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To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..

Countdown going big - T-3 days out from election day.

It is now Saturday in the middle east - will the rumored Iranian attack happen?


Globalism / Great Reset –

Bill Gates has announced on Reid Hoffman’s podcast that a new religion should be created, centered around Artificial Intelligence.

Gates told Hoffman on his Possible podcast, “The potential positive path (of AI) is so good that it will force us to rethink how should we use our time. You can almost call it a new religion or a new philosophy of how do we stay connected with each other, and not be addicted to these things that will make video games look like nothing in terms of the attractiveness of spending time on them.”

https://protestia.com/2024/11/01/bill-gates-declares-need-for-new-world-religion-created-from-a-i/#google_vignette

OBSERVATION - Globalists want to eliminate Christianity as its standard of Christ is King is not compatible with its goals. It can manipulate other religions at this stage of the game.


CW2 / Domestic violence - HIGH THREAT - up dated Oct 30, 2024
*** Level increased based on the elevated rhetoric from democrats/ leftists in the face of a increasingly probable trump win. ***

My muddled meanderings as the election draws near -

The desperate and dishonest claims of the democrats as the election tumbles into the final days also has a tone of the calm before the storm. The final volleys of rhetoric are being set off and the plan “B” are being prepped.

A lot of assessment and concerns that no matter who wins Tuesday, violence will break out. Also, given the already announcements that several key states will not have voting counts finalize for over a week is going to add fuel to the fire unless trump hits the goal of too big to cheat (though they will still try).

An uncertain election result will generate rallies and protests, similar to the hanging chads of the Before Years, but this time around bring leftist violence against trump supporters. But this time, I don’t think it will go well for them.

I’m referring to the example of Based Stickman, and his cohorts who in March 2017 rose up against the proto-antifa elements attacking trump rallies at Berkeley CA and kicked their butts. Too much poking the bear has gone on and any antifa/leftist violence will be met accordingly.

Remember, the biden regime will still be in charge for two more months and they can and likely will do a lot of nasty things to prevent their removal from power in the face of a trump victory. They’ve displayed the willingness over the past nearly 4 years to flout the law and develop the weaponized alphabet agencies for just a time like this.

Contemplation of such a potential level of violence is disturbing, this is not the America I grew up in and served in the military for. But the trend of violence perpetrated by the left is upward and increasingly unavoidable.

I pray God intervenes but has He closed his ears due to the unrighteousness of this country?

***
Growing increasingly desperate in a tight presidential race, leftist groups appear to be turning to the intimidation game just days before the election.

The Maryland Attorney General’s Office is warning the infamous Voter Participation Center to stop sending mailers to residents “threatening to expose” their voting records.

Attorney General Anthony Brown, a Democrat, sent the VPC a cease-and-desist letter after Marylanders complained of receiving the group’s so-called “voting report card” attempting to shame people into voting.

In a press release, Brown admonished the voter registration activist group that “any action that intimidates prospective voters, especially on the eve of such a consequential election, will not be tolerated.”

“Voting is among the most important rights that Marylanders have,” the AG wrote. “Let me be clear: these unnerving letters are unacceptable, and Maryland voters should know that their decision to vote this Election Day is entirely theirs to make.”

Maryland residents aren’t the only Americans receiving threatening voting messages.

Parker Thayer, investigative researcher at the Capital Research Center noted on X, the leftist group NowThis Impact created a website that shows users how to “stalk the voting history of an ex, friend, or family member and bully them for not voting.”

https://thefederalist.com/2024/11/01/leftist-groups-turn-to-threats-to-get-out-the-vote/

OBSERVATION - This is a form of threat of doxxing voters to intimidate them to vote for - obviously - harris. Other leftist groups have been very busy with similar vote fraud schemes, one that caught my attention is the efforts of an Arizona group to dupe the Amish vote in PA.
With a trump victory, such databases would be screened by violent leftists to identify and target trump voters- bringing violence to their homes.


Economy- HIGH Threat - as of AUG 5, 2024

Job creation laid an egg in October, with the lowest additions in almost four years — and that was in the middle of the pandemic. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the US economy added only 12,000 jobs last month — but the unemployment rate held steady at 4.1%:

Total nonfarm payroll employment was essentially unchanged in October (+12,000), and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 4.1 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment continued to trend up in health care and government. Temporary help services lost jobs. Employment declined in manufacturing due to strike activity.
Does the strike explain the low figure? Only to a point. Manufacturing took a big hit, but not that big of a hit, from Boeing and other strikes in October:

Manufacturing employment decreased by 46,000 in October, reflecting a decline of 44,000 in transportation equipment manufacturing that was largely due to strike activity.

Let’s assume the strike never took place. We can add all 44,000 jobs back into the mix, and we’d still only have 56,000 jobs added in October, a level far below maintenance level in the American economy. It would still be the lowest number of 2024, at least, if not the last couple of years.

And that’s hardly the only bad news on the job-creation front. Revisions of the previous two months have subtracted six figures from the reported job pool:

The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for August was revised down by 81,000, from +159,000 to +78,000, and the change for September was revised down by 31,000, from +254,000 to +223,000. With these revisions, employment in August and September combined is 112,000 lower than previously reported.

https://hotair.com/ed-morrissey/2024/11/01/new-us-adds-only-12000-jobs-in-october-n3796552?fbclid=IwY2xjawGRuWBleHRuA2FlbQIxMQABHW5tRp4gXV9jgxgfycbyBVI0XiPZDExgcsAxwsmNMP_qSzHhZHE8IxXTQA_aem_fOmpKp3uijHYaR0eVJn4Mw

OBSERVATION - This is not evidence of the glowing economy the democrats want to portray. The only reason the stock market didn’t tank was that these numbers would be used to force the Fed do drop its rates and faster. Revisions to previous months showed an over statement of 112,000 jobs, combined with the previous mega adjustment, the administration has overstated job creation over the past year by over a million.


Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –

US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin is sending additional bomber aircraft and Navy warships to the Middle East to bolster the US presence in the region as an aircraft carrier and its warships are preparing to leave, AP reported Friday citing US officials, amid reports that Tehran is preparing for a retaliatory attack on Israel.

Austin ordered several B-52 Stratofortress bomber aircraft, tanker aircraft and Navy destroyers to deploy to the Middle East, four US and defense officials said

The 2 to 5 B-52s being deployed from Barksdale Air Force Base in Louisiana won’t be deployed to the Middle East, instead they will likely be stationed on Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean.

According to a U.S. official, the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier and the three Navy destroyers in its strike group are scheduled to leave the Middle East by mid-month and return to their home port in San Diego.

When it departs, there will be no aircraft carrier in the Middle East for a period of time, the official said. Officials declined to say how long that gap would last.

https://www.newsmax.com/world/globaltalk/middle-east-us-military-bombers-warships/2024/11/01/id/1186399/#ixzz8qNwefDLt

OBSERVATION - Deployments like this are only as good as the resolve to use the force if necessary they bring with them. The coddling of Iran by the biden regime makes it highly questionable that any of these assets will be used directly against Iran, except for potentially to assist in the anti ballistic missile defense if Israel as it has in the past two Iranian missile attacks.


POLITICAL FRONT –
Merchan sentencing of trump - Nov 25th

**** Remember, most polls are designed to shape opinion, not reflect it. ****

The Harris campaign has asked mark cuban to step away from being a surrogate during the final days of the campaign after his comment about “no smart independent woman would vote for Trump”.
The Harris campaign feels these remarks are intentional and specifically aimed at tanking her campaign with only days left until Election Day.

Overnight, in a spasm of desperation, democrats crafted a totally bogus claim that trump called for the assassination of Cheney when clear reading of the statement he made said no such thing. Some democrats are now backpedaling and calling for the lie to stop.

JLo and CardiB made cringeworthy appeals to support harris.


Illegal Immigration –

Growing rumors that Mexico is holding back an immigration surge until after the election.


Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 40-50s with scattered showers in the forecast.

RUMINT –

Ukrainian military intelligence: North Korea deployed about 7000 servicemen to the border of Ukraine, armed with small arms.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –

Russian focused a large drone attack on the Kyiv region overnight. Ukrainian air defense shot down 39 of 71 strike drones. Heavy hits to civilian apartments and facilities.

Pokrovsk axis (Formerly Ocheretyne) -

Continued intense attacks along the front south of Pokrovsk.

Crimean front —

Violent explosions were reported in Dzhankoi district from Ukraine drone/missile strikes

Outlook —

As the N Koreans track closer and closer into battle, a quick reality check indicates that the above listed elements - 7000 - is less than two weeks worth of casualties Russia has been suffering in the war. As I noted, this loss trend is now about 40,000 / month. Russia has been struggling to bring 25,000 to 30,000 per month for replacements. Mostly symbolic but a image of Russia’s declining capability to conscript recruits for the war, as over 600K have been causalities since the war’s start.


Poland –

Poland has started the construction of 400 km (250 miles) defensive line on the borders with Russia and Belarus.

The “Eastern Shield” line will consists of 800 km of ditches, defensive fortifications, minefields and anti-tank obstacles.


ISRAEL –

Key overnight developments -

- Israel remains on alert for Iranian attack.

- Iran threatens to develop nuclear weapons.

——— GENERAL ——————————-

US Sec Def Lloyd Austin “continues to make clear that should Iran, its partners, or its proxies use this moment to target American personnel or interests in the region, the United States will take every measure necessary to defend our people”

The deployment of more US forces to the MiddleEast is “In keeping with our commitments to the protection of US citizens and forces in the Middle East, the defense of Israel, and de-escalation through deterrence and diplomacy” per Pentagon PresSec

***
Top Hamas official Izz al-Din Kassab was killed Friday in an airstrike in the southern Gaza Strip, the IDF and Shin Bet announced.
Kasab was one of the last remaining members of Hamas’s political bureau, where he served as head of national relations.
According to the military, he was responsible for coordination between Hamas and the other terror groups in Gaza.

——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————-

IDF concentrating on N Gaza (Jamblia Camp area) as well in Central Gaza (Nuseirat area) overnight.

——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-

Antoine Zahra, an Executive Member of the Lebanese Forces Party in Lebanon’s Parliament:
“No Target in Lebanon was bombed randomly, Israel avoids harming civilians as much as possible.”

https://t.me/beholdisraelchannel/43588

——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-

The Israeli army carried out a raid at dawn today on the Al-Qaa-Josi crossing, east of the north of the country

———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————

Iraqi paramilitary groups under the Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF) have reportedly been placed into a “High-Level of Readiness” as they prepare to join the war against Israel, under orders from Iran.

——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-

As noted up front - this is Saturday and will Iran go for it as rumored. I place the rumored Iraqi based attack at a much lower threshold for simply raw logistical reasons. The militias there need TELs for the shorter range ballistic missiles- probably SCUD equivalent for us old foggies - and they have to get dozens there without Israel (or the US) detecting them. Drones are logistically simpler, but still challenging to bring hundreds into country on short notice undetected.

Hence, if Iran is feeling froggy, it will come from Iran proper for the most part.

I shrug my shoulders at the US military reinforcements goin into the region. Useful for contributing to Israeli defense against ballistic missiles, I seriously doubt ANYONE in the WH has the resolve to actually strike Iranian targets. A paper tiger after a fashion.

In Lebanon, the peace talks have broke down to a degree, thanks to the US. Israel is on track to continue to prosecute the war in the manner it sees fit. The fight for three key Lebanese towns continue, developed into fortresses over the past decade. Airstrikes pound the Hezbollah rocket and drone supplies with IDF estimates that they only have about 10% of their drones intact, and have lost a significant number of drone operators as well. Losses to their rocket and missile supplies have resulted in a corresponding low rate of rocket attacks.
CAS and other tactical air strikes continue across the south.

Israel PR and vocalized support to opposition groups to Hezbollah seems to continue to gain traction. Israel’s efforts to warn non-Hezbollah civilians of air strikes and the clear avoidance of targeting civilians randomly is working and being recognized by the Lebanese.

In Gaza, Hamas et al, continues to be isolated and liquidated. The Israeli plan to allow them to regroup then strike them again is working to take out the most loyal remaining fighters.


Iran –

IRGC Spokesman: Israel’s supporters must understand Tehran has the right to respond to recent attack on Iran.

***
Adviser to Iran’s Leader says that “if Iran faces an existential threat”, it will change its nuclear doctrine. He added, “We now have the necessary ability to produce nuclear weapons, and the only obstacle is the fatwa of the Leader, which has banned the production of nukes”

***
Iran is reportedly signaling that it will now respond to Israel’s limited strike on Iranian military and missile production facilities last week after it initially sought to downplay the incident because it wanted to avoid escalating a military conflict against a far superior opponent.

Analysts say that Iran is stuck between a rock and a hard place because if it does not respond, it will appear weak and lose credibility with its allies and terrorist proxy groups. Not responding will also embolden opposition groups in the country that are ganging popularity as the country increasingly sours on the regime.

https://harbingersdaily.com/israel-at-war-week-56/

OBSERVATION - That would be the final step for Iran, as Israel will jump to the occasion to destroy Iranian nuclear capabilities. Even if Iran is able to construct a device and successfully test it, the damage that Israel could / will inflict on the program would seriously set it back many years. After Israel’s latest attack on Iran, it is now clear that the buffer Iran thought it once had is no longer there.



1,118 posted on 11/02/2024 6:48:18 AM PDT by Godzilla (“When tyranny becomes law, rebellion becomes duty” - Thomas Jefferson)
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To: Godzilla

Apparently Iran is dreading a Trump win.

From Amir Tsarfati’s Telegram account.....

“Iranian, Arab and Western sources to Reuters:

Tehran fears Trump’s victory in the presidential elections and his “automatic” support for Israel. The fear is that Trump will encourage Netanyahu to attack the nuclear facilities and carry out targeted assassinations of senior officials in Iran, and will reimpose his “maximum pressure” policy, with an emphasis on the oil industry

An Iranian official said a Trump victory would be a “nightmare.” According to him, “He will increase the pressure on Iran to please Israel, increase the sanctions and their enforcement - and our regime will be financially paralyzed.” Two regional sources said: “Trump’s reelection will be a cup of poison for Khamenei.”

A Western source said: “If Trump returns to power, he will support Israel’s plans to attack Iran’s nuclear facilities””


1,120 posted on 11/02/2024 8:20:13 AM PDT by metmom (He who testifies to these things says, “Surely I am coming soon.” Amen. Come, Lord Jesus”)
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To: Godzilla

Re: Trump’s remarks about Liz Cheney

https://youtu.be/6VHP68I2j2w?feature=shared

Above is the link to that part of the interview.

It’s crystal clear the context, Trump was saying that Liz is a war hawk, and how would she like it if she herself was on the front lines being shot at by the enemy.


1,123 posted on 11/02/2024 11:41:03 AM PDT by WildHighlander57 ((the more you tighten your grip, the more star systems will slip through your fingers.) )
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To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..

Countdown going big - T-2 days out from election day.

Take a deep breath, Tuesday will be intense.


Globalism / Great Reset –

Besides ‘degrowth’ and ‘net zero,’ one other dangerous buzz phrase being bandied about by proponents of the Great Reset is “nature-positive food systems.” The stated goal of moving to new food systems is to reduce nitrogen emissions, livestock production, and meat consumption. This is to be achieved by consuming plant-based products, lab-grown foods, and insects (as a source of protein). The moot question, however, is whether such a change is at all necessary?

The U.N., the World Economic Forum (WEF), the Rockefeller Foundation, the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, and other NGOs would have us believe so. These institutions are controlled by the global elite, who aim to create monopolistic markets for themselves and enslave people, turning them first into captive consumers without choice, and eventually, without free will. So, the U.N. and its co-conspirators have manufactured a food crisis, and by linking it to their other fabrication — an exaggerated climate crisis — they are using it to reset the world’s food system.

Their plan to “transition to net zero, nature-positive food systems by 2030” translates into a war on traditional farmers. Unable to absorb the added costs of new regulations and controls, small, independent producers are being squeezed out of farming. Their place is being taken by multinational agribusinesses. Unchecked, these multinationals will dominate farming in a decade or two.

In the U.S., similarly, over 30% of territory will become subject to administrative state control under Executive Order 14008, signed by President Joe Biden in 2021. The order is part of a global 30x30 plan to permanently keep 30% of the world’s land and oceans pristine by prohibiting human activity. It’s to be achieved by 2030, hence “30 by 30.” Without any plausible data that such preservation would reverse alleged “climate change,” this is more about control, and amounts to nothing but a massive land grab.

https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2024/11/it_s_all_about_control_the_elite_plan_for_the_great_food_reset.html

OBSERVATIONS - More at link above. The axiom “he who controls the food controls the people” is clearly at play. The attacks on food productions (and some processing) are coming from multiple fronts in growing ways. We may well see serious food shortages and even higher prices in spite of trump because of the momentum of the policies biden’s regime and other WEF dominated countries have put into place.


CW2 / Domestic violence - HIGH THREAT - up dated Oct 30, 2024

The governor of Washington state on Friday said he was activating some members of the National Guard to be on stand-by after information and concerns regarding potential violence related to the 2024 election.


Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –

U.S. Central Command has confirmed that Two B-52H Long-Range Strategic Bombers from the 5th Bomb Wing stationed at Minot Air Force Base in North Dakota, have arrived at Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar. After being ordered to Region only roughly 24 hours ago.

NOTE - It was earlier reported that these bombers would be stationed in Diego Garcia.


Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics

(Brownstone Institute) — The House report on HHS COVID propaganda is devastating. The Biden administration spent almost $1 billion to push falsehoods about COVID vaccines, boosters, and masks on the American people. If a pharmaceutical company had run the campaign, it would have been fined out of existence.

HHS engaged a PR firm, the Fors Marsh Group (FMG), for the propaganda campaign. The main goal was to increase COVID vax uptake. The strategy: 1. Exaggerate COVID mortality risk 2. Downplay the fact that there was no good evidence that the COVID vax stops transmission.

https://www.lifesitenews.com/opinion/devastating-house-report-shows-biden-admin-spent-almost-1-billion-to-push-covid-propaganda/?utm_source=most_recent&utm_campaign=usa

OBSERVATION - Just the tip of the iceberg. With all the screams of the left of ‘misinformation’ the BIGGEST source of misinformation was the govt itself. Now project to today, and claims that the govt is the final arbiter of ‘true’ news.


POLITICAL FRONT –
Merchan sentencing of trump - Nov 25th

**** Remember, most polls are designed to shape opinion, not reflect it. ****

You know things aren’t looking good when Snopes fails to back your latest allegation

“The fact-checking organization Snopes has corrected the record for several news outlets and the Kamala Harris campaign, which spread the false claim that Trump called for Liz Cheney’s “execution.” Snopes determined that “Trump didn’t threaten to have Liz Cheney shot.”

Snopes wrote as its headline on the fact-check, “Despite violent rhetoric, Trump didn’t threaten to have Liz Cheney shot,” and called out several examples of pundits saying that the GOP nominee was making a death threat towards Cheney during a Thursday evening event with Tucker Carlson earlier this week in Arizona.”

https://thepostmillennial.com/snopes-debunks-liz-cheney-execution-hoax-in-fact-check-of-kamala-harris-campaign-msnbc-cnn#google_vignette

***
Reps. Brian Mast (R-Fla), Bill Huizenga (R-Mich), and Mike Waltz (R-Fla) have sent a letter to Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin, expressing “grave concern” over what they describe as “deficiencies in the Defense Department’s protocols” for military absentee voting. The letter highlighted the fact that the stockpile of absentee ballots has reportedly been “depleted and not replenished,” likely having a negative impact upon service members’ ability to vote.

https://pjmedia.com/matt-margolis/2024/11/02/the-biden-harris-admin-disenfranchises-overseas-military-n4933897#google_vignette

OBSERVATION - Having been stationed overseas, I find this neglect reprehensible and a total case of disrespect to the military who relies on state side support for the execution of our rights - all the while being placed in harms way for those nice warm bureaucrats who failed.


Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 40-50s with scattered showers in the forecast.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –

Overnight Ukraine shot down:

1/1 Kh-59/69 cruise missile
93/96 Shahed drones (66 regular, 27 EW)
Another drone flew back to Belarus.
Kyiv region was the primary target.

Reports that last month Ukraine successfully took out a high number of key Russian radar systems. So many that now Russian pilots are becoming reluctant to even glide bomb Ukraine targets due to lack of ADA protection from Ukraine jets.

Pokrovsk axis (Formerly Ocheretyne) -

Continued intense attacks along the front south of Pokrovsk.

Outlook —

Grind continues along the front line as Ukraine grudgingly gives up terrain and Russia continues with high losses.

Clearly it appears that Russia has made the turn to increase its deep game with drones. Counter drone defenses still lagging behind the capability to deal with large numbers of drones. Cheap, they eat up a lot of expensive defensive munitions.

Continued attrition of expensive and limited Russia ADA assets is starting to really hurt. As noted above, this may result in a decrease in glide bomb attacks against Ukraine.


Moldova/Transnistria -

Moldovans are going to the polls in the second round run-off of a presidential election seen as a choice between a European future or a return to Russian influence.

Pro-European President Maia Sandu faces Alexandr Stoianoglo, a man she fired as chief prosecutor, who has promised to balance foreign policy between the West and Russia and has the backing of the pro-Russian Party of Socialists.

Sandu and Moldova’s authorities have warned that a fugitive oligarch now based in Russia is trying to buy the election for Moscow.

The Kremlin has denied interfering in the vote, much as it did during last weekend’s disputed elections in Georgia, whose president described the vote as a “Russian special operation”.

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cq6lyzj9dddo

OBSERVATION - Once again, part of a larger Russia political plot to destabilize western leaning govts that are also still partially within Russia’s sphere of influence after the collapse of the Soviet Union.


Europe / NATO General –

GEORGIA - Not much big news lately, buried by US election and other international news.


ISRAEL –

Key overnight developments -

- 51 hostages estimated to still be alive.

- Israel captured Imad Amhaz, a senior Hezbollah naval commander, in a carefully planned operation.

——— GENERAL ——————————-

Currently, Hamas is holding 51 Israeli hostages alive, according to Israeli analysts. The remaining Israeli hostages are dead, although it has not been officially announced that they are all dead, as reported this morning by Israel Hayom.

The data on which Netanyahu relied was compiled based on information accumulated through various channels since October 7, some of which are public and some are based in military intelligence. This means that 50 of the Israeli hostages held in Gaza are dead, although so far only 37 hostages have been officially declared dead with their bodies held by Hamas.

https://www.israelnationalnews.com/news/398533

***
The Biden Administration has issued an ultimatum to Israel that if the humanitarian situation in Gaza doesn’t improve by November 13th, it will cut military aid.

The warning follows a letter by U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin to their Israeli counterparts on October 13th.

The letter stated that if there were no amelioration of the condition of Gazan civilians in 30 days, there would likely be limitations on the delivery of weapons and supplies to Israel.

The U.S. issued these warnings despite evidence that over half of the humanitarian aid delivered to the Gaza Strip is stolen by Hamas terrorists, and the looting of supplies weakens Gazan civilians and strengthens Hamas.

https://worldisraelnews.com/biden-administration-threatens-if-israel-doesnt-improve-gazan-humanitarian-situation-by-nov-13-it-will-cut-off-military-aid/

***
RUMINT - Reports that military movements of missile launchers were observed in 68 locations across Iran.

***
US message reported sent to Islamic Republic of Iran: “If you strike again, we will not be able to restrain the Israelis as we have done in the past.”

***
Israeli forces have captured Imad Amhaz, a senior Hezbollah naval commander, in a carefully planned operation. Israeli intelligence had been monitoring Amhaz’s movements, waiting for the right moment to act. The operation went smoothly without any resistance. Initially, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) did not plan to announce the capture. However, after Lebanese media reported the news, the military confirmed it. Security officials describe Amhaz as a key figure in Hezbollah’s secretive naval operations. His capture is seen as a significant intelligence success.

***
Israel has issued a warning to the Iraqi government, if drone attacks from Iraq persist, or if Iran initiates any assault from within Iraqi borders, the IDF will respond with strikes on targets in Iraq

——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-

Eleven Israelis were wounded by a Hezbollah rocket impact in the central town of Tira on Saturday, as the terror group shot some 160 rockets and ten drones at Israel over the past 24 hours. Meanwhile, the IDF eliminated four senior Hezbollah commanders through airstrikes.

Israeli media reported that of the 160 rockets launched overall, 130 crossed into Israeli territory, where most were either intercepted by IDF air defenses or fell in open areas. Seven of the ten drones were shot down.

https://allisrael.com/11-israelis-wounded-as-hezbollah-shoots-some-160-rockets-at-israel-throughout-the-jewish-sabbath

——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-

Israeli intel continues to win its component of the war and the capture of Imad Amhaz, a senior Hezbollah naval commander, is the latest. Otherwise the war against Hezbollah continues to move forward methodically both on the ground in the south and via the bombing campaign throughout the rest of the country.

Note - 160 rockets is about as big as Hezbollah is able to do. Remember, pre-war intel concerns not only by Israel but the US as well projected Hezbollah would saturate Israeli ADA with nearly 1000 per day. This goes to show how successful Israel has been in decimating the rocket store piles and launch sites.

Gaza is facing a deadline restated by the biden regime over the allowance of ‘aid’ to gaza. The regime cannot be blind to the fact that at least half of aid going into gaza ends up being stolen by residual Hamas elements and used for its soldiers as well as being sold on the black markets to maintain an income source.

Until the US acts on its threats, Israel continues to eliminate Hamas and affiliated terror groups.

Knee jerks on the Iranian threat to hit Israel are on the rise. Most recent was the rumor of a Saturday strike - didn’t happen. Now rumors of movements of Iranian missiles to launch areas - in the thousands. A NOTAM issued yesterday for a training area covering the US election day. All are head games, but there must be enough corresponding information from US intel assets that has broken thru the Iran-favoring biden administration to move even more assets to the region.

Probably the most chilling report is that the US will be unable to restrain Israel’s response should Iran attack. Yep, with the election past, Israel will have very little to lose no matter what the results of the election. US assets still have a defensive posture but assets like B52s and recent strike by B2s are a warning not to touch US bases in the region. However, the threat is only as good as the willingness to use it, and I’m skeptical on the US’s willingness.


Iran –

Continued rhetoric that Iran will soon strike Israel. A rumored Saturday strike did not pan out, now rumored to be planned for on election day here in the US.


Iraq -

Israel warns Iraq that it will hit Iraqi targets should it allow Iran and its proxies to continue to launch attacks against Israel.



1,124 posted on 11/03/2024 7:02:50 AM PST by Godzilla (“When tyranny becomes law, rebellion becomes duty” - Thomas Jefferson)
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