Yesterday’s pager offensive by Israel is still reverberating around the world. With the morning light, things have clarified and I hopefully can put the pieces together in a way that makes sense - See Israel below.
Globalism / Great Reset –
Sept 22- 23: UN Summit of the Future
The Biden-Harris administration says that its stringent power plant rules won’t harm long-term power reliability, but four grid operators stated the exact opposite in a legal brief filed Friday.
The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) finalized its aggressive emissions rules for America’s power plants in April, saying at the time that the regulations would “improve public health without disrupting the delivery of reliable electricity.” However, four major regional grid operators argued the exact opposite in an amicus brief filed in support of red states’ legal challenge against the rule, stating explicitly that the rules will jeopardize Americans’ ability to reliably secure sufficient amounts of power if they are enforced as is.
“Their proffered brief outlines in detail that without additional modification, the compliance timelines and related provisions of the Rule are not workable and are destined to trigger an acceleration in the pace of premature retirements of electric generation units that possess critical reliability attributes at the very time when such generation is needed to support ever-increasing electricity demand because of the growth of the digital economy and the need to ensure adequate back-up generation to support an increasing amount of intermittent renewable generation,” the grid operators wrote in their amicus brief. “Such inevitable and foreseeable premature retirement decisions resulting from the Rule’s timelines will substantially strain each of the Joint [independent system operators’] / [regional transmission organizations’] ability to maintain the reliability of the electric power grid to meet the needs of the citizenry and the country’s economy.”
OBSERVATION - I’ve noted a lot in this category the efforts at various levels to implement the globalist agenda to deprive the world of clean, dependable energy. This is not the first time the EPA has overstepped its regulatory bounds to inflict damage to the fossil fuel industry. Clearly the goal is to force shutdown of these plants and prevent the construction of any new ones. That will cause our economy to implode and massive impacts to the citizenry.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate THREAT - up dated Sep 12, 2024
— Downgrade due to lack of physical activity, but high due to rhetoric.
Censorship raises it ugly head again - Gavin Newsom has banned political ’memes’ in California.
Economy- HIGH Threat - as of AUG 5, 2024
(FO) Blackrock, the country’s largest asset manager with $10 trillion in assets under management, believes “recession fears are overdone.”
In their latest commentary, Blackrock analysts also write, “Cooling inflation is likely temporary” and that the Federal Reserve will not make rate cuts as deeply as most investors are expecting. “Risk sentiment may sour once it’s clear the Fed won’t cut rates as low as markets expect,” they add.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Merchan sentencing of trump - Nov 25th
Debates ???
Vance/walz - Oct. 1
**** Remember, most polls are designed to shape opinion, not reflect it. ****
****Notably, Democrats historically have an edge in support in national polls due to the large strangleholds on registered voters in the largest blue states of California and New York that do not impact the Electoral College but can skew the popular vote and a national poll.****
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David Muir claimed to have spoken to the Springfield City Manager during the debate. Fact is he lied again. ABC News falsely claimed the Springfield City Manager refuted Trump’s debate statement. The manager admits that there were complaints in March of Haitians eating pets. There are call reports that corroborates the complaints.
RELATED - The Aug. 26 phone call to the Springfield police related to Haitian goose hunting at a local park was one of two incidents recorded by Ohio authorities, according to the state Department of Natural Resources (ODNR).
On Friday, the state agency released a statement to local media that another caller reported a group of Haitians grabbing wildlife from a Clark County park and stuffing the animals in a trash bag.
“The Ohio Department of Natural Resources (ODNR) Division of Wildlife has a dedicated wildlife officer assigned to Clark County who routinely monitors Snyder Park in Springfield because it is a popular fishing area,” the statement read. “That Wildlife Officer received calls on two separate occasions from people who reported witnessing individuals of Haitian descent taking waterfowl out of Snyder Park.”
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AG Merrick Garland assigned Markenzy Lapointe, a Haitian Immigrant (and Mar-a-Lago prosecutor) to prosecute the would-be Trump assassin.
Garland said Tuesday that the Department of Justice will “spare no resource” in its investigation into the second assassination attempt on Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump.
RELATED - “There will be accountability in Florida,” Republican Florida Governor Ron DeSantis promised Tuesday, announcing that his state is conducting its own investigation into Sunday’s failed attempt to assassinate former president and Republican Candidate Donald Trump.
“It is not in the best interests of our state and nation to have the same federal agencies seeking to prosecute Trump leading this investigation,” DeSantis says in a social media post explaining his decision to launch an independent investigation of the assassination attempt that took place in his state.
“I don’t think anyone can honestly claim that the federal government has been forthright and transparent about its past investigations,” Gov. DeSantis said Tuesday, discussing Florida’s investigation:
“That’s just the reality. That’s just how these guys operate. Apart from any type of political bias, that’s how it’s been, really for many, many years. That’s not how it’s going to be here.
“And, so, we’ll cooperate will all agencies, or all levels of government, because I think that some of those gun charges may be appropriate to bring – but, not to the exclusion of bringing a charge for something like attempted murder.”
OBSERVATION - Boom. DeSantis makes a clear and critical point. Assigning a prosecutor involved in a case against Trump to ‘investigate’ the assassination attempt is cold blooded foolishness. Puts additional heat back onto the DoJ as DeSantis has been pretty firm against the DoJ on numerous other issues.
Biden / Harris Watch –
In a Q and A before a black press group, observers suggested that harris was drunk or otherwise under the influence. Judging from one of her answers, this may not be far off
Her answer on lowering grocery store prices -
“I offer a new generation of leadership for our country that is particularly about turning the page on an era that that sadly has shown us attempts by some to insight fear..”
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the upper 70s to mid 80s range, fair but with scattered light rain.
NOTE - Remnants of Storm Boris will potentially impact portions of Ukraine over the next several days. Forecast is likely for the southern half of the nation to feel excessive rains.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukrainian air defense shot down 46 of 52 Shahed-type drones overnight.
In exchange, Russian Ministry of Defense claims shooting down 54 drones overnight.
Russia was unsuccessful in stopping Ukraine drones from hitting the Toropets arsenal. The large Russsian missile and ammunition storage facility suffered multiple, massive secondary explosions. The site contained “Iskander” and “Tochka-U” missiles, KABs, and artillery munitions according to Ukrainian sources.
Toropets arsenal is fully on fire according to NASA FIRMS data
Russian Territory –
Russian EMERCOM sending residents of Tver region messages asking not to publish media of explosions and drones
Outlook —
Overwhelmed by the Israeli pager attack is the massive successful hit on the Toropets ammo dump. By the reported size of secondary explosions, Russian missiles and related must have been directly hit and those secondaries hit other bunkers, setting them off as well. OSINT photos in the next few days will reveal the extent of damage.
Action on the ground is relatively static. Russia continues to claw out gains in the Donbas region while Ukraine continues to thwart Russian counteroffensive in Kursk.
Expect no significant ground action, but continued likely missile / drone activity by both sides.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Indicators of impending ground action in S Lebanon have accelerated
- Global shock at the audacity and effectiveness of the pager attack.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
October 2, Rosh Hashana, the Jewish New Year,
Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.
Israeli Army Radio: The 98th Division was planned to remain in Gaza, but in recent days it was decided to move it to the north.
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Continued search and destroy operations. Artillery and air strikes across the whole overnight.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Hezbollah Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah to deliver speech tomorrow, Thursday, after pager explosions in Lebanon.
The Lebanese government suspends studies in schools, institutes and universities today, Wednesday
PAGER ATTACK BREAKDOWN
3:30 pm local, over 4000 pagers detonated all across Lebanon and even Syria. The explosions resulted death of 12 and the wounding of around 4000, including 400 in critical condition. Up to 500 Hezbollah security personnel lost one or both of their eyes according to reports from AlHadath. This last figure includes the Iranian ambassador to Lebanon who reportedly lost one eye and had his other eye severely damaged.
According to a Saudi report, 19 members of the Revolutionary Guards were killed and 150 wounded in yesterday’s pagers attack in Syria, yesterday.
Hospitals throughout Lebanon were overwhelmed by wounded.
The Kuwaiti newspaper Al-Jarida reported that three of Nasrallah’s bodyguards were mortally wounded in yesterday’s beeper blasts. According to the newspaper, Nasrallah himself was not injured. Unconfirmed reports that Naim Qassem, Hezbollah’s #2, was injured in this operation.
Many wounds resulted from the pagers being carried in the front pockets - emasculating many. Photos of the some of the wounded showed gaping wounds the size of one’s fist in waist/abdomen areas.
The pagers were bought by Hezbollah and distributed to members and other designated, affiliated personnel.
The pagers that exploded in Lebanon and Syria were made by Budapest-based BAC Consulting KFT, according to a statement released by Taiwanese company Gold Apollo, whose branding appeared on the devices (AP924 Model Pager). According to Sky News Arabia; Mossad was able to inject between 20-40 grams of Pentaerythritol Tetranitrate (PETN) into the lithium batteries. Additionally, software/firmware was altered to allow them to be remotely detonated when a specific signal was received that caused the lithium battery to overheat and detonate the PETN. The batch was reportedly imported about 5 months ago.
Reports are coming out that the plan was to have the devices explode concurrently with Israeli action to enter southern Lebanon. However, several Hezbollah members - apparently affiliated with the pager program - became suspicious of the devices and threatened the plan, so it was executed prematurely.
Hezbollah recently began to emphasize use of pagers as well as couriers and hardwired landlines for security reasons. In July, Israel took out one of the main leaders of Hezbollah in Beirut by tracking his cellphone. The result was the banning of cellphone use by Hezbollah. These Gold Apollo units reportedly had untraceable systems and were encrypted in that text messages received were scrambled.
Immediate impact on Hezbollah was and continues to be one of shock and bewilderment. The scale of this counter terror operation is simply mind boggling. Hezbollah is scrambling to establish who has been wounded/killed and reestablishing some form of secure communications.
SURGE IN PRE ATTACK INDICATORS
A number of indicators have flashed red, including this attack.
- The attack itself
- Some confirmed reports that Israeli reserves were called up.
- 98th Division being relocated north out of Gaza earlier than planned.
- Netanyahu canceled his trip to the UN General Assembly in New York on September 27 (Sky News)
- Subjective reports of increased IAF strikes across S Lebanon.
- Bomb shelters in central Israel being opened up and prepared.
- President Herzog and Prime Minister Netanyahu held a security update meeting this morning. Some see this meeting and timing as unusual.
Secondly indictors
- Airlines canceling flights to Lebanon and israel.
- Closure of schools in Lebanon
Of course, Hezbollah is threatening a retaliatory attack, which Israel could use to justify kicking off the ground war into Lebanon.
———WEST BANK——————————-
Aggressive Israeli security forces operations continue.
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Jordanian Foreign Minister: We discussed with the Arab Ministerial Committee the political and legal options available against Israel’s violations. Israel is pushing the entire region to the brink of regional war
EU foreign policy chief condemns bombing of pagers in Lebanon
Russia considers detonation of pagers in Lebanon a “monstrous act of terrorism” — Russian Foreign Ministry
——— FORECAST ————————-
Israel yesterday spoke in the language the Arabs understand - force and strength.
Reportedly, behind the scenes many big Arab countries are extremely impressed with Israel.
Beeper attack not only neutralized thousands of terrorists, it also imposed huge financial costs on Hezbollah. It now has to compensate & rehabilitate them for long years to come. Failing to do so would stir mass resentment among thousands of families who are already upset.
The scope of this action will definitely force Hezbollah into a large response - however, with their communications plan hammered and many other leaders seriously wounded any retaliatory attack would likely be very disjointed. Israel OTOH may take this as the excuse to launch into S Lebanon. As noted, the pager attack was originally timed to coincide with the kickoff of ground operations. Now the IDF is behind the power curve and has only days to exploit the current situation. Hence the acceleration of war indicators noted above.
My best guesstimate is that Israel will kick things off by this weekend. Israel has enough active duty and activated reserves to initiate ground operations with the called up reserves serving as follow-on and operational reserves. They have to strike while the iron is hot - they may not have such a favorable opportunity again in the near future.
Iran –
Iran Foreign Ministry spox condemned Israel’s “terrorist act” in Lebanon, targeting Lebanese citizens by exploding pagers. He called it an example of “mass murder” which violates international law, especially international humanitarian law, and warrants iinternational criminal prosecution, trial, and punishment
Israel. BREAKING
Round two in Lebanon. Cell phones and hand held radios are exploding throughout Lebanon. Hundreds injured and some killed.