Countdown going big - T-4 days out from election day.
CW2 / Domestic violence - HIGH THREAT - up dated Oct 30, 2024
*** Level increased based on the elevated rhetoric from democrats/ leftists in the face of a increasingly probable trump win. ***
***
(FO) Federal agencies and non-governmental organizations are working with local law enforcement in multiple states to prepare for Election Day disruptions, including protests that turn violent, “SWATting” incidents, and bomb threats. “I think 2020 was to elections what 1999 and Columbine probably was to school safety planning,” former Larimer County, CO Sheriff Justin Smith said. According to Major County Sheriffs Association Executive Director Meghan Noland, the threats of violence around U.S. elections “is a new reality.”
***
Boards are going up in Washington, DC, less than a week from the election, at it seems some businesses are anticipating riots on election night.
***
The propaganda campaign labeling Donald Trump as an aspiring dictator determined to use the military and national security apparatus against his political opponents is designed not to affect the upcoming election but rather to shape the post-election environment. It is the central piece of a narrative that, by characterizing Trump as a tyrant (indeed likening him to Hitler), establishes the conditions for violence — not just another attempt on Trump’s life, but political violence on a massive scale intended to destabilize the country.
Prominent post-election scenarios forecast such widespread rioting that the newly elected president would be compelled to invoke the Insurrection Act. With some senior military officials refusing to follow Trump’s orders, according to the scenarios, the U.S. Armed Forces would split, leaving America on the edge of the abyss.
OBSERVATION - Another reiteration of the worst case scenario following a trump win. A kind of scorched earth effort. Still hard for me to wrap my brain around the concept that there is a substantial number of democrats who would support and participate in such an effort. But then again, the reality is that since 0bama the left has been making these preparations.
RELATED -
Leaders of leftist influence groups sought to preemptively discredit potential claims of victory by former President Donald Trump and portrayed his supporters as violent in an apparent effort to pave the way for Vice President Kamala Harris to claim victory
The webinar, which happened Wednesday, was appropriately called “Red, White, and Coup.” It featured Becker; Nora Benavidez, senior counsel for the Free Press (which supports censorship and was founded by a socialist); Heidi Beirich, cofounder of the Global Project Against Hate and Extremism (which smears conservative groups); and Damon Hewitt, president of the Lawyers Committee for Civil Rights Under Law (which wages lawfare against conservatives).
Panelists cast a potential Trump claim to victory as illegitimate and suggested his supporters and those with election integrity concerns are “extremists” with a potential for violence, in what appeared to be an attempt to predetermine the narrative and set the stage for Harris to claim victory and suppress dissent.
MORE OBSERVATIONS - Post election could develop into the most violence seen ever in this country short of civil war. I am also hearing of potential indicators that the violent left is ramping up plans for violence.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
Fewer than two dozen shipyard workers are responsible for suspicious welds that were discovered on aircraft carriers and submarines built at HII’s Newport News Shipbuilding, company officials said during an earnings call for the shipbuilder on Thursday.
“This is a process issue. This is a small fraction of some welders in the yard and a small fraction of welds that were impacted,” HII CEO Christopher Kastner said on the earnings call. “We’re working very closely with the customer to bound the issue and come through the issue, and we think we’ll march through that very smartly.”
The suspicious welds have been found aboard Nimitz-class aircraft carrier USS George Washington (CVN-73), the Virginia-class attack submarines USS Hyman G. Rickover (SSN-795) and USS New Jersey (SSN-796) and up to 23 other ships built at the Virginia shipyard.
“An initial assessment at Newport News Shipbuilding determined that fewer than two dozen welders did not consistently follow procedures in their weld process,” said HII’s chief financial officer Thomas Stiehle. “We continue to work alongside with the Navy through a comprehensive investigation and analysis to determine the extent of any financial impact.”
https://news.usni.org/2024/10/31/hii-fewer-than-2-dozen-shipyard-workers-involved-in-suspect-welds-delay-in-17-sub-contract-creates-unpredictability
OBSERVATION - Even a “few” welds are unacceptable and in addition to the welders (who should know better) the hammer should also fall on the QA/QC personnel of both the contractor as well as the USN. When I was a govt employee, our QA/QC was very tight, and it had to be to ensure concrete poured for major flood control dams was done correctly.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Merchan sentencing of trump - Nov 25th
**** Remember, most polls are designed to shape opinion, not reflect it. ****
Trump just filed a BOMBSHELL lawsuit against CBS News for interfering in the 2024 election by editing Kamala’s 60 Minutes interview. He’s seeking up to $10 BILLION in damages.
The lawsuit was filed in the Federal Northern District of Texas... which has arguably the most competent judges in the country. Trump is really about to singlehandedly bankrupt the fake news.
OBSERVATION - That’s right -BILLION. That right there makes a statement on the overt actions of this network (and inference the rest of the media) this isn’t going to be tolerated.
Democrats wanted lawfare, Trump is showing them lawfare
Biden / Harris Watch –
Even though it is not yet clear who will win the White House on Tuesday, Democrats appear to be panicking about the prospect of losing to Trump.
While some Democrats say they are increasingly hopeful that Harris will win, others have expressed mounting frustration about a string of factors that have plagued the campaign from the outset.
Fingers are being pointed at Harris and her campaign when it comes to disappointment over her messaging, particularly on the economy.
But some Democrats have already looked to pin the blame on President Biden, who some think took too long to step aside.
“People are nervous and they’re trying to cover their ass and get a little ahead of Election Day,” one Democratic strategist said of the sniping. “It’s based on anxiety, stakes and the unique nature of this cycle.
“We didn’t have a traditional process for this election. We didn’t have a primary. People just had to fall in line,” the strategist added, saying “it’s not surprising to me” that some of the blame game is happening even before Election Day.
If Harris loses, “there will be a mad dash to assign blame,” the strategist added.
OBSERVATION - Still cautious about talk of the harris campaign imploding, but indicators like this suggest that there is a growing knowledge that something is wrong.
Illegal Immigration –
Harris doubled down on her desire to grant citizenship to the 12+ million illegals she allow to enter the country as border czar.
China –
Two People’s Liberation Army Navy aircraft carriers exercised together for the first time in the South China Sea, the People’s Liberation Army reported.
According to photos released by the PLA, Carriers CNS Liaoning (16) and CNS Shandong (17) drilled together, leading the formation with 12 carrier-based J-15 fighters flying overhead and 11 PLAN surface ships.
In a Thursday press conference, Snr. Col. Zhang Xiaogang, spokesperson for China’s Ministry of National Defense, stated that the dual-carrier drill was a part of the PLAN’s annual training plan and aimed at enhancing the combat capability of the PLAN’s carrier strike groups (CSGs).
Although Shandong was commissioned in December 2019, the PLAN did not have its two operational carriers drilling together until this month, likely because it was taking a phased approach in building up the operational capabilities of its carriers.
OBSERVATION - China’s growth and development of carriers has grown quickly, but the strategic context they are still designed and operation in is a regional power projection. For this they will work well against nations that have limited naval and other defense capabilities. China isn’t ready to park one of their carrier groups off the west coast in a threatening manner.
North/South Korea –
North Korea Foreign Minister Choe Sun Hui alongside Lavrov in Moscow: Kim Jong Un ordered to support Russia in the war against Ukraine since very beginning. Pyongyang will stand by Russia until ‘victory’ in Ukraine.
***
More details on NK’s ICBM launch. NK reports that it is a new type of road-mobile ICBM, dubbed the “Hwasong-19” which appears to have been launched from an 11-Axle Transporter, Erector, Launcher (TEL). It is believed to be a solid fuel development based on the “Hwasong-18” system. The performance suggests designed to carry a larger warhead or have a substantially longer range for smaller ones.
Russia -
*****
The Kremlin on Thursday declined to comment when asked if Russia had helped North Korea with missile technology, calling the issue a specialized one that was better fielded by the Defense Ministry
OBSERVATION - You can bet your bottom dollar that they have provided that level of support.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 40-50s with scattered showers in the forecast.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Overnight, drones attacked a Russian oil depot in Svetlograd, Stavropol region, and drone debris hit an apartment building in Bryansk. Reports say around 80 UAVs targeted areas within Russia. Some of them successfully hit a Russian fuel storage depot in Svetlograd, Stavropol Krai, setting multiple tanks alight.
Russian Ministry of defense claimed 41 UAVs were shot down Kursk, Bryansk, Oryol, Belgorod regions and over occupied Crimea
Overnight, Russia again launched a missile and drone attack.
Shot down:
1/3 Kh-59/69 cruise missiles
31/48 Shahed drones
Another 14 Shahed drones were taken down by electronic warfare. Three more drones returned to Belarus.
At least 2 ballistic missiles were launched at Dnipro city
Russian Ministry of Defense claims full occupation of Leonidivka village of Donetsk region of Ukraine
Pokrovsk axis (Formerly Ocheretyne) -
Continued intense attacks along the front south of Pokrovsk.
Outlook —
Russian claims of capturing villages and small towns in the Donbas region further indicate the effort to move forward in the region. They have committed a lot of people and material. When one looks on the map, the territory taken is very small and following Russian attack doctrine applied to Ukraine, there really isn’t much of anything left to call a village. Russian personnel lose continue to be as much as 40-50% higher than this spring. So they are clawing away terrain, but because of the losses they have nothing to exploit the success with.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- IDF on high alert for what is believed to be an impending attack by Iran.
- US envoy Hochstein appears to have gummed up ceasefire efforts for Lebanon.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Hamas source: There will be no progress in negotiations on a deal - before the US elections
U.S. asked Lebanon to declare unilateral ceasefire with Israel in an effort to help along talks for a final resolution to the war, two sources to Reuters It was communicated by Amos Hochstein to Lebanese PM Najib Mikati and aimed to give Beirut some initiative.
NOTE - Israel is at war with Hezbollah, not Lebanon. Hochstein is a joke.
Following today’s meeting between Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and U.S. President Biden’s Envoys on Middle Eastern Affairs, Amos Hochstein and Brett McGurk; the Chance of apeaceful settlement in Lebanon is said to have drastically decreased. Hochstein, who was initially meant to travel to Beirut after the meeting, will instead return to the United States. (NOTE - Apparently he did go to Beirut - see comment above)
https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1852038805760438326?s=46&t=nfRT-Yioj0xALNzJelzFcA
Sky News in Arabic: There is less optimism about reaching a ceasefire deal in Lebanon in the coming days after Biden envoy Amos Hochstein’s visit to Israel.
Israeli army: Air force attacked 150 targets in Gaza and Lebanon in the past 24 hours
Hezbollah rocket attacks on northern Israel killed seven people in agricultural fields near Metula and Haifa Thursday, marking what appeared to be the deadliest day in months for civilians inside Israel.
——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————-
Hamas et al continues to be reduced in N Gaza. More reports of mass surrenders of Hamas and affiliated personnel.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Overnight, Israeli fighter jets struck a series of Hezbollah sites in Beirut and in southern Lebanon’s Nabatieh, the Israeli army says. In the Lebanese capital, weapon manufacturing plants, command centers, and other infrastructure were struck, according to the military
Fighting is still fierce for the towns of Khiyam, Yaroun and Maroun al-Ras, southern Lebanon.
———WEST BANK——————————-
UNRWA: Israeli bulldozers damaged our office in Nour Shams camp in the West Bank. Israel denies the claim.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
Rumors that Iranian backed militias in Iraq will be the source of the next major attack on Israel.
——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-
Leave it to biden to screw up the move for a potential cease fire in Lebanon. Hochstein most likely wanted to impose additional restrictions to Israel’s part of the deal which would negate the disarmament of Hezbollah and withdrawal north of the Litiani River.
Israel continues to pummel Hezbollah ammo dumps and production plants, command and control and other key targets in and around Beirut, Tyre and Baalbek. All the while providing CAS to the ground ops in S Lebanon. Hezbollah looks to be finally trying to make a stand in Khiyam, Yaroun and Maroun al-Ras. They likely have considerable weapons and munitions in underground storage (as been encountered by IDF in other border villages), but they are essentially fighting on their own, isolated from the support they have planned on. Their time is running out.
I’ve commented on the rumors that Iran will use Iraq to stage its next strike against Israel under Iran below. Looks like a misdirect. Any such effort under the watchful eyes of Israeli (and to some degree US) intelligence, would be grounds for a preemptive strike on these forces.
The fact that the IDF is on heightened alert does indicate that intelligence is pointing to an imminent attack by Iran - possibly before the US election - as threatened. The western mind can only consider this to be foolishness, but the arab mind Iran has to respond. Israel hit them hard enough to embarrass them and show the rest of the arab world their weakness.
Netanyahu knows that and may well be counting on it since he is aware of the western worlds view of things as well and in particular, the US elections. Any Iranian attack between now and the elections will allow Israel to absolutely pummel Iran in a much freer manner - and that will be very bad news for Iran. FAFO on steroids.
Israel’s announced retaliatory strike still looks to be held off until after the US election. It may also be balanced against a possible preemptive strike on Iran. We’ll have to wait and see.
Finally, Gaza is becoming more and more subdued - especially in the north. This is the kind of operation that was foreseen following the fall of the Philadelphi corridor and Rafah this summer. The plight of the hostages tends to be buried under other aspects of the overall conflict and I am rather pessimistic that they are still alive at this stage. The only hope that at least some are still alive is that Hamas is still trying to use them as leverage in any ceasefire agreement.
Iran –
A report in the New York Times: Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei directed Iran’s Supreme National Security Council to prepare for an attack on Israel. It was also reported that Khamenei made the decision to respond after reviewing a detailed military report on the extent of the damage caused by the Israeli attack.
***
Iran plans to attack Israel from Iraqi territory within days, say 2 Israeli sources; assault will involve hundreds of missiles & drones, Walla News reports; Iran hopes to shield itself from direct Israeli retaliation by launching the strike from Iraq, report says.
It appears Iran’s Chief of the General Staff of the Armed Forces is away at the moment. His plane headed west across the Mediterranean
Falih Al-Fayyadh, the Chairman of the Popular Mobilization Forces, the Main Iranian-Backed Paramilitary Forces in Iraq, was spotted today in Tehran with the Commander of the IRGC’s Quds Force, Brigadier General Esmail Qaani
OBSERVATION - I am skeptical about Iran launching its attack via proxies from Iraq. Though sneaky in that it could provide plausible deniability to the regime, it is questionable that the Iranian backed militias have the trained personnel as well as the numbers of rockets, launch vehicles/platforms and storage to conduct such an attack on short notice. Same with drones, though these militias have fired several daily, a mass launch would be hard pressed to accomplish IMHO. It is more likely that these Iranian mllitias will join with supporting fire - principally drones - to help overwhelm the Israeli defense systems.
Thanks Godzilla
*BUMP*
Lots to speculate about this upcoming Election Week. I feel safe where I live, but I think friends and family are going to be surprised when their various cities burn, win or lose.
They won’t participate - they’re not that evil - just your basic heads-full-of-mush (Miss You, RUSH!) that believe The Socialist Democrat Party is STILL as benign as The Kennedy/Camelot Days, when in REALITY it is a MALIGNANT CANCER that needs to be cut out.
Countdown going big - T-3 days out from election day.
It is now Saturday in the middle east - will the rumored Iranian attack happen?
Globalism / Great Reset –
Bill Gates has announced on Reid Hoffman’s podcast that a new religion should be created, centered around Artificial Intelligence.
Gates told Hoffman on his Possible podcast, “The potential positive path (of AI) is so good that it will force us to rethink how should we use our time. You can almost call it a new religion or a new philosophy of how do we stay connected with each other, and not be addicted to these things that will make video games look like nothing in terms of the attractiveness of spending time on them.”
OBSERVATION - Globalists want to eliminate Christianity as its standard of Christ is King is not compatible with its goals. It can manipulate other religions at this stage of the game.
CW2 / Domestic violence - HIGH THREAT - up dated Oct 30, 2024
*** Level increased based on the elevated rhetoric from democrats/ leftists in the face of a increasingly probable trump win. ***
My muddled meanderings as the election draws near -
The desperate and dishonest claims of the democrats as the election tumbles into the final days also has a tone of the calm before the storm. The final volleys of rhetoric are being set off and the plan “B” are being prepped.
A lot of assessment and concerns that no matter who wins Tuesday, violence will break out. Also, given the already announcements that several key states will not have voting counts finalize for over a week is going to add fuel to the fire unless trump hits the goal of too big to cheat (though they will still try).
An uncertain election result will generate rallies and protests, similar to the hanging chads of the Before Years, but this time around bring leftist violence against trump supporters. But this time, I don’t think it will go well for them.
I’m referring to the example of Based Stickman, and his cohorts who in March 2017 rose up against the proto-antifa elements attacking trump rallies at Berkeley CA and kicked their butts. Too much poking the bear has gone on and any antifa/leftist violence will be met accordingly.
Remember, the biden regime will still be in charge for two more months and they can and likely will do a lot of nasty things to prevent their removal from power in the face of a trump victory. They’ve displayed the willingness over the past nearly 4 years to flout the law and develop the weaponized alphabet agencies for just a time like this.
Contemplation of such a potential level of violence is disturbing, this is not the America I grew up in and served in the military for. But the trend of violence perpetrated by the left is upward and increasingly unavoidable.
I pray God intervenes but has He closed his ears due to the unrighteousness of this country?
***
Growing increasingly desperate in a tight presidential race, leftist groups appear to be turning to the intimidation game just days before the election.
The Maryland Attorney General’s Office is warning the infamous Voter Participation Center to stop sending mailers to residents “threatening to expose” their voting records.
Attorney General Anthony Brown, a Democrat, sent the VPC a cease-and-desist letter after Marylanders complained of receiving the group’s so-called “voting report card” attempting to shame people into voting.
In a press release, Brown admonished the voter registration activist group that “any action that intimidates prospective voters, especially on the eve of such a consequential election, will not be tolerated.”
“Voting is among the most important rights that Marylanders have,” the AG wrote. “Let me be clear: these unnerving letters are unacceptable, and Maryland voters should know that their decision to vote this Election Day is entirely theirs to make.”
Maryland residents aren’t the only Americans receiving threatening voting messages.
Parker Thayer, investigative researcher at the Capital Research Center noted on X, the leftist group NowThis Impact created a website that shows users how to “stalk the voting history of an ex, friend, or family member and bully them for not voting.”
https://thefederalist.com/2024/11/01/leftist-groups-turn-to-threats-to-get-out-the-vote/
OBSERVATION - This is a form of threat of doxxing voters to intimidate them to vote for - obviously - harris. Other leftist groups have been very busy with similar vote fraud schemes, one that caught my attention is the efforts of an Arizona group to dupe the Amish vote in PA.
With a trump victory, such databases would be screened by violent leftists to identify and target trump voters- bringing violence to their homes.
Economy- HIGH Threat - as of AUG 5, 2024
Job creation laid an egg in October, with the lowest additions in almost four years — and that was in the middle of the pandemic. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the US economy added only 12,000 jobs last month — but the unemployment rate held steady at 4.1%:
Total nonfarm payroll employment was essentially unchanged in October (+12,000), and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 4.1 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment continued to trend up in health care and government. Temporary help services lost jobs. Employment declined in manufacturing due to strike activity.
Does the strike explain the low figure? Only to a point. Manufacturing took a big hit, but not that big of a hit, from Boeing and other strikes in October:
Manufacturing employment decreased by 46,000 in October, reflecting a decline of 44,000 in transportation equipment manufacturing that was largely due to strike activity.
Let’s assume the strike never took place. We can add all 44,000 jobs back into the mix, and we’d still only have 56,000 jobs added in October, a level far below maintenance level in the American economy. It would still be the lowest number of 2024, at least, if not the last couple of years.
And that’s hardly the only bad news on the job-creation front. Revisions of the previous two months have subtracted six figures from the reported job pool:
The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for August was revised down by 81,000, from +159,000 to +78,000, and the change for September was revised down by 31,000, from +254,000 to +223,000. With these revisions, employment in August and September combined is 112,000 lower than previously reported.
OBSERVATION - This is not evidence of the glowing economy the democrats want to portray. The only reason the stock market didn’t tank was that these numbers would be used to force the Fed do drop its rates and faster. Revisions to previous months showed an over statement of 112,000 jobs, combined with the previous mega adjustment, the administration has overstated job creation over the past year by over a million.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin is sending additional bomber aircraft and Navy warships to the Middle East to bolster the US presence in the region as an aircraft carrier and its warships are preparing to leave, AP reported Friday citing US officials, amid reports that Tehran is preparing for a retaliatory attack on Israel.
Austin ordered several B-52 Stratofortress bomber aircraft, tanker aircraft and Navy destroyers to deploy to the Middle East, four US and defense officials said
The 2 to 5 B-52s being deployed from Barksdale Air Force Base in Louisiana won’t be deployed to the Middle East, instead they will likely be stationed on Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean.
According to a U.S. official, the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier and the three Navy destroyers in its strike group are scheduled to leave the Middle East by mid-month and return to their home port in San Diego.
When it departs, there will be no aircraft carrier in the Middle East for a period of time, the official said. Officials declined to say how long that gap would last.
OBSERVATION - Deployments like this are only as good as the resolve to use the force if necessary they bring with them. The coddling of Iran by the biden regime makes it highly questionable that any of these assets will be used directly against Iran, except for potentially to assist in the anti ballistic missile defense if Israel as it has in the past two Iranian missile attacks.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Merchan sentencing of trump - Nov 25th
**** Remember, most polls are designed to shape opinion, not reflect it. ****
The Harris campaign has asked mark cuban to step away from being a surrogate during the final days of the campaign after his comment about “no smart independent woman would vote for Trump”.
The Harris campaign feels these remarks are intentional and specifically aimed at tanking her campaign with only days left until Election Day.
Overnight, in a spasm of desperation, democrats crafted a totally bogus claim that trump called for the assassination of Cheney when clear reading of the statement he made said no such thing. Some democrats are now backpedaling and calling for the lie to stop.
JLo and CardiB made cringeworthy appeals to support harris.
Illegal Immigration –
Growing rumors that Mexico is holding back an immigration surge until after the election.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 40-50s with scattered showers in the forecast.
RUMINT –
Ukrainian military intelligence: North Korea deployed about 7000 servicemen to the border of Ukraine, armed with small arms.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Russian focused a large drone attack on the Kyiv region overnight. Ukrainian air defense shot down 39 of 71 strike drones. Heavy hits to civilian apartments and facilities.
Pokrovsk axis (Formerly Ocheretyne) -
Continued intense attacks along the front south of Pokrovsk.
Crimean front —
Violent explosions were reported in Dzhankoi district from Ukraine drone/missile strikes
Outlook —
As the N Koreans track closer and closer into battle, a quick reality check indicates that the above listed elements - 7000 - is less than two weeks worth of casualties Russia has been suffering in the war. As I noted, this loss trend is now about 40,000 / month. Russia has been struggling to bring 25,000 to 30,000 per month for replacements. Mostly symbolic but a image of Russia’s declining capability to conscript recruits for the war, as over 600K have been causalities since the war’s start.
Poland –
Poland has started the construction of 400 km (250 miles) defensive line on the borders with Russia and Belarus.
The “Eastern Shield” line will consists of 800 km of ditches, defensive fortifications, minefields and anti-tank obstacles.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Israel remains on alert for Iranian attack.
- Iran threatens to develop nuclear weapons.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
US Sec Def Lloyd Austin “continues to make clear that should Iran, its partners, or its proxies use this moment to target American personnel or interests in the region, the United States will take every measure necessary to defend our people”
The deployment of more US forces to the MiddleEast is “In keeping with our commitments to the protection of US citizens and forces in the Middle East, the defense of Israel, and de-escalation through deterrence and diplomacy” per Pentagon PresSec
***
Top Hamas official Izz al-Din Kassab was killed Friday in an airstrike in the southern Gaza Strip, the IDF and Shin Bet announced.
Kasab was one of the last remaining members of Hamas’s political bureau, where he served as head of national relations.
According to the military, he was responsible for coordination between Hamas and the other terror groups in Gaza.
——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————-
IDF concentrating on N Gaza (Jamblia Camp area) as well in Central Gaza (Nuseirat area) overnight.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Antoine Zahra, an Executive Member of the Lebanese Forces Party in Lebanon’s Parliament:
“No Target in Lebanon was bombed randomly, Israel avoids harming civilians as much as possible.”
https://t.me/beholdisraelchannel/43588
——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
The Israeli army carried out a raid at dawn today on the Al-Qaa-Josi crossing, east of the north of the country
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
Iraqi paramilitary groups under the Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF) have reportedly been placed into a “High-Level of Readiness” as they prepare to join the war against Israel, under orders from Iran.
——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-
As noted up front - this is Saturday and will Iran go for it as rumored. I place the rumored Iraqi based attack at a much lower threshold for simply raw logistical reasons. The militias there need TELs for the shorter range ballistic missiles- probably SCUD equivalent for us old foggies - and they have to get dozens there without Israel (or the US) detecting them. Drones are logistically simpler, but still challenging to bring hundreds into country on short notice undetected.
Hence, if Iran is feeling froggy, it will come from Iran proper for the most part.
I shrug my shoulders at the US military reinforcements goin into the region. Useful for contributing to Israeli defense against ballistic missiles, I seriously doubt ANYONE in the WH has the resolve to actually strike Iranian targets. A paper tiger after a fashion.
In Lebanon, the peace talks have broke down to a degree, thanks to the US. Israel is on track to continue to prosecute the war in the manner it sees fit. The fight for three key Lebanese towns continue, developed into fortresses over the past decade. Airstrikes pound the Hezbollah rocket and drone supplies with IDF estimates that they only have about 10% of their drones intact, and have lost a significant number of drone operators as well. Losses to their rocket and missile supplies have resulted in a corresponding low rate of rocket attacks.
CAS and other tactical air strikes continue across the south.
Israel PR and vocalized support to opposition groups to Hezbollah seems to continue to gain traction. Israel’s efforts to warn non-Hezbollah civilians of air strikes and the clear avoidance of targeting civilians randomly is working and being recognized by the Lebanese.
In Gaza, Hamas et al, continues to be isolated and liquidated. The Israeli plan to allow them to regroup then strike them again is working to take out the most loyal remaining fighters.
Iran –
IRGC Spokesman: Israel’s supporters must understand Tehran has the right to respond to recent attack on Iran.
***
Adviser to Iran’s Leader says that “if Iran faces an existential threat”, it will change its nuclear doctrine. He added, “We now have the necessary ability to produce nuclear weapons, and the only obstacle is the fatwa of the Leader, which has banned the production of nukes”
***
Iran is reportedly signaling that it will now respond to Israel’s limited strike on Iranian military and missile production facilities last week after it initially sought to downplay the incident because it wanted to avoid escalating a military conflict against a far superior opponent.
Analysts say that Iran is stuck between a rock and a hard place because if it does not respond, it will appear weak and lose credibility with its allies and terrorist proxy groups. Not responding will also embolden opposition groups in the country that are ganging popularity as the country increasingly sours on the regime.
https://harbingersdaily.com/israel-at-war-week-56/
OBSERVATION - That would be the final step for Iran, as Israel will jump to the occasion to destroy Iranian nuclear capabilities. Even if Iran is able to construct a device and successfully test it, the damage that Israel could / will inflict on the program would seriously set it back many years. After Israel’s latest attack on Iran, it is now clear that the buffer Iran thought it once had is no longer there.