A heads up. My posting will be very sporadic the rest of this month as I’ll be on the road much of the next three weeks. I’ll try to get some summaries in when I’m back at home base.
Globalism / Great Reset –
Leftist/globalists struggling to make plans to counter newly elected conservative / nationalistic parties elected over the weekend across Europe.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
Pro hamas and other islamic jihadists blocked the entrance to a NY theater where a memorial to the Oct 7 massacre victims was present. Protestors threatened to burn the building down wiith Jews inside of it. NYPD did very little to intervene.
OBSERVATION - The very violent jihadists / hamas supporters are rising to the surface more and more. Though this was a relatively small protest, it is being repeated many times of late. Hatred of Israel will be one of the major “Floyd” elements of election riots coming this November and beyond. Antifa will join in just to break and burn things up. Other leftist elements may get sidelined - such as the lgbt cult - because the jihadist elements will no longer need them as ‘allies’, reverting to islamic anti gay doctrines and excluding them.
Increasing components of a religious war developing - versus the Floyd ‘race’ wars of 2020.
Economy-
Median mortgage payments hit a new high of $2894 per month in May. This is an increase of 14% from 2023, 23% 2022 and 78% from 2021.
POLITICAL FRONT –
July 15 RNC convention in Milwaukee, WI
August 19 DNC convention in Chicago, IL
***
New video footage provided to House Republicans reveals then-Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) admitting responsibility for not having the National Guard protect the Capitol building ahead of protests on January 6, 2021.
The footage, Politico notes, was “was shown in a video shot by the former speaker’s daughter, documentarian Alexandra Pelosi, and recently provided to congressional investigators by HBO.” It was never aired — nor did Alexandra Pelosi provide it to the January 6 Committee when it was supposedly investigating the Capitol riot.
The January 6 Committee also never subpoenaed Speaker Pelosi or her daughter for documents about the riot.
The video substantiates claims by former President Donald Trump that Pelosi was responsible for failing to prepare sufficient security ahead of the protest. Trump offered the National Guard in the days before the “Stop the Steal” rally 6, but was refused.
OBSERVATION - Pelosi scrambled to get on to MSM outlets to ‘correct’ the video, but the damage has been done.
Biden / Harris Watch –
Biden’s approval rating has sunk to its lowest-ever — a dismal 37.4% — with disapproval at a troubling 56.6, according to tracker and opinion poll analyzer Five Thirty Eight.
The polling shows signs of dwindling support among nonwhite voters, while progressives have also hammered the White House over its response to Israel’s handling of the war in Gaza in the aftermath of Hamas’ Oct. 7 attack, Business Insider reported.
Biden’s approval began the slide after the United States’ tumultuous withdrawal from Afghanistan and has never recovered.
OBSERVATION - These numbers, as well as other polls, reportedly have caused democrats to go into full freak out mode. It makes their vote stealing efforts much steeper as the country slips into Electoral and probably total vote tsnumani for Trump, knowing full well that his long tails will likely damage their numbers in the House and Senate too.
Illegal Immigration –
Louisiana House has passed a bill that would allow state and local law enforcement to arrest immigrants who have entered the United States illegally.
***
Fox News obtained an internal Border Patrol memo. It instructs agents in the San Diego sector to release single adults from the Eastern Hemisphere. This order applied to all illegals except for those from six countries. Those would be classified as hard or very hard to remove.
The internal memo was sent out after Biden signed the executive action.
Details in the memo, first reported by the Washington Examiner’s Anna Giaritelli, instructs agents that all single adults from the Eastern Hemisphere are to be processed via “NTA/OR,” which means Notice to Appear/released on Own Recognizance, except for migrants from Russia, Georgia, Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, Moldova, and Kyrgyzstan – which are “mandatory referral” countries.
There are more than 100 countries in the Eastern Hemisphere, meaning that despite the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) and President Biden’s threats of consequences and promises to remove migrants who cross illegally under the new executive order, the overwhelming majority of the migrants in the San Diego sector are being released into the U.S.
OBSERVATION - With these revelations, biden has just dug himself deeper into a hole on immigration. Immigration is one of the highest concerns for voters and he faces very low approval numbers on it.
***
The Biden administration is considering a plan to protect from deportation undocumented immigrants who are the spouses of U.S. citizens and give them access to work permits, according to two sources familiar with the discussions.
The sources stressed that the proposal was not final and the timing was fluid. The program, known as “parole in place,” would also make it easier for some undocumented immigrants to get a green card and a path to U.S. citizenship. One of the sources said lawmakers on Capitol Hill had been briefed on the proposal.
A White House spokesperson declined to comment on details.
OBSERVATION - These efforts are designed to thwart as much as possible Trumps declaration of mass deportations by allowing these illegals to tie up their deportations in court, bogging the system down.
North/South Korea –
South Korea’s military Monday said it is detecting signs North Korea is installing its own loudspeakers along their heavily armed border, a day after the South blared anti-Pyongyang propaganda broadcasts over its speakers for the first time in years as the rivals engage in a Cold War-style psychological warfare.
The South’s resumption of its loudspeaker broadcasts on Sunday was in retaliation for the North sending over 1,000 balloons filled with trash and manure over the last couple of weeks.
Russia -
NUCLEAR THREATS –
Several Russian warships will arrive in Cuba on June 12, the RIA news agency cited Russian navy commander Alexander Moiseyev as saying Tuesday.
Four Russian ships, including a nuclear-powered submarine, will arrive for “historically friendly relations” between both nations and as tensions escalate over Western military support for Ukraine in its war with Russia, Cuban officials said last week.
Cuba’s foreign ministry said none of them will carry any nuclear weapons and assuring their presence “does not represent a threat to the region.”
https://www.newsmax.com/world/globaltalk/cuba-russia-navy/2024/06/11/id/1168253/
OBSERVATION - This flotilla does have the potential of carrying nuclear tipped missiles.
Kerch Bridge update –
Russia has reportedly resumed fuel transportation to the Russian-occupied Crimea, south Ukraine, via a railway bridge across the Kerch Strait. With Ukraine having struck 2 of the roll-on roll-off ship ferries & the ferry dock in Crimea, Russia’s forced to again use its illegal Crimea bridge to bring in military fuel, hardware & supplies.
This move is seen as an act of increasing desperation by Russia to keep its forces in Crimea and southern to southeastern Ukraine supplied.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures continue in the 80 - 90s and fair.
RUMINT –
There are rumors that families of Russian Air Defense soldiers are being told to leave Crimea as Ukraine steps up targeting facilities and systems.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Explosions from unspecified Russian missiles was reported in Dnipro city.
Russian Ministry of Defense claims full occupation of Myasozharivka(Artemivka) village of Luhansk region and Tymkivka village of Kharkiv region.
Russian forces continue attacks along a front stretching from Ocheretyne south to Vuhledar.
Ukraine denies Russian control over Ivanivske village, located east southeast of Chasiv Yar.
Outlook —
Russian offensive is at its high water mark and unless it has substantial reserves floating around out there, they are rapidly losing the ability to press forward in a dominating manner the did at the start of operations. It further seems that Russia has spread its forces across a number of fronts, (such as Kharkiv and now potentially Sumy) and not concentrating to force a more significant breakout.
Ukraine has been very successful in several key, strategic elements that is clearly beginning to show fruit. First is driving the Black Sea Fleet out of the Black Sea - negating the missile carriers and striking the amphibious ships being used to shuttle supplies.
Second is the continued successful attacks on Russian air defense assets such as early warning radars, airborne radar systems, S300 and S400 batteries. Almost daily, even the simplest of Ukraine drones are reported penetrating hundreds of kilometers into Russia to strike their targets. Loss of ADA by Russia is also permitting Ukraine to be more aggressive with the limited air power they have to successfully target key command and logistical targets.
The success in these two areas goes to support Ukrainian ground defense efforts, now rearmed by western countries. I see only limited counter offensives in the future - no major Ukraine offensives over the summer.
I also think that their success in cutting off the roll-on roll-off ship ferries & the ferry dock in Crimea and forcing Russia to rely more on the Kerch Bridge will result in the bridge finally be taken totally off line, making life very hard for Russian forces in Crimea. Ukraine would still have a stiff fight to reach Crimea, but the impact will be signifiant - forcing Russian planners between a rock and a hard place with its gem Crimea being threatened on one hand and sustaining operations in eastern Ukraine to hold territory gained on the other.
Europe / NATO General –
Anarchists and leftists hit the streets of Paris overnight, targeting those thought to be their political opponents following the conservative / right victories in Sunday’s EU elections.
OBSERVATION - Let this be a warning to the US as well after a trump victory in November.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- UNSC approved US resolution calling for a cease fire.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.
***
The U.N. Security Council on Monday approved its first resolution endorsing a cease-fire plan aimed at ending the eight-month Israel-Hamas war in Gaza.
The vote on the U.S.-sponsored resolution was 14-0, with Russia abstaining.
The resolution welcomes a cease-fire proposal announced by President Joe Biden that the United States says Israel has accepted. It calls on Hamas, which initially said it viewed the proposal “positively,” to accept the three-phase plan.
Hamas is said to have accepted an U.N. Security Council ceasefire resolution and is ready to negotiate over the details, senior Hamas official Sami Abu Zuhri told Reuters on Tuesday, adding that it was up to Washington to ensure that Israel abides by it.
US State Department: Secretary Blinken discussed with the Israeli Defense Minister the proposal for a ceasefire in Gaza
***
A Direct Polls survey released on Monday by Israel’s Channel 14 shows that the Likud Party gained a slight tailwind following National Unity Party leader Benny Gantz’s announcement that he was quitting the emergency unity government.
If elections were held today, the Likud Party with Benjamin Netanyahu at its head would win a months-long high of 59 Knesset seats, up one from last week’s Direct Polls survey.
Meanwhile, the center-left bloc weakened, falling to 51 mandates from 53 in the last poll.
The survey asked which leader was best suited to serve as prime minister: Netanyahu or Gantz. Forty-seven percent of the respondents picked Netanyahu compared to 31% for Gantz. Twenty-two percent said neither was suitable.
https://www.newsmax.com/world/globaltalk/poll-netanyahu-gantz/2024/06/11/id/1168254/
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Continuing clashes between Hamas et al and the Israeli army penetrating the center of the city of Rafah
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
A barrage of some 50 rockets were launched from Lebanon at the central Golan Heights a short while ago, the military says. Air defenses shot down several of the rockets, while the rest impacted open areas, the Israeli army adds
During the night, Israeli Air Force fighter jets attacked a military compound of Unit 4400, the logistical reinforcement unit of the terrorist organization Hezbollah, which serves as a factor in transporting weapons to and within Lebanon. In the compound, two centers located in the area of Baalbak in deep Lebanon were attacked. The Israeli airstrikes in the Hermel District of northeastern Lebanon, appear to be in response to numerous Hezbollah attacks on northern Israel over the past day, and the terror group downing an Israeli army drone.
——— FORECAST ————————-
The biden initiative is a nothing burger but concessions to Hamas IMHO. Hamas has already rejected similar in the past and is only now claiming ‘interest’ because of the PR blitz from the Israeli hostage rescue. They see it as a way to deter/delay Israeli operations and use the US as a weapon against Israel.
Gantz’s departure from the war govt has had no immediate positive results for him and his party, in fact may have hurt it. As stated before, this whole thing is an effort to get Netanyahu removed from leadership of the country - plain and simple.
The levels and nature of the combat in Gaza is likely to continue relatively unchanged, with Israel continuing to conduct search and destroy operations with sporadic ‘raids’ to hit Hamas when it tries to reconstitute forces.
I also see pro-hamas ‘protests’ in other countries growing more violent, eschpeially as more pro-Israeli govts take charge in the coming months. Could get very ugly.
Misc of Note –
Being out much of the remainder of this month doesn’t mean that I personally won’t be keeping tabs on the situation, only that I will not be able to have the time or the ability to generate these posts. However, I will be in internet challenged areas which will hamper my own personal efforts.
There are so many hots spots so to speak that require constant monitoring.
- biden law fare against trump
- progress of the Gaza war
- increasing economic instability and potential indicators of a recession or other disaster, such as stagflation or even hyperinflation.
- growth and development of pro-hamas / antifa riot plans for this summer into the elections and beyond
- growing threat from illegals from countries hostile to the US abetting protests, or even committing acts of terror or gross crime in general.
- Out of control escalation of the war in Ukraine, China against Taiwan or Philippines, or Iran stepping back into the Gaza conflict.
There are other flash points embedded in these as well. How close to the edge we are getting will only become clearer over the next days and months.
Enjoy your travels.
Back for a few days before out again. Kinda a summary of some of the key things I was able to catch while in the hills. The next couple of days will be more detailed before I head to the woods again.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
JUN 25 - Protest of Netanyahu’s appearance before congress.
Word is going out fast for another big march by pro-hamas and supporting elements on Washington in order to disrupt Netanyahu’s address of congress. The ring around the WH was big and this will likely to be huge - and many many times more violent.
Economy-
Inflation was at least three percent for the 38th straight month in May and has now been at or above that mark, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported Wednesday.
In May, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) was up 3.3% from 12 months earlier and unchanged, on a seasonally-adjusted basis from April. The last time CPI increased less than three percent was in March of 2021 (2.6%).
At 3.3%, inflation is also more than the 1.4% growth registered when former President Donald Trump left office in January of 2021 and December of 2020.
In May of this year, the seasonally-adjusted, month-to-month increase in the so-called “core” CPI (excluding food and energy) rose 0.2% from April and 3.4% from the increase in April of 2023.
***
Saudi Arabia has kicked the petrodollar to the curb, accepting other currencies for oil purchases.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
US House of Representatives passes bill automatically registering men aged 18 to 26 for selective service, 217 to 199
Added to include women - yes, even those “identifying” as a woman.
POLITICAL FRONT –
July 15 RNC convention in Milwaukee, WI
August 19 DNC convention in Chicago, IL
***
If one is to believe the MSM reports of presidential polls, biden’s support in general and from minorities is crumbling faster than a sand castle at high tide. Biden’s behavior at the recent fundraiser and G7 are not helping the perception any.
***
Democrats pushing the narrative that crime has dropped by over 25% under biden. What they don’t tell you is that the major crime centers - democrat run cities - are no longer reporting crime data to the FBI. To make it worse for democrats - the American people KNOW better and are rejecting the false message.
Biden / Harris Watch –
President Biden appeared to freeze up on stage and had to be led off by Barack Obama at the conclusion of a star-studded campaign fundraiser in Los Angeles Saturday night.
The awkward moment took place after Biden and his predecessor sat for a 45-minute interview with late-night host Jimmy Kimmel at the Peacock Theater.
As the men stood for applause, Biden’s gaze seemed to become fixed on the crowd for a full 10 seconds until former President Barack Obama took his wrist and led him offstage.
***
World leaders at the G7 in Italy last week reportedly expressed concern that President Biden is ‘losing focus’ and appearing ‘tired.’
Illegal Immigration –
According to Customs and Border Protection data, roughly, 30,000 Venezuelans crossed the U.S. border last year and 800,000 have tried to enter the country since 2021. The amount of illegal Venezuelans who have successfully crossed the southern border went from 50,500 in fiscal year 2021 to 334,900 in fiscal year 2023. Turns out many of these are associated with the deadly Tren de Aragua gang.
The gang is known for forcing illegal Venezuelan immigrants into sex slavery to repay smugglers who helped them cross over the border and into the U.S. illegally without detection.
Last month, Homeland Security Investigations (HSI) busted a sex trafficking scheme in Louisiana involving members from Tren de Aragua who reportedly forced Venezuelan women into sex trafficking to repay coyotes who smuggled them into the U.S.
The FBI has warned that it is possible the gang could team up with the MS-13— a deadly gang that originated in Los Angeles.
China –
China is in the midst of a “significant” expansion of its nuclear capabilities and may have as many intercontinental ballistic missiles as the United States or Russia by 2030, according to a new global analysis of nuclear weapons.
Beijing is both growing and modernizing its nuclear arsenal, according to an annual report released Sunday by the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), a group that tracks global security and arms control. China’s military stockpile grew from 410 nuclear warheads last year to 500 as of January, the report found.
The expansion of China’s capabilities came as SIPRI warned that even as the total number of nuclear warheads around the world was declining as Cold War-era weapons were phased out, there were steady year-on-year increases in the number of operational warheads that could be used quickly in the event of conflict.
About 2,100 deployed nuclear warheads are being kept in a state of “high operational alert” on ballistic missiles — and while almost all belong to Russia or the United States, China is believed to have placed some warheads on this level of alert for the first time, SIPRI found.
Phillipines –
The China Coast Guard (CCG) issued a statement that a Philippine supply ship headed to the BRP Sierra Madre on the Second Thomas Shoal was driving erratically collided with a CCG vessel after the CCG issued multiple warnings and employed “control measures.”
The Philippines did not deny a collision but declared the claims as “deceptive and misleading.”
Russia -
Putin said he would end the war in Ukraine only if Kyiv agreed to drop its NATO ambitions and hand over the entirety of four provinces claimed by Moscow.
***
Russia’s naval fleet has reportedly suffered tremendous losses in Ukraine and now resorts to submarines to continue patrolling the Black Sea.
Speaking on national television, Kyiv’s Southern Defense Forces spokesperson Dmytro Pletenchuk said the invading forces have recently begun a practice where their submarines rotate in the morning.
“In the Azov-Black Sea region, they have four submarines, three of which are cruise missile carriers. Two submarines periodically go to sea,” he disclosed.
This comes as the Ukrainian military claimed to have destroyed 30 percent of Moscow’s Black Sea fleet by the end of 2023.
Earlier this year, Kyiv’s Magura V5 naval drones struck four Russian patrol boats in Crimea, completely destroying two and damaging the other two.
https://www.thedefensepost.com/2024/06/13/russia-submarines-black-sea/
NUCLEAR THREATS –
The Kremlin - Reports about NATO talks on deploying nuclear weapons indicate a dangerous escalation
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures continue in the 80 - 90s and fair.
24 HOUR ROUND UP – Well more like a partial week summary
Ukrainian Military intelligence drones attacked objects in Belgorod, Voronezh and Lipetsk regions, - hromadske source in Ukrainian intelligence reported. One of the targets was the Novolypetsk metallurgical plant and the local tractor plant
Issues with power supply in Rostov region after 3 explosions at local substation, likely due to Ukraine drones.
Things haven’t gone well for Russia in Vovchansk, Kharkiv front. Ukrainian forces isolated and proceeded to eliminate a force of 400-800 Russians as part of the Ukraine counter offensive in the region. Vovchansk was to be a key city to be captured by Russia and has since been turned into a death trap for them.
Ocheretyne -
Russian forced continue to press the attack with no noticeable gains of territory.
Outlook —
Ukraine is turning back a key area of the Russian efforts towards Kharkiv.
Unreported information has Russia deploying strategic bombers even further away from Ukraine, due to recent successful drone strikes. This move is evidence that Ukraine is forcing Russia to stretch its limited supply of S300 and S400 ADA systems even father, creating even more holes that Ukraine can exploit as well as progressively continue to pickoff those within range of current assets, such as in Crimea and areas of Russia adjacent to the Ukraine border.
Europe / NATO General –
The recent Swiss summit on the Ukraine war ended with no signifiant resolution. Putin taunted the gathering saying Ukraine must give up even more land in exchange for peace. Many european countries hardened their position against putin. and raised the beat of war drums even higher.
Of the 90 or so countries represented, just 84 signed the final communique affirming Ukraine’s territorial integrity and its right not to be invaded.
Saudi Arabia, India and South Africa were among those who abstained.
More critical was the absence from the entire summit of Russia’s close ally, China, despite being involved in earlier preparatory stages. Russia itself was not invited.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Netanyahu dissolves war cabinet.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.
***
Israel PM Netanyahu dissolves war cabinet after the resigning of opposition members while he will continue to make sensitive decisions in a small forum of aides
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Intense fighting continues in central Rafah.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Actions are heating up substantially.
Israel took out the #2 leader of Hezbollah. Hezbollah responded with rocket attacks.
Here’s a recap of week June 9-15:
⁃96 barrages of rockets, anti-tank missiles and explosive drones fired by Hezbollah toward northern Israeli cities, including Haïfa, Tiberias and Safed.
A barrage of rockets can include as many as 50 or 100 projectiles sent within minutes.
For example, on June 12th, 90 projectiles were fired by Hezbollah at 8:43, then 70 projectiles at 9:38. Over 215 rockets were fired toward northern Israeli cities just that day.
——— FORECAST ————————-
Alert notice on the increase in Hezbollah rocket launches on the north, combined with increasing media releases from the israeli govt nothing that operations against Hezbollah on the ground will be starting soon. The current build up does appear to be on track with a potential August timeframe. Until them, Israel will be continuing to nail key Hezbollah and Iranian leadership in Lebanon and Syria as well as hitting critical logistical, command and ammo facilities.
Misc of Note –
Very much abbreviated, but a few key things I’m noticing
- Israeli movement towards war with Hezbollah is moving more rapidly forward and the US / biden effort to undercut the Israeli govt increases.
- Much of Europe is moving to war time footing. Even countries like Germany which have been waffling are now leaning more towards war preps. Russia’s stance indicates absolutely no willingness to approach the bargaining table at all.
US is included in the movement towards war. Mandatory automatic registration moving forward as an initial step towards the renewal of the draft, made necessary by the democrats killing the volunteer army model that has worked well since Reagan. Included in this is the draft of women (sorry trans, you can’t opt out by changing your gender).
Russian provocations combined with increasing pushback from NATO members may well result in the shoot down of a Russia fighter or some other incident.
- Mental / physical collapse of biden. Because of the election - biden cannot hide from public view. In doing so, his recent appearances show he is not physically / mentally fit - beyond doubt - to continue as president. I am surprised that biden has lasted as long as he has - must be some serious drugs keeping him running but those drugs are losing their effectiveness as demonstrated by recent events.
- Finally, Saudi Arabia effectively killing the petro dollar. That has been a key feature of US economic strength with other nations using it - supporting our Fed. It is a sign of a VERY significantly loss of world recognition of the US’ global leadership in all matters. Such move, combined with the growing BRICS movement using multiple currencies to make their purchases with, places things even more difficult to execute economic sanctions on rogue nations.