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To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..


Globalism / Great Reset –

“During the covid-19 pandemic, falsehoods about masks, vaccines and ‘lockdowns’ spread as fast as the virus itself, and were almost as deadly,” Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said at the World Health Summit on Sunday.

The World Health Summit (“WHS”) is an annual international conference and network that brings together “stakeholders” from politics, science, the private sector and civil society to set the agenda for a “healthier” future. Established in 2009, the summit is held in Berlin, Germany, and also offers online participation.
This year’s WHS was held between 13 and 15 October under the slogan “Building Trust for a Healthier World.”

“Media, celebrities, social media influencers and politicians have spread false claims that the Agreement will cede national sovereignty to WHO and give it the power to impose ‘lockdowns’ or vaccine mandates on countries.

“To be sure, governments and internet and social media companies have a responsibility to prevent the spread of harmful lies and promote access to accurate health information.

“WHO is working with a range of companies and researchers and partners to understand how misinformation and disinformation spreads, who is targeted, how they’re influenced, and what we can do to counter this problem.”

As Dr. Meryl Nass noted when highlighting Tedros’ speech: “The other side needs to kill free speech in order to take over, so the stakes are very high.”

https://expose-news.com/2024/10/18/tedros-the-terrorist-says/

OBSERVATION - See the pattern in recent days. From John Kerry saying we must eliminate the 1st Amendment, to hillary saying those spreading ‘misinformation’ (ie commentary contrary to the narrative) need to be punished- the desires of censorship are global.

Tedros’ speech is an act of misinformation in its self as the very examples that he cites have now been pretty well proven to be the correct and scientifically supported - conspiracy theorists wins. But that is not the desired narrative, thus the continued gaslighting.


CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate THREAT - up dated Sep 12, 2024

Trump supporters in Pennsylvania are receiving threatening letters from the radical left.

“Your candidate is a felon, rapist, desecrator, an immoral flawed man. He is major reason violence us up, remember January 6th and Charlottesville?
By supporting him you are declaring your public support for a disregard of the law, civil discourse and unity. You are indicating your hatred for minorities, immigrants, foreigners, women, education, the rights of your fellow citizens, the rights of women to make decisions over their own healthcare needs. Oh and yes a hatred for Taylor Swift, who has contributed nothing but joy to the world. And you are entitled to all of this. However this is a reminder that your visible support comes with a price and at a cost. There will be consequences.

https://x.com/ImMeme0/status/1847283883621965920

OBSERVATION - These threats have been out there, but in this case are now overt. One interesting inclusion into the condemnation is the reference to Taylor Swift, which, along with some of the other phrasing, suggests a “Karen” as the source of the diatribe.

But make no mistake, regardless of who wins, there will be violence directed to republicans/trump supporters. The form and severity is yet to be seen.

***
As a reminder, Stop Cop Nation has issued a national call to action to end police brutality, starting with a national day of action scheduled for Tuesday, 22 October 2024. 17 cities are reportedly officially organizing for the event.

There are no law enforcement events that could trigger excessive violence, like Floyd, but previous events have resulting in some vandalism and other localized violence. Best be situationally alert and steer away from protest areas.

***
Elon Musk on the campaign trail for Trump is indicating that he believes that under harris the US will devolve into a “Mad Max” type of a scenario. Many think this is hyperbolic talk, but then consider the realities.

- Democrats/leftists have been very open about the application of violence if their power in DC is lost
- 12 million + illegals, many are single, military aged men, that could be expected to support the leftists.
- An economy that can have what few supports kicked out and cause a crash
- A US military that has been corrupted with the cancers of DEI, CRT and other woke agendas
- Total lack of a current president with the mental faculties to handle a crisis, but likely to start one.

I’ve noted over the past year especially the nasty level of these different crises. Democrats see the application of violence as a range, which can be dialed up or down. In reality, at this stage for democrats to initiate violence will not cause the right to cower, but be like the opening of pandora’s box - you won’t be able to get it under their control and it can explode in their faces.

Mad Max - I pray not, but it is not outside the realm of the possible under today’s conditions and has been seen in other regions of the world. Such a tearing apart of the nation is exactly what the globalists desire, taking a free nation out of dominance and allowing them to take over with little resistance from the US.


Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics –

Doctors in Canada and Great Britain are warning the public about new “replicon” self-amplifying Covid mRNA “vaccines” which have been dubbed the “third atomic bomb” by renowned experts in Japan.
They are warning that the “self-replicating RNA vaccines” will “trigger a worldwide disaster.”

The new “vaccines” have just been unleashed on the Japanese public after recently being approved by the nation’s regulators, despite having no safety or efficiency data.

The injections have been dubbed “replicon” vaccines because they are able to replicate inside the human body to produce more mRNA over time. However, evidence of harm caused by the mRNA vaccines continues to emerge.

https://slaynews.com/news/doctors-issue-red-alert-new-replicon-covid-vaccines/

OBSERVATION - More mRNA dealings and officials are collaborating with the companies to keep citizens in the dark.


POLITICAL FRONT –
Merchan sentencing of trump - Nov 25th

**** Remember, most polls are designed to shape opinion, not reflect it. ****

****Notably, Democrats historically have an edge in support in national polls due to the large strangleholds on registered voters in the largest blue states of California and New York that do not impact the Electoral College but can skew the popular vote and a national poll.****

***

Concerns being raised already in Georgia that Dominion voting machines are switching trump votes to harris.


North/South Korea –

A video posted on social media is claiming to show North Korean soldiers training in Russia and has been geolocated to the garrison of the 127th Motor Rifle Division in Sergeevka roughly 130km north of Vladivostok.

Recent threats and posturing by Kim against the south and the US continue to register a just that, posturing. Growing evidence that he is in the process of sending a significant amount of its strategic level SOF units to Russia suggests that his capabilities to launch an attack on the South are degraded and unlikely to occur.


Russia -

NUCLEAR THREATS –

Putin labeled Zelensky’s statement about the possibility of Ukraine creating nuclear weapons as another provocation, asserting that Russia will not allow this under any circumstances. He warned that any steps taken by Ukraine towards developing nuclear weapons will face an appropriate response, state agency RIA reports.


Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 40-60s with scattered showers in the forecast.

RUMINT –
RUMINT. A new Russian offensive could occur next week, says Petro Andriushchenko, advisor to the mayor of Mariupol. Preparations are underway at Russian military camps near Mariupol and Berdyansk. “They’re in an active preparation phase, gathering forces for an offensive that could start as early as next week.”

NOTE - I’m placing this here to keep alert to any other reports. This claim on its face seems very much ‘out there’. The OSINT and other analysts I follow do not see this on their radars, because Russia has committed so much resources and reserves to Kursk and the Donbas front that unless Ukraine has drawn down its defenses in this sector to dangerously low levels, Russia just can’t mount the force projection for a major offensive. See more under “Outlook”

24 HOUR ROUND UP –

Ukrainian air defense shot down 4 of 6 Kh-59/69 missiles and 42 of about 98 Shahed-type strike drones overnight. Tracking of 46 more drones were lost, more updates to follow

Reported Russian losses continue to be 30+% higher than from earlier this summer, reflecting the increased push by Russia in the Donbas region.

Ukraine Kursk Offensive-

No reported changes in territory held

Pokrovsk axis (Formerly Ocheretyne) -

Russia continues to push hard on the southern flank of their salient.

Outlook —

More and more, Russian is relying on large drone attacks as their weapon of choice for their deep battle against Ukraine. The Russian AF, with its glide bombs, continues to operate unchallenged in the east as well. In spite of this, Russia is continuing to take heavy casualties and gaining very little ground.

That said, Ukraine seems to be softening a little bit. The nearly three years worth of this stage of the war (remember, its been ‘fighting’ since 2014 and before), its resources are being depleted as well.

RUMINT of a new offensive by all views is just that - rumors. Russia may be preparing to force the fight more in this southern sector, but it just doesn’t appear that they have the resources for anything more significant. Massing a force large enough takes time and can be observed. The only case I can see is that they are hoping for another Kharkiv push to gather more terrain from an unexpected direction. We’ll see next week if this rumor pans out.


ISRAEL –

Key overnight developments -

- UNRWA has put a black mourning band on their logo.

- Israel requests second THAAD battery

——— GENERAL ——————————-

Israel has requested that the US send a second THAAD battery to protect the country in case of an Iranian reaction to the expected Israeli attack, according to Israel’s Channel 12

The US Army only has 7 THAAD batteries. 1 permanently in Guam & 1 in South Korea. Likely at least 1 will be down for maintenance at any given time, so that just leaves 3 left (possibly 2 as I think one might already be deployed in EUCOM).

Reports of a drone attack targeting the Israeli PM Netanyahu’s residence in Caesarea. No reports of casualties and it seems he and his wife were not there.

——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————-

Reports that there are increasing surrenders/white flags in N Gaza areas.

Hamas has been utilizing hospitals as operational centers again, with Israel pressing attacks against three of them, prompting some international calls to stop.

——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-

IAF’s targeting has focused more on combat support in S Lebanon with still some more limited strikes in the Bekaa and Beirut areas.

Hezbollah has threatened a new level of fighting, but IDF continues to press northward in a methodological manner, forcing Hezbollah to continue to retreat.

Hezbollah is managing to get several hundred rockets fired into Israel every day. However, the barrages are largely ineffective nor coordinated.

——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-

The Syrian army has reportedly confiscated two Hezbollah ammunition depots in the Damascus countryside. The authorities began restricting the movement of Hezbollah members, pro-Iranian groups and those close to them in the city of Homs and its surroundings for fear of Israeli raids. Unclear if Hezbollah has lost total access to the ammunition now being placed in Syrian army depots.

Israeli raid on illegal crossings in the border town of Al-Mashrafeh in the northern Bekaa

———WEST BANK——————————-

Clashes increased overnight between palestinians and Israeli security forces.

———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————

Israel continues to encounter drones entering from the Galilee region from Syria, originating from eastern portions of the country controlled by Iranian backed militias.

——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-

Aftershocks from Sinwar’s death continue to reverberate across the region. May be one of the main drivers of the growing mass surrenders in N Gaza. The lack of a successor being designated will hinder Hamas who will be forced to operate lacking a higher level of command. Hamas and affiliated other terror groups are managing to fight on a small scale level, but without support and coordination with higher level elements are doomed to be taken out by IDF.

Hezbollah on a tactical level is losing its forward defensive positions. Evidence of military stockpiles intended for months of fighting now belonging to Israel in numbers that have prompted Israel to incorporate them into their own stockpiles and establish special units to use them in the future. Replacement of these stockpiles from ammo dumps further north are questionable as Israel has hit so many of them.

Leadership of Hezbollah appears to now be under an IRGC commander - directly linking Iran to the organization. But then we pretty well already knew that.

Clock is ticking on the Israeli strike on Iran. Questions flying regarding the request for a second THAAD battery evidence that the planned attack will cross Iranian red lines and trigger a big response? Perhaps. It is also possible that Israel is striking while the iron is hot using what ever the justification for the first battery to apply to a second. No word of approval yet.

A second item continues to be the use of B2s in Yemen against Houthi targets and their use as a warning to Iran. Again, has Israel released enough information on their strike plans to have the B2s dusted off and ready to strike in support of Israel?

In any case, there region stands at the precipice of something even more serious.

Now you may also be hearing of the potential of an Iranian spoiling attack. Not out of the range of possibility, but definitely not the smartest thing to do after all of Irans bleats about not wanting to escalate matters.

In short,
- Hamas is continuing to collapse in Gaza
- Hezbollah is severely damaged and losing combat effectiveness
- Evidence that Israel’s impending strike is going to be a biggie and may trigger a much larger Iranian response.


Syria -

U.S. airstrikes in eastern Syria killed 35 ISIS members, including several leaders, disrupting the group’s operations


Venezuela -

Three more American citizens have been detained in Venezuela, in total 7 American citizens have been detained by maduro since the election in July.



1,038 posted on 10/19/2024 6:53:20 AM PDT by Godzilla (“When tyranny becomes law, rebellion becomes duty” - Thomas Jefferson)
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To: Godzilla
Elon Musk on the campaign trail for Trump is indicating that he believes that under harris the US will devolve into a “Mad Max” type of a scenario. Many think this is hyperbolic talk, but then consider the realities.

- Democrats/leftists have been very open about the application of violence if their power in DC is lost - 12 million + illegals, many are single, military aged men, that could be expected to support the leftists. - An economy that can have what few supports kicked out and cause a crash

- A US military that has been corrupted with the cancers of DEI, CRT and other woke agendas

- Total lack of a current president with the mental faculties to handle a crisis, but likely to start one. I’ve noted over the past year especially the nasty level of these different crises. Democrats see the application of violence as a range, which can be dialed up or down. In reality, at this stage for democrats to initiate violence will not cause the right to cower, but be like the opening of pandora’s box - you won’t be able to get it under their control and it can explode in their faces.

Mad Max - I pray not, but it is not outside the realm of the possible

It's about the money... lots of hands in the pot.

1,039 posted on 10/19/2024 9:30:58 AM PDT by GOPJ (If the government won't protect the vote, border or citizens, why have that government?-nullandvoid)
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To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..

Breaking Israel

Apparently someone in the US intel community has leaked the plans of the Israeli strike on Iran. JPost is reporting.

If legit and likely is given the regime’s hate for Netanyahu and Israel with corresponding support to Iran the damage could be significant.


1,040 posted on 10/19/2024 2:54:52 PM PDT by Godzilla (“When tyranny becomes law, rebellion becomes duty” - Thomas Jefferson)
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To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..


CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate THREAT - up dated Oct 20, 2024

Maintaining MODERATE threat as there are currently no significant indicators of impending violence. This may well change after the elections, so enjoy the next few weeks.


Terrorism - HIGH THREAT as of Oct 20, 2024

Threat status up dated as the nation approaches election day. Maintaining HIGH conditions.


Economy- HIGH Threat - as of AUG 5, 2024

The Biden administration rang up a budget deficit topping $1.8 trillion in fiscal 2024, up more than 8% from the previous year and the third highest on record, the Treasury Department said Friday.

Even with a modest surplus in September, the shortfall totaled $1.833 trillion, $138 billion higher than a year ago. The only years the U.S. has seen a great deficit were 2020 and 2021 when the government poured trillions into spending associated with the Covid-19 pandemic.

The deficit came despite record receipts of $4.9 trillion, which fell well short of outlays of $6.75 trillion.

Government debt has swelled to $35.7 trillion, an increase of $2.3 trillion from the end of fiscal 2023.

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/18/us-deficit-tops-1point8-trillion-in-2024-as-interest-on-debt-surpasses-trillion-dollar-mark.html

OBSERVATION - This boat anchor is going to finally come due - likely when the “Great Reset” hits and the American people will be able to do nothing about it. All deliberate by the deep state assets of the WEF/Globalists.


POLITICAL FRONT –
Merchan sentencing of trump - Nov 25th

**** Remember, most polls are designed to shape opinion, not reflect it. ****

**** Notably, Democrats historically have an edge in support in national polls due to the large strangleholds on registered voters in the largest blue states of California and New York that do not impact the Electoral College but can skew the popular vote and a national poll.****

***
At a rally for Kamala Harris, recording artist Lizzo said something that was supposed to help her chosen candidate.

“When harris wins she’ll turn the US into Detroit. “

Epic Facepalm


Biden / Harris Watch –

Harris trying to portray Trump as physically and mentally incapable of office due to their view of ‘exhaustion’ on the campaign trail However, harris was only able to remain on the stage at a rally yesterday for a little under 7 minutes. Trump OTOH put in 17 hour days actively campaigning.

Also, observers are noting harris’ behavior at rallies, suggesting that she may well be at least ‘buzzed’ if not actually drunk


Cyber attacks/warfare – Moderate ALERT as of Oct 20, 2024

RUMINT - 3 national security “sources” have reportedly confirmed that a nationwide 9/11 style cyberattack against America is widely expected by the intelligence agencies on (or near) Election Day.

OBSERVATION - A cyber attack of this nature has been warned about for many months now. I’ve not seen any further confirmation of this warning on any of my other feelers but given the current state of the politics and the global turmoil with several nations with cyber assault capable elements (Iran, China, Russia) such an attack could throw the processing of the election results into turmoil.


Illegal Immigration –

Panama’s Ministry of Public Security has revealed that the number of Venezuelan migrants crossing the Darien Gap surged by 80 percent in September following the post-election crackdown in Venezuela and the suspension of humanitarian group Doctors Without Borders (MSF).

https://americafirstreport.com/number-of-venezuelan-invaders-crossing-the-darien-gap-surged-by-80-in-september/

OBSERVATION - Signs of another surge trying to form, not only from Venezuelans but others as well.


China –

China involved in brokering an palestinian agreement on ruling Gaza post war - See Israel below


Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 40-60s with scattered showers in the forecast.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –

Ukrainian air defense shot down 31 of 49 Shahed-type strike drones overnight, tracking of 13 lost, 2 drones left for Belarus. Also Russian army launched 2 Iskander-M missiles. Targeted region appears to be western Ukraine.

According to the Russian Defense Ministry, air defense destroyed 110 drones overnight. 43 over the Kursk region, 27 over Lipetsk, 18 over Oryol, 8 over Nizhny Novgorod, 7 over Belgorod, 6 over Bryansk, and one over the Moscow region (Ramenskoye). It appears there was at least one successful strike as smoke was observed rising after explosions in Dzerzhinsk of Nizhniy Novgorod region

Russia continues to press ground attacks in Kursk and the Donbas fronts, with high casualties and minimal if any advances.

Outlook —

The fight in eastern Ukraine continues as it has been. Russia eking out small gains at high personnel and equipment losses. The growing evidence of N Korean forces training for incorporation into Russian military formations now suggests NK is trying to form up several brigade sized elements in Russia.


Moldova/Transnistria -

Russia pouring a lot of money into the Moldovan elections in an effort to prevent the nation from moving more towards the EU and away from Russia.


ISRAEL –

Key overnight developments -

- Highly classified documents produced by US intelligence leaked to an Iranian Telegraph channel.

——— GENERAL ——————————-

CNN report: An investigation has been opened in the US following the leak of classified intelligence documents from the Pentagon regarding Israel’s preparations for a response in Iran. The leak occurred on Friday when the Middle East Spectator Telegram channel claimed it had received documents about Israel’s strike preparations from a source within the US intelligence community. This Telegram channel is known for publishing pro-Iranian propaganda, and its associated Twitter account states that its operators are based in Iran.

“Middle East Spectator” claims: We are open source news archives. We thought the documents were running on Telegram. We do not know the identity of the leaker and reject attempts by the American and Israeli media to intimidate our reporters”

The two documents released were prepared in recent days by the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency, which is responsible for analyzing images and information collected by American spy satellites. The documents, which offer interpretations of satellite imagery, provide insight into a potential strike by Israel on Iran in the coming days. US officials have implied that the documents are authentic

IT SHOULD BE NOTED - that these documents are not Israeli plans for the attack, but US intel collected against Israel surveilling its preparations for the attack and the analysis of that intel.

U.S. Department of Defense and FBI is reportedly investigating to determine the source of the leaked. Unconfirmed reports suggest that it is believed the documents were likely to have been leaked by a member of the U.S. Military; similar to the leak of several documents on the war in Ukraine which occurred in April of 2023, which was linked to a Airman in the Massachusetts Air National Guard.

OBSERVATION - The leak is bad enough, but to be spying that intently on Israel is a whole other level.

***
Hamas has declared that Israeli hostages will not be released until Israel halts its military operations in Gaza and withdraws its forces from the besieged territory. Khalil Al-Hayya, deputy chief of Hamas in Gaza and the group’s chief negotiator, made the statement on Friday, as the conflict between Hamas and Israel continues to escalate.

***
More than a dozen Palestinian factions—including bitter rivals Fatah and Hamas—recently signed a national unity deal aimed at maintaining Palestinian control over the Gaza Strip after the war with Israel ends. Known as the Beijing Declaration, the deal, negotiated by China, lays the groundwork for an interim national reconciliation government to rule post-war Gaza.

The Beijing Declaration has several major objectives: (1) creating an interim Palestinian national unity government for Gaza and the West Bank, (2) unifying Palestinian institutions, and (3) electing a new Palestinian National Council. The agreement leaves out crucial details, including whether Hamas will recognize Israel’s right to exist.

Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi, who said the agreement was “dedicated to the great reconciliation and unity of all 14 [Palestinian] factions,” outlined a three-step plan for post-war Gaza: (1) promoting a lasting ceasefire, (2) upholding the principle of “Palestinians governing Palestine,” and (3) recognizing an independent Palestinian state. An official Chinese statement included a commitment to “the establishment of an independent Palestinian state with Jerusalem as its capital.” President Xi Jinping additionally called for an international peace conference aimed at achieving Palestine’s “full” membership in the United Nations.

Middle East expert Tahani Mustafa believes the Beijing Declaration will fail because Fatah leader Mahmoud Abbas is opposed to sharing power with Hamas. “The biggest obstacle so far has been Mahmoud Abbas and his absolute reluctance to relinquish in any way his monopoly on power. . . . It would mean Fatah losing its hegemony over the last Palestinian political institution it controls,” she said.

https://harbingersdaily.com/in-opposition-to-israel-china-seeks-to-broker-palestinian-control-over-post-war-gaza-strip/

——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————-

Hundreds of Hamas and affiliated terrorists surrendered in N Gaza after Israel gave an ultimatum to surrender or die.

——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-

The ongoing conflict between the Iranian-backed Lebanese terrorist group and Israel has exacerbated sectarian tensions within Lebanon. This escalation has led to significant internal displacement, further straining relations between Lebanon’s diverse religious communities, which include Sunni and Shia Muslims, various Christian sects and the Druze community. As the conflict intensifies, the internal divisions within Lebanon’s fragile societal mosaic become more pronounced, creating further instability in the country.

https://allisrael.com/hezbollah-s-conflict-with-israel-fuels-rising-sectarian-tensions-in-lebanon

***
Arab sources are announcing tonight that a recent air strike IDF has killed in southern Lebanon a senior commander of the Radwan force named Bassel Mustafa Shukr. According to the publications, Bassel was one of the commanders of Hezbollah’s elite unit

——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-

Israeli raid targets Al-Mushrifah on the Lebanese-Syrian border

———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-

Al Qaeda calls on Hamas to release the Israeli hostages.
The announcement was made yesterday by Abu Walid al-Masri, a senior advisor and father-in-law of Saif al-Adel, the leader of Al-Qaeda.

——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-

The classified document leak is going to tank any remaining Israeli trust in the US govt. The leaked documents primarily focus on the Israeli preparations and exercised in preparation for the attack and are NOT documents provided by Israel to the US. They do not divulge targets or timing.

What is damaging is the identification of the attack method Israel appears to be planning to use - air launched ballistic missiles for starters. These are similar in concept to the Russian Х-47 Kinzhal hypersonic air-launched ballistic missile being used in the Ukraine. The Israeli versions of these missiles are reportedly more powerful and significantly more accurate.

Second key leakage was reporting of air refueling training to get the airframes to launch positions. These are potential warning indicators for Iran to be alerted to the start of the attack.

Some are trying to down play the leak on some low level operator in the agency, possibly military. Lets not forget that 0bama and biden have allowed Iranian sympathetic employees into the intel community, so the leaker may only be a patsy for someone higher up.

The leak gives Israel even more right to keep DC in the dark. Additionally, the dedication of US intel resources to so closely observer Israeli planning and operations doesn’t foster trust either.

IMHO, the whole affair as it is currently panning out indicates the US is not for Israel and the timing of the leak shows support towards Iran and the islamic terrorists in the region.

Big question now is what affect is this leak going to have on Israel’s target set and timing? It may now delay action against Iran until after the US elections. Some political pundits go as far as the leak was designed to delay the attack so as not to mess around with the Democrats Muslim vote in Michigan and elsewhere.

One other new factor that has popped up that will literally blow up in Iran’s face. Iran attempted to assassinate Israel Prime Minister Netanyahu by directing targeting his private residence with a drone. This attack provides Israel with all the legitimacy to target the residence of the Islamic Republic Supreme Leader’s residence or hidey hole.

N Gaza operations are accelerating the take down of Hamas et al. Hundreds of terrorists raised the white flag and surrendered yesterday after the surrender or die ultimatum. The loss os Sinwar and continued pounding by IDF forces have demoralize the terrorists.

Now big money is being offered to gazans for the release of live hostages. This may result in the freeing of many of the dozens still believed to be in captivity.

Hezbollah continues to be hammered in the south while IAF airstrikes have been reduced in the north. Beirut is still getting hammered almost daily, but not with the same intensity of a couple weeks ago when Nazarallah was taken out. I noted that the reduction in air strikes may well be associated with preparations for the assault on Iran.

Israel’s ground process appears to be very slow, but that is largely due to Israel ensuring that any Hezbollah bunker/tunnels etc are destroyed and captured military materials removed. Hezbollah is still avoiding decisive engagements, breaking contact where possible


Iran –

Iranian Foreign Minister says we have identified the targets that we will bomb in Israel if we are attacked. Israel will receive appropriate response to any attack on Iran


Misc of Note –

Gold and Silver prices skyrocketed to new highs Friday. Gold now within striking distance of $2800/oz and silver gaining over 10% ($4+ per oz) Commonly, prices increase when the dollar is weak or there are concerns over international stability. The latter is the only comment I’ve seen regarding this spike. This may be a growing concern over the pending Israeli strike on Iran combined with uncertainties in the political realm. The size of the increase was impressive.

IDK if the timing is associated with the leakage of the classified documents on Israel’s preparations to attack Iran or not. Timelines are fairly parallel.

Those in the metals markets are looking at something serious happening. We will see next week if profit taking kicks in and takes the edge off the gains, or if they will continue up.


1,048 posted on 10/20/2024 6:07:12 AM PDT by Godzilla (“When tyranny becomes law, rebellion becomes duty” - Thomas Jefferson)
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