Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Threat Matrix 2024
Jan 1, 2024 | Self

Posted on 01/01/2024 5:05:22 AM PST by Godzilla

click here to read article


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 881-900901-920921-940 ... 1,021-1,031 next last
To: Godzilla

“OBSERVATION - Integration of women into the combat arms realms traditionally held by men has been fraught with destructive wokeness and feminist dogma. Now, close quarters inside a sub for long periods is a recipe for trouble.”

In 1979 I was trained in the very first male/female integrated Army Basic Training Platoon, Fort Jackson, SC. I escaped unscathed. ;)

It was also VERY tiring hauling those boys along with us gals every day! Leave No Man Behind! ;)


901 posted on 09/16/2024 6:25:39 AM PDT by Diana in Wisconsin (I don't have, 'Hobbies.' I'm developing a robust Post-Apocalyptic skill set.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 900 | View Replies]

To: Godzilla
NEW YORK TIMES: “It is becoming increasingly likely that there will be no clear and immediate winner on election night and that early returns could give a false impression of who will ultimately prevail.”

Republicans in swing states need to hold back their precinct ballot boxes until almost all democrat ballot boxes are in. It's a big way to stop the dem voter fraud system known as 'voting the people who don't show up to vote'...

902 posted on 09/16/2024 9:26:55 AM PDT by GOPJ (Corrupt ABC referees/mods trying to throw the game to Kamala made Kamala look worse.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 900 | View Replies]

To: Diana in Wisconsin
It was also VERY tiring hauling those boys along with us gals every day! Leave No Man Behind! ;)

LOL! too funny, Diana. But you were in a very different education era than today.
903 posted on 09/16/2024 9:56:56 PM PDT by Chani (FRiendly Drive By poster)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 901 | View Replies]

To: Godzilla
NEW YORK TIMES: “It is becoming increasingly likely that there will be no clear and immediate winner on election night and that early returns could give a false impression of who will ultimately prevail.” “If a winner is not declared on election night, it will not necessarily point to failures in the process. More likely, it will be a result of the intense security measures required for counting mail-in ballots.”

Just, damn. Is there ANY way to counter the cheat, or are we finished as a country?

904 posted on 09/17/2024 2:53:55 AM PDT by Lazamataz (If you are upset the bullet missed, contact me immediately. I'll make sure your bullet doesn't.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 900 | View Replies]

To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..


CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate THREAT - up dated Sep 12, 2024
— Downgrade due to lack of physical activity, but high due to rhetoric.

Hillary Clinton on MSNBC: suggests jailing Americans for posting “misinformation”
“There needs to be deterrence”
“The press needs to create a consistent narrative about how dangerous he is”
“He is a danger to our country & world”

OBSERVATION - Hillary is the mouthpiece for the tyrannical left in america. Take what she says seriously as a goal of the marxist left.

***

The California chapter of the Council on American-Islamic Relations (CAIR) is objecting to a proposal by the Los Angeles City Council that aims to prevent harassment at the entrances of synagogues, following a surge in antisemitic incidents tied to anti-Israel protests.
At a glance:

CAIR’s California chapter is opposing a proposal by the L.A. City Council that would create an eight-foot “bubble zone” around synagogues and religious institutions.

The proposal aims to address rising antisemitism linked to anti-Israel protests, but CAIR argues it unfairly targets pro-Palestinian activists.
The measure would make it a misdemeanor to block entrances or protest within eight feet of those entering religious institutions, healthcare facilities, and schools.

OBSERVATION - After decades of resting largely under a rock, CAIR is beginning to raise its head again in light of the pro-hamas sentiment developed over the past year. Will be interesting to see if CAIR is radical enough for this crop of anti-israel / anti-american protestors to attach themselves to.

***
Commentary by Johnathan Turley -
A poll released by the University of Chicago via the Chicago Project on Security and Threats offers a chilling account of the growing radicalism in America, particularly after the second foiled assassination attempt of former president Donald Trump, the poll found that 26 million Americans believe “the use of force” is justified to keep Trump from regaining the presidency. …

With the unrelenting claims of President Joe Biden, Vice President Kamala Harris, and others that democracy is about to die in America, some now feel a license to commit criminal acts in the name of “saving democracy.”

It is the ultimate form of self-delusion that one saves democracy by committing political violence against those with whom you disagree.”


POLITICAL FRONT –
Merchan sentencing of trump - Nov 25th
Debates ???

Vance/walz - Oct. 1

**** Remember, most polls are designed to shape opinion, not reflect it. ****

****Notably, Democrats historically have an edge in support in national polls due to the large strangleholds on registered voters in the largest blue states of California and New York that do not impact the Electoral College but can skew the popular vote and a national poll.****

***
Rouths political connections with democrats and the left are aligning, and are raising questions

1) Routh was featured in The New York Times in March 2023 for his efforts to recruit fighters for Ukraine.

2) CBS News even admits to texting frequently with him for over a year during the early stages of the war.

3) Semafor interviewed him about recruiting Afghan mercenaries for Ukraine.

4) Newsweek spoke with him in 2022 regarding his pro-Ukraine stance.

Despite being on the FBI’s radar and a multiple-time felon since at least 2019, Routh seemed to otherwise fly under law enforcement’s radar.

With time, more and more questions are coming up about Routh, his motivations and the growing suspicions that he had some kind of insider sources. The quickness that national media buried the assassination attempt is more compelling and concerning.


Illegal Immigration –

Ohio Gov. Mike DeWine reveals that the 33 bomb threats in Springfield have all been hoaxes. He says an investigation revealed that some of the threats came from overseas.

“So 33 threats, 33 hoaxes. I’ll make that very, very clear. None of these had any validity at all.”

“We have people unfortunately overseas who are taking these actions. Some of them are coming from one particular country.”

OBSERVATION - So the democrat line that is it MAGA phoning in has been hit at the waterline - FOREIGN sources are making the threats.


Russia -

Russian Personnel Issues –-

Putin continues to increase his army: in a new order he published he stated that the size of the Russian army will be 2,389,000 soldiers - of which 1.5 million are combat soldiers. The last time he increased his army, in December, he determined that the size of the army would be 2,209,130 ​​soldiers, of which 1,320,000 were fighters


Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the upper 70s to mid 80s range, fair but with scattered light rain.
NOTE - Remnants of Storm Boris will potentially impact portions of Ukraine over the next several days. Forecast is likely for the southern half of the nation to feel excessive rains.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –

Ukrainian air defense shot down 34 of 51 Shahed-type drones overnight, 12 more lost from radars(crashed), 2 returned to Russia.
NOTE - These are getting to be pretty standard numbers of shahed’s in a daily attack.

Ukraine Kursk Offensive-

The Governor of the Kursk region Alexey Smirnov, declared the mandatory evacuation of residents of the Rylsky and Khomutovsky districts.

Tactical situation on the ground continues to be relative stable.

Russian Territory –

Explosions were reported near Engels airfield in Saratov region, suspected Ukraine drone strike.

Outlook —

Russia pushing to enlarge its standing army, a big logistical and personnel goal. How that will play in Moscow is yet to be seen.

Ground war relatively static, with Russia continuing to press in Donbas while it appears that Ukraine is executing a successful war of maneuver in Kursk against counterattacking forces.


ISRAEL –

Key overnight developments -

- New war goal to return northern residents to their homes ‘safely’

- Widespread “cyber” attack causes thousands of pagers recently delivered to Hezbollah members to explode simultaneously across Lebanon.

——— GENERAL ——————————-

October 2, Rosh Hashana, the Jewish New Year,
Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.

Israeli media: Netanyahu concluded a security meeting with the head of Mossad to discuss “developments on the northern front”
After this morning’s lengthy meeting with the Director Executive of the Mossad, high ranking officials from the governmental and security echelons are holding “dramatic” situational assessment meetings, Israeli media reports

Netanyahu’s office: Israel adds new official goal to war: Returning northern residents to their areas “safely” About 60,000 people have been evacuated from northern Israel because of near-daily attacks by Iran-backed Hezbollah in neighbouring Lebanon.

NOTE - This is widely interpreted as an essential announcement that Israel is soon to launch full scale war against Hezbollah.

***
Defense Minister Yoav Gallant has been against a military campaign in southern Lebanon, and there are reports that he may soon be fired by Netanyahu…
There is currently widespread speculation in Israeli media that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will soon terminate Defense Minister Yoav Gallant, which would constitute a monumental reshuffle of his cabinet. The two have reportedly been clashing over war strategy, especially on what to do about the crisis in northern Israel, an area which has come under daily rocket and drone attack from Lebanese Hezbollah.

“The drafts of the agreement have already been drawn up … Netanyahu is preparing for Gallant’s dismissal in the near future … Gallant will be fired by Netanyahu,” Israeli news outlet Ynet reported Monday.

https://endoftheamericandream.com/middle-east-apocalypse-israel-is-preparing-for-an-all-out-confrontation-with-hezbollah-in-the-near-future/

***
NOTE - I’ve not seen much track record for this source off of “X” but much of the statements do match other actions being seen.

Israel-Hezbollah update:

1. The IDF has completed preparations for a potential war in Lebanon, including operational planning, training, and stocking up on arms, according to military journalist Ron Ben-Yishai. The IDF has also presented political leaders with various strategies for a large-scale campaign.

2. The operation is currently delayed due to objections from the U.S., with the American administration wanting to avoid a major conflict in the Middle East ahead of the November elections. U.S. officials estimate that Hezbollah would respond to any attack with heavy fire targeting central Israel.

3. The U.S. also expects Iran to intervene, which would likely force American involvement to defend Israel and resupply the IDF with weapons.

4. Israel’s leadership has agreed to the U.S. demands to postpone any military action, ensuring that full American support will be in place if the situation escalates.

5. During this delay, the IDF will continue targeting Hezbollah assets and rocket launchers, aiming to weaken their defenses ahead of any larger assault.

(Israel Radar on X)

——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-

Continued search and destroy operations. Artillery and air strikes across the whole overnight.

A commander of the Palestinian Islamic Jihad rocket unit was killed in an Israeli drone strike yesterday in the southern Gaza Strip, the Israeli army says. Ahmed Ayesh Salama al-Hashash, who commanded Islamic Jihad’s rocket array in Rafah, was killed in the strike in the Israeli-designated humanitarian zone in the Khan Younis area

——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-

BREAKING BREAKING BREAKING

Getting odd reports of pagers exploding all across Lebanon primarily those of hezbollah and Iranian

UNbelieve able reports of upwards of 1000+ injured and comms across Lebanon in disarray. Hospitals currently overwhelmed by the casualties.

WSJ: exploding pagers were from a new shipment that arrived recently, were carried by hundreds of Hezbollah members; Hezbollah official speculates malware caused the devices to overheat and explode; some members felt pagers getting hot and disposed of them

According to Israel’s Channel 12 news, the pagers are new, latest generation models, part of a recent shipment.

The Iranian ambassador to Lebanon was injured after a device he had exploded in Beirut, Iranian media is reporting.

****
IDF Seeks Buffer Zone Inside Lebanon:

Northern Command Chief Gordin has called on the Israeli government to authorize a takeover of Lebanese territory to create a buffer zone against Hezbollah.

2. Gordin noted that conditions are favorable, as Hezbollah has withdrawn many of its Radwan forces from the border area, allowing for a swift operation.

3. With only 20% of local residents remaining in southern Lebanese villages due to the ongoing conflict, the IDF would face less resistance in conducting military maneuvers.

4. This move is seen as the potential start of a larger conflict, with the buffer zone possibly pushing Hezbollah toward a ceasefire deal that would enhance the security of northern Israel.

———WEST BANK——————————-

Aggressive Israeli security forces operations continue.

———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-

Jordanian King and Egyptian President: We stress the necessity of establishing an independent Palestinian state on the lines of June 4, 1967, with East Jerusalem as its capital

——— FORECAST ————————-

Pagers blowing up all across Lebanon!!! Who had that on their bingo card for September.
NOTE - Hezbollah comms are currently in complete disarray - this would be the opportune time for Israel to launch its attack! Monitoring!

Israel is pushing strongly towards moving into Lebanon. The signs are pointing to things starting soon. Best I can offer. The current pager attack may be the opening event.
Monitoring


Iran –

Iranian President: Israel sought to drag us into a regional war by assassinating Haniyeh, but we exercised self-restraint


Syria -

New attack reportedly carried out by a group affiliated with the Ukrainian Intelligence (GUR) in Aleppo, Syria. Target is described as a base used by Russians for UAVs. It was hit by an IED. Attack happened this morning



905 posted on 09/17/2024 7:51:26 AM PDT by Godzilla (“When tyranny becomes law, rebellion becomes duty” - Thomas Jefferson)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 900 | View Replies]

To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..

ISRAEL FOLLOWUP

I am assuming that these pagers went to key personnel in the Hezbollah hierarchy first, that most of the rank and file hasn’t received these ‘new’ ones. This would in one fell swoop, injure these key personnel and throw any means of quick notification out the door.

Unbelievable work by Mossad to infiltrate this company and sabotage pagers of all things.


906 posted on 09/17/2024 7:56:52 AM PDT by Godzilla (“When tyranny becomes law, rebellion becomes duty” - Thomas Jefferson)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 905 | View Replies]

To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..

ISRAEL UPDATE.

This has just started showing up on my radar pending further confirmation. Hold at arms length.

Unconfirmed reports Israel has called up the reserves. Things getting hot quickly.

The pager attack my have been used to poke the bear so Hezbollah would strike out wildly, giving Israel justification for an offensive into Lebanon


907 posted on 09/17/2024 10:46:54 AM PDT by Godzilla (“When tyranny becomes law, rebellion becomes duty” - Thomas Jefferson)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 906 | View Replies]

To: All

Call up of Israeli reserves is confirmed


908 posted on 09/17/2024 10:55:42 AM PDT by Godzilla (“When tyranny becomes law, rebellion becomes duty” - Thomas Jefferson)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 907 | View Replies]

To: Godzilla
Unconfirmed reports Israel has called up the reserves. Things getting hot quickly.

Prayers for Israel...

909 posted on 09/17/2024 1:04:54 PM PDT by GOPJ (Corrupt ABC referees/mods trying to throw the game to Kamala made Kamala look worse.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 907 | View Replies]

To: Godzilla

“The Iranian ambassador to Lebanon was injured after a device he had exploded in Beirut, Iranian media is reporting.”

His pager exploded eh? Brilliant espionage by Mossad.

I hope that the majority of these jihadis lost their nuts.

Allahwahoo Pagebar!


910 posted on 09/18/2024 2:48:08 AM PDT by Candor7 (Ask not for whom the Trump Trolls,He trolls for thee!),<img src="" width=500</img><a href="">tag</a>)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 905 | View Replies]

To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..

Yesterday’s pager offensive by Israel is still reverberating around the world. With the morning light, things have clarified and I hopefully can put the pieces together in a way that makes sense - See Israel below.


Globalism / Great Reset –
Sept 22- 23: UN Summit of the Future

The Biden-Harris administration says that its stringent power plant rules won’t harm long-term power reliability, but four grid operators stated the exact opposite in a legal brief filed Friday.

The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) finalized its aggressive emissions rules for America’s power plants in April, saying at the time that the regulations would “improve public health without disrupting the delivery of reliable electricity.” However, four major regional grid operators argued the exact opposite in an amicus brief filed in support of red states’ legal challenge against the rule, stating explicitly that the rules will jeopardize Americans’ ability to reliably secure sufficient amounts of power if they are enforced as is.
“Their proffered brief outlines in detail that without additional modification, the compliance timelines and related provisions of the Rule are not workable and are destined to trigger an acceleration in the pace of premature retirements of electric generation units that possess critical reliability attributes at the very time when such generation is needed to support ever-increasing electricity demand because of the growth of the digital economy and the need to ensure adequate back-up generation to support an increasing amount of intermittent renewable generation,” the grid operators wrote in their amicus brief. “Such inevitable and foreseeable premature retirement decisions resulting from the Rule’s timelines will substantially strain each of the Joint [independent system operators’] / [regional transmission organizations’] ability to maintain the reliability of the electric power grid to meet the needs of the citizenry and the country’s economy.”

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2024/09/18/inevitable-and-foreseeable-grid-operators-beg-court-to-nix-epa-rules-to-save-electricity-system-from-collapse/

OBSERVATION - I’ve noted a lot in this category the efforts at various levels to implement the globalist agenda to deprive the world of clean, dependable energy. This is not the first time the EPA has overstepped its regulatory bounds to inflict damage to the fossil fuel industry. Clearly the goal is to force shutdown of these plants and prevent the construction of any new ones. That will cause our economy to implode and massive impacts to the citizenry.


CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate THREAT - up dated Sep 12, 2024
— Downgrade due to lack of physical activity, but high due to rhetoric.

Censorship raises it ugly head again - Gavin Newsom has banned political ’memes’ in California.


Economy- HIGH Threat - as of AUG 5, 2024

(FO) Blackrock, the country’s largest asset manager with $10 trillion in assets under management, believes “recession fears are overdone.”
In their latest commentary, Blackrock analysts also write, “Cooling inflation is likely temporary” and that the Federal Reserve will not make rate cuts as deeply as most investors are expecting. “Risk sentiment may sour once it’s clear the Fed won’t cut rates as low as markets expect,” they add.


POLITICAL FRONT –
Merchan sentencing of trump - Nov 25th
Debates ???

Vance/walz - Oct. 1

**** Remember, most polls are designed to shape opinion, not reflect it. ****

****Notably, Democrats historically have an edge in support in national polls due to the large strangleholds on registered voters in the largest blue states of California and New York that do not impact the Electoral College but can skew the popular vote and a national poll.****

***
David Muir claimed to have spoken to the Springfield City Manager during the debate. Fact is he lied again. ABC News falsely claimed the Springfield City Manager refuted Trump’s debate statement. The manager admits that there were complaints in March of Haitians eating pets. There are call reports that corroborates the complaints.

RELATED - The Aug. 26 phone call to the Springfield police related to Haitian goose hunting at a local park was one of two incidents recorded by Ohio authorities, according to the state Department of Natural Resources (ODNR).

On Friday, the state agency released a statement to local media that another caller reported a group of Haitians grabbing wildlife from a Clark County park and stuffing the animals in a trash bag.

“The Ohio Department of Natural Resources (ODNR) Division of Wildlife has a dedicated wildlife officer assigned to Clark County who routinely monitors Snyder Park in Springfield because it is a popular fishing area,” the statement read. “That Wildlife Officer received calls on two separate occasions from people who reported witnessing individuals of Haitian descent taking waterfowl out of Snyder Park.”

https://thefederalist.com/2024/09/16/ohio-department-of-natural-resources-confirms-second-springfield-phone-call-related-to-haitian-goose-hunting/

***
AG Merrick Garland assigned Markenzy Lapointe, a Haitian Immigrant (and Mar-a-Lago prosecutor) to prosecute the would-be Trump assassin.

Garland said Tuesday that the Department of Justice will “spare no resource” in its investigation into the second assassination attempt on Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump.

RELATED - “There will be accountability in Florida,” Republican Florida Governor Ron DeSantis promised Tuesday, announcing that his state is conducting its own investigation into Sunday’s failed attempt to assassinate former president and Republican Candidate Donald Trump.

“It is not in the best interests of our state and nation to have the same federal agencies seeking to prosecute Trump leading this investigation,” DeSantis says in a social media post explaining his decision to launch an independent investigation of the assassination attempt that took place in his state.

“I don’t think anyone can honestly claim that the federal government has been forthright and transparent about its past investigations,” Gov. DeSantis said Tuesday, discussing Florida’s investigation:

“That’s just the reality. That’s just how these guys operate. Apart from any type of political bias, that’s how it’s been, really for many, many years. That’s not how it’s going to be here.

“And, so, we’ll cooperate will all agencies, or all levels of government, because I think that some of those gun charges may be appropriate to bring – but, not to the exclusion of bringing a charge for something like attempted murder.”

https://mrctv.org/blog/craig-bannister/desantis-trump-assassination-attempt-there-will-be-accountability-florida

OBSERVATION - Boom. DeSantis makes a clear and critical point. Assigning a prosecutor involved in a case against Trump to ‘investigate’ the assassination attempt is cold blooded foolishness. Puts additional heat back onto the DoJ as DeSantis has been pretty firm against the DoJ on numerous other issues.


Biden / Harris Watch –

In a Q and A before a black press group, observers suggested that harris was drunk or otherwise under the influence. Judging from one of her answers, this may not be far off

Her answer on lowering grocery store prices -
“I offer a new generation of leadership for our country that is particularly about turning the page on an era that that sadly has shown us attempts by some to insight fear..”


Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the upper 70s to mid 80s range, fair but with scattered light rain.
NOTE - Remnants of Storm Boris will potentially impact portions of Ukraine over the next several days. Forecast is likely for the southern half of the nation to feel excessive rains.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –

Ukrainian air defense shot down 46 of 52 Shahed-type drones overnight.

In exchange, Russian Ministry of Defense claims shooting down 54 drones overnight.

Russia was unsuccessful in stopping Ukraine drones from hitting the Toropets arsenal. The large Russsian missile and ammunition storage facility suffered multiple, massive secondary explosions. The site contained “Iskander” and “Tochka-U” missiles, KABs, and artillery munitions according to Ukrainian sources.
Toropets arsenal is fully on fire according to NASA FIRMS data

Russian Territory –

Russian EMERCOM sending residents of Tver region messages asking not to publish media of explosions and drones

Outlook —

Overwhelmed by the Israeli pager attack is the massive successful hit on the Toropets ammo dump. By the reported size of secondary explosions, Russian missiles and related must have been directly hit and those secondaries hit other bunkers, setting them off as well. OSINT photos in the next few days will reveal the extent of damage.

Action on the ground is relatively static. Russia continues to claw out gains in the Donbas region while Ukraine continues to thwart Russian counteroffensive in Kursk.

Expect no significant ground action, but continued likely missile / drone activity by both sides.


ISRAEL –

Key overnight developments -

- Indicators of impending ground action in S Lebanon have accelerated

- Global shock at the audacity and effectiveness of the pager attack.

——— GENERAL ——————————-

October 2, Rosh Hashana, the Jewish New Year,
Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.

Israeli Army Radio: The 98th Division was planned to remain in Gaza, but in recent days it was decided to move it to the north.

——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-

Continued search and destroy operations. Artillery and air strikes across the whole overnight.

——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-

Hezbollah Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah to deliver speech tomorrow, Thursday, after pager explosions in Lebanon.

The Lebanese government suspends studies in schools, institutes and universities today, Wednesday

PAGER ATTACK BREAKDOWN

3:30 pm local, over 4000 pagers detonated all across Lebanon and even Syria. The explosions resulted death of 12 and the wounding of around 4000, including 400 in critical condition. Up to 500 Hezbollah security personnel lost one or both of their eyes according to reports from AlHadath. This last figure includes the Iranian ambassador to Lebanon who reportedly lost one eye and had his other eye severely damaged.
According to a Saudi report, 19 members of the Revolutionary Guards were killed and 150 wounded in yesterday’s pagers attack in Syria, yesterday.

Hospitals throughout Lebanon were overwhelmed by wounded.

The Kuwaiti newspaper Al-Jarida reported that three of Nasrallah’s bodyguards were mortally wounded in yesterday’s beeper blasts. According to the newspaper, Nasrallah himself was not injured. Unconfirmed reports that Naim Qassem, Hezbollah’s #2, was injured in this operation.

Many wounds resulted from the pagers being carried in the front pockets - emasculating many. Photos of the some of the wounded showed gaping wounds the size of one’s fist in waist/abdomen areas.

The pagers were bought by Hezbollah and distributed to members and other designated, affiliated personnel.

The pagers that exploded in Lebanon and Syria were made by Budapest-based BAC Consulting KFT, according to a statement released by Taiwanese company Gold Apollo, whose branding appeared on the devices (AP924 Model Pager). According to Sky News Arabia; Mossad was able to inject between 20-40 grams of Pentaerythritol Tetranitrate (PETN) into the lithium batteries. Additionally, software/firmware was altered to allow them to be remotely detonated when a specific signal was received that caused the lithium battery to overheat and detonate the PETN. The batch was reportedly imported about 5 months ago.

Reports are coming out that the plan was to have the devices explode concurrently with Israeli action to enter southern Lebanon. However, several Hezbollah members - apparently affiliated with the pager program - became suspicious of the devices and threatened the plan, so it was executed prematurely.

Hezbollah recently began to emphasize use of pagers as well as couriers and hardwired landlines for security reasons. In July, Israel took out one of the main leaders of Hezbollah in Beirut by tracking his cellphone. The result was the banning of cellphone use by Hezbollah. These Gold Apollo units reportedly had untraceable systems and were encrypted in that text messages received were scrambled.

Immediate impact on Hezbollah was and continues to be one of shock and bewilderment. The scale of this counter terror operation is simply mind boggling. Hezbollah is scrambling to establish who has been wounded/killed and reestablishing some form of secure communications.

SURGE IN PRE ATTACK INDICATORS

A number of indicators have flashed red, including this attack.

- The attack itself
- Some confirmed reports that Israeli reserves were called up.
- 98th Division being relocated north out of Gaza earlier than planned.
- Netanyahu canceled his trip to the UN General Assembly in New York on September 27 (Sky News)
- Subjective reports of increased IAF strikes across S Lebanon.
- Bomb shelters in central Israel being opened up and prepared.
- President Herzog and Prime Minister Netanyahu held a security update meeting this morning. Some see this meeting and timing as unusual.

Secondly indictors
- Airlines canceling flights to Lebanon and israel.
- Closure of schools in Lebanon

Of course, Hezbollah is threatening a retaliatory attack, which Israel could use to justify kicking off the ground war into Lebanon.

———WEST BANK——————————-

Aggressive Israeli security forces operations continue.

———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-

Jordanian Foreign Minister: We discussed with the Arab Ministerial Committee the political and legal options available against Israel’s violations. Israel is pushing the entire region to the brink of regional war

EU foreign policy chief condemns bombing of pagers in Lebanon

Russia considers detonation of pagers in Lebanon a “monstrous act of terrorism” — Russian Foreign Ministry

——— FORECAST ————————-

Israel yesterday spoke in the language the Arabs understand - force and strength.

Reportedly, behind the scenes many big Arab countries are extremely impressed with Israel.

Beeper attack not only neutralized thousands of terrorists, it also imposed huge financial costs on Hezbollah. It now has to compensate & rehabilitate them for long years to come. Failing to do so would stir mass resentment among thousands of families who are already upset.

The scope of this action will definitely force Hezbollah into a large response - however, with their communications plan hammered and many other leaders seriously wounded any retaliatory attack would likely be very disjointed. Israel OTOH may take this as the excuse to launch into S Lebanon. As noted, the pager attack was originally timed to coincide with the kickoff of ground operations. Now the IDF is behind the power curve and has only days to exploit the current situation. Hence the acceleration of war indicators noted above.

My best guesstimate is that Israel will kick things off by this weekend. Israel has enough active duty and activated reserves to initiate ground operations with the called up reserves serving as follow-on and operational reserves. They have to strike while the iron is hot - they may not have such a favorable opportunity again in the near future.


Iran –

Iran Foreign Ministry spox condemned Israel’s “terrorist act” in Lebanon, targeting Lebanese citizens by exploding pagers. He called it an example of “mass murder” which violates international law, especially international humanitarian law, and warrants iinternational criminal prosecution, trial, and punishment



911 posted on 09/18/2024 7:39:52 AM PDT by Godzilla (“When tyranny becomes law, rebellion becomes duty” - Thomas Jefferson)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 905 | View Replies]

To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..

Israel. BREAKING

Round two in Lebanon. Cell phones and hand held radios are exploding throughout Lebanon. Hundreds injured and some killed.


912 posted on 09/18/2024 7:56:24 AM PDT by Godzilla (“When tyranny becomes law, rebellion becomes duty” - Thomas Jefferson)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 911 | View Replies]

To: Godzilla

Thanks Godzilla. Round 2 of a never ending fight. More surprise attacks will be necessary. Islam is good at surprise attacks,


913 posted on 09/18/2024 8:20:00 AM PDT by PGalt (Past Peak Civilization?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 912 | View Replies]

To: Godzilla

From Amir Tsarfati’s Telegram site.....

********************************************************************

https://t.me/s/beholdisraelchannel

********************************************************************

IMPORTANT: Hezbollah themselves admitted that the pagers that exploded were owned BY HEZBOLLAH MEMBERS.

This is crucial as the narrative that their apologists are trying to push now is that they were owned by “doctors” or “workers” or whatever.

This screenshot is from their telegram channel. And here’s the translation:

“Around 3:30 pm on Tuesday 9/17 A number of message receiving devices known as ‘pagers’ that are owned by a number of employees in various Hezbollah units and institutions exploded”

*******************************************************************

Amir Tsarfati
Hundreds injured in second wave of explosions in Lebanon. This time it’s not pagers but cell phones/walkie-talkies that blew up cars and houses.
A number of senior officials were killed in the explosions.
Israeli planes in the sky of Lebanon. Lebanon is in a panic.

********************************************************************

Throughout the Sunni world there are joyous celebrations for the terrible, perhaps existential, blow that the Shiite organization has suffered. “This is the second joy in my life, after the elimination of Haniyeh,” he says. When do you go back to slaghtering Shiites? The time has come.


914 posted on 09/18/2024 8:30:29 AM PDT by metmom (He who testifies to these things says, “Surely I am coming soon.” Amen. Come, Lord Jesus”)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 912 | View Replies]

To: metmom

Live update from Amir.

Starts at the 4 minute mark. Skip to that.

https://www.youtube.com/live/gYYEFAbeFEQ


915 posted on 09/18/2024 8:32:26 AM PDT by metmom (He who testifies to these things says, “Surely I am coming soon.” Amen. Come, Lord Jesus”)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 914 | View Replies]

To: Godzilla

From Amir...

“Amir Tsarfati
The police in Long Island found a car bomb near a location of a Trump rally!!!

A third attempt to kill him was probably thwarted!”


916 posted on 09/18/2024 8:33:42 AM PDT by metmom (He who testifies to these things says, “Surely I am coming soon.” Amen. Come, Lord Jesus”)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 912 | View Replies]

To: metmom

Bomb incidents is in dispute but given recent events needs a close watch


917 posted on 09/18/2024 9:17:52 AM PDT by Godzilla (“When tyranny becomes law, rebellion becomes duty” - Thomas Jefferson)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 916 | View Replies]

To: Godzilla

Interesting.

I am suspicious about them denying it now.

Time will tell.


918 posted on 09/18/2024 10:15:00 AM PDT by metmom (He who testifies to these things says, “Surely I am coming soon.” Amen. Come, Lord Jesus”)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 917 | View Replies]

To: Godzilla

Bravo Zulu to Mossad.


919 posted on 09/18/2024 10:58:10 AM PDT by Lazamataz (If you are upset the bullet missed, contact me immediately. I'll make sure your bullet doesn't.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 912 | View Replies]

To: Godzilla

Thank you for the update!


920 posted on 09/18/2024 11:11:37 AM PDT by Silentgypsy (In my defense, I was left unsupervised.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 912 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 881-900901-920921-940 ... 1,021-1,031 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson