from 6.6 million in May. Both the unemployment rate and number of unemployed in June are higher than a year earlier, when the jobless rate was 3.6% and the number of unemployed people was 6.0 million.
Job gains occurred in government, health care, social assistance, and construction:

https://mrctv.org/blog/craig-bannister/june-unemployment-rate-highest-nov-2021-past-job-gains-revised-downward

OBSERVATION - more details on the June jobs report. Big part of this news is the substantial CUT in the number of jobs reported for April and May. Labor market is very weak.


POLITICAL FRONT –

July 15 RNC convention in Milwaukee, WI
August 19 DNC convention in Chicago, IL

***
Despite being the top pick among potential Democrat presidential candidates, Michelle Obama has once again confirmed she will not be running for president.

Trying to fly under the radar, harris continues to position herself to the presidential mantle in anticipation of biden stepping down. She holds possibly the strongest hand in the soap opera, with the 25th amendment capability to force biden to step down from the presidency altogether. Such an action could spur a constitutional crisis as the whole process works out and open political warfare breaks out between biden supporters and those seeking to remove him in an effort to stop the party from hitting the Titanic iceberg in the Nov elections.


Biden / Harris Watch –

Biden has said only the “Lord Almighty” could convince him to end his bid for re-election, as he sat for a rare primetime interview in an effort to calm Democratic concern over his candidacy.

Speaking to ABC News on Friday, Mr Biden also declined to take a cognitive test and make the results public in order to reassure voters he is fit to serve another term.

Media talking heads and other democrat influences shook their heads at the interview, nothing that though better than the debate, biden was still behind the cognitive power curve. Some have reported that the interview displays biden being even worse shape and highly disconnected from reality.

Special note that this is even after the interview was conducted by one of the most favorable news heads - Stephanopoulos. However, Stephanopoulos introduced the interview by claiming there had been “no cuts, no edits” to the video. “We have not touched it.”

OBSERVATION - biden ends the week + following his debate disaster in an effort to rebuild confidence in his mental and physical capabilities. In this he has failed. Democrat support continues to crumble, more and more voices from the left are coming out for him to stand down. It appears that neither side is backing down. This may lead to a constitutional crisis of sorts as it appears that a 25 amendment solution is gaining traction by those looking to ouster him.


Cyber attacks/warfare – HEIGHTENED ALERT as of April 20, 2024

(FO) The FBI warned industry groups that renewable energy expansion is increasing the risk that hackers will target renewable power utilities to disrupt power generation and conduct ransomware attacks.

The FBI said attacks on residential solar systems are rare, but hackers could target microgrids or inverters at larger solar farms.


Russia -

Putin’s talks with Hungary’s Orbane have concluded.


Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures continue in the 80s to upper 90s and fair.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Russia launched a large drone / missile attack overnight. Ukrainian air defense shot down 24 drones overnight. Ukraine ADA active over Cherkasy, over Sumy region, near Kamianske of Dnipropetrovsk region, Odesa and over Kirovohrad region towards Kremenchuk, Kyiv region, Karliva,

Ukraine returned the favor with Russian oil depots being hit by drones and catching fires in Pavlovskaya and Leningradskaya villages of Krasnodar Krai

Bakhmut / Chasiv Yar -
The Russian military has reportedly lost 99,000 troops (killed and wounded) since the start of the Chasiv Yar campaign, - Forbes

Outlook —
Being reported by some of a considerable number is Iskander missile attacks on Ukraine airbases, particularly those believed to be slated to house F-16s. These bases currently have limited ADA coverage, so that any new systems coming in from the west - particularly Patriot systems - will be designated for use protecting them.

No expected changes to the locations and tempo of operations on the ground. Russia to continue its steady attacks along many sectors of the eastern front. Very little change expected in Chasiv Yar even though Russia has gained a toe hold on the city. Sustaining the attack will be its biggest challenge, going into a more fortified and defended city while trying to maintain its vulnerable supply lines.

It should be noted that the loss of nearly 100,000 in the Chaziv Yar fight alone has it Russia with nearly 1/4 of the 400,000 soldiers it started the spring offensive with. As noted in previous posts, Russia is able to roughly conscript enough soldiers to make up for monthly losses, but to equip them is another matter as more and more makeshift troop carriers are being employed in the rushes by Russian forces to reach jumpopff points - vehicle that are unarmored and easily destroyed and offer little to no protection to the troops. As a result Russian causality figures (killed and seriously wounded) are still projected to be well above 30,000 / month.


Europe / NATO General –

With the leftist win in Britain, the power dynamics of Europe will be reshuffled again in comparison to conservative/right parties winning controls in many other european countries.


ISRAEL –

July 25 - Netanyahu’s appearance before congress.

Key overnight developments -

- Some movement towards a cease fire and hostage release.

——— GENERAL ——————————-

Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.

A senior Hamas source said on Saturday that a revised Hamas-Israel deal proposal agreed that talks to release Israeli hostages, including soldiers and remaining men, would start in a 16-day period after the first phase of the agreement.

The source said that the proposal ensures that mediators would guarantee a temporary ceasefire, aid delivery, and withdrawal of Israeli troops as long as indirect talks continue to implement the second phase of the agreement.

The terrorist Islamist group has dropped a demand that Israel first commit to a permanent ceasefire before signing the agreement, and would allow negotiations to achieve that throughout a first six-week phase, the source told Reuters on condition of anonymity because the talks are private.

https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-809131#google_vignette

Senior Hamas official said to AFP that the organization expects an Israeli response to the truce proposal until tomorrow

The Prime Minister’s Office said “The head of the Mossad recently returned from Doha from an initial meeting with the mediators.”
“It was determined that a team will depart next week to continue the negotiations. It should be emphasized that there are still gaps between the parties,” the statement added.

Meanwhile, The Wall Street Journal reported, citing an informed source, that Mossad officials said they were optimistic that the Cabinet would accept the proposal for a deal.

https://www.israelnationalnews.com/news/392617

——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-

Fighting the most significant overnight in the northern and central areas of Gaza.

——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-

Lebanese Hezbollah announces the launch of a group of drones on northern Israel.

The Israeli army: intercepted a suspicious air target coming from Lebanon in Kiryat Shmona, without causing any casualties

Israeli army says it destroyed Hezbollah’s surface-to-air missile launchers in southern Lebanon

Canada’s Prime Minister issued a warning for all Canadians to leave Lebanon while commercial flights are still available and stood up a task force to further monitor the situation.

———WEST BANK——————————-

Extensive activity by Israeli security forces throughout the west bank.

——— FORECAST ————————-

Hopes for a Gaza cease fire and hostage release are relatively improved, mostly due to the fact that the Hamas billionaires in Doha likely want an end to the fighting in Gaza, mainly because the Qataris may kick them out soon and leave them vulnerable to the Mossad. Add to that the choke hold the IAF has on Gaza after cutting off the smuggling routes from Egypt and systematically isolating and destroying hamas forces.

However, some view that the problem really is Yahya Sinwar and he doesn’t want to stop fighting. Sinwar has consistently resisted a cease-fire, calculating that more fighting and Palestinian civilian deaths work to his advantage, according to messages he has sent to mediators. Sinwar’s focus is to salvage his rule over Gaza to resurrect a fearsome threat to Israel once again.

On the other side of this coin, Hezbollah has to be concerned. A ceasefire would free up more forces to deploy against S Lebanon.

Though hopeful, there are still many, many obstacles to overcome for any cease fire and hostage release plan to be successful. But at this stage, the concessions and moves by Hamas suggest that they are losing their leverage with the hostages and the leadership is more interested in protecting their rear ends.

One additional bottom line is that any agreement with Hamas will not lessen the probability of war with Hezbollah in the upcoming months.


Iran –

Reformist Masoud Pezeshkian has been elected as Iran’s new president, beating his hardline conservative rival Saeed Jalili.

The vote was declared in Dr Pezeshkian’s favour after he secured 53.3% of the more than 30 million votes counted. Mr Jalili polled at 44.3%.

Dr Pezeshkian, a 71-year-old heart surgeon and member of the Iranian parliament, is critical of Iran’s notorious morality police and caused a stir after promising “unity and cohesion”, as well as an end to Iran’s “isolation” from the world.
He has also called for “constructive negotiations” with Western powers over a renewal of the faltering 2015 nuclear deal in which Iran agreed to curb its nuclear programme in return for an easing of Western sanctions.

Saeed Jalili was widely seen as maintaining the current status quo and pushing more international confrontations

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cx824yl3ln4o

OBSERVATION - Pezeshkian appears to at least initially seek to calm the younger Iranians with reforms while softening Irans international stance on nuclear arms. However, the true power still rests with Khamenei who can overrule any actions by Pezeshkian.


Misc of Note –

Landfall of Beryl as a hurricane is now predicted to occur somewhere from near the Houston and Galveston areas southward to near Brownsville.
This change in the forecast path has been caused by Beryl steering farther north than originally expected. Over the next day or so, Beryl will turn more to the northwest toward a weakness in subtropical high pressure over the southern United States, and because of the influence from an upper-level low-pressure system located to Beryl’s west.

Here’s a look at the general timeline based on the latest NHC forecast.

- This weekend: Beryl is expected to be pulled northwestward through the Gulf of Mexico toward the Texas coast. The greatest chance for steady intensification into a hurricane will begin on Sunday.

- By late Sunday: Preparations along the Texas coast for hurricane and/or tropical storm conditions should be completed.

- Monday: Landfall is expected on the Texas coast with damaging winds, storm surge, heavy rain and a few tornadoes.

https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/2024-07-05-hurricane-beryl-forecast-mexico-texas

OBSERVATION - The current track of Beryl is following what many considered to be outliers from last week’s spaghetti plots. All the more reason to consistently monitor situations as initial projections may not always be the final track.


633 posted on 07/06/2024 5:15:44 AM PDT by Godzilla (“When tyranny becomes law, rebellion becomes duty” - Thomas Jefferson)
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To: Godzilla

Biden has said only the “Lord Almighty” could convince him to end his bid for re-election.......>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

With the way Joe has been disarming God’s chosen People, as they struggle to eliminate the genocidal HAMAS, I am sure someth8ing can be arranged.

And that arrangement? A slip and a fall of about 30 feet?

BUt we want Joe to run! Run Joe run, stay safe!


635 posted on 07/06/2024 5:44:45 AM PDT by Candor7 (Ask not for whom the Trump Trolls,He trolls for thee!),<img src="" width=500</img><a href="">tag</a>)
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