Threat Matrix 2024

Established in 2001, after the 9/11 attack on America and now in its 23nd year, this thread is designed to identify threats to America, both internal and external, and evaluate the probability of those threats occurring and the extent of potential damage. Discussions may stray into ‘tinfoil’ territory, but the goal is to peel back and confirm information so we can make informed decisions and actions. Incredible as it seems, “tinfoil” conspiracy theories have fast become realities so they can no longer be ignored outright, but must be evaluated and compared to current events.

2023 has been “historic”: Continued inflation Record illegal immigration Record crime Record housing prices and Unprecedented prime lending rate increases. Push to globalize the economy, food production and energy

- 2024 is a political year with all the deep divisions and turmoils that brings. - Political assassinations - The potential for a serious and deep recession - CBDC stripping Americans of their free use of money - Race and other ethnic wars in the US as illegals mark out territory - Continued massive increase in crime - Further movement towards implementing the goals of the WEF via its “global reset” - - Continued combat in Ukraine that could spill out into other parts of Europe - Potential Chinese move on Taiwan – breaking analysis - Israel and Hezbollah/Iran finally directly going at it. - Other political turmoil growing globally over a wide range of issues. - Potential for a wide variety of Black Swan events to create even greater problems. . And this is just a short list.

It has been my pleasure to continue this thread over the past few years. This thread hopefully is continuing the goals of when it started.

For those who care, my posts reflect my scanning of the interwebs to provide me with early warning concerning factors that can endanger my life and family. Yes, I’m what many would call a “prepper”, and proudly accept that characterization.

How can something happening half way around the world affect me personally? Wuhan virus, my friend is but one recent example. I noted it in TM Dec 2019 and was prepared when chaos hit in 2020.

Other events have secondary and tertiary affects that reach us via shortages and inflation – fossil fuel prices are the most common, as well as economic impacts. I simply share news items and often my opinions that shape my actions and preparations.

My posts are broken down into specific topics and regions. I highlight and evaluative opensource reports in those areas in regard to how it will affect the US. Sometimes it feels like trying to drink from a fire hose and I don’t expect this to let up, only increase as the year progresses.

Will we even make it to the 2024 elections without things flying apart? Will the democrats / leftist manage a way to steal the election? Will the US find itself in the early stages of a civil war / national split up? The year promises to be very bumpy, so buckle up and prepare yourselves for what is to come.

Last day of 2024 - and man what a ride. 2025 looks to be equally turbulent.

Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics

2024 saw numerous studies prove what was formerly conspiracy theory material regarding the lethal side effects of the nRNA jabs. Further, hidden reports from Pfizer and Moderna and the CDC show these side effects were known to the parties. This is the beginning of the stripping of the immunity granted by the govt under emergency conditions. Willful deception as to the safety and effectiveness of the jab.

2025 sees an attempt to find a replace plandemic for wuhan. Current front runner is the bird flu, but that isn’t gaining traction.

POLITICAL FRONT –

Last but not least, 2024 was, to say the least, dynamic. It saw Trump shake off a plethora of lawfare suits by corrupt soros-DAs and corrupt judges to force him out. By the end of the year, these suits were collapsing on the weight of the evidence and corruption of the lawyers.

He survived one active assassination attempt with two others stopped before they could attempt to fire on Trump. Leftist cheered the attempts and called for more.

It also saw the veil of MSM protective coverage pulled away from biden and in a disastrous debate with Trump, showed his total mental decline, eventually seeing him forced to step down from reelection and the very shifty switch to harris, without a single primary but a backroom democrat fiat. She outspent Trump by a factor of three, yet fell by a landslide not seen in decades.

Over the course of the last couple weeks, it has come out that biden was shielded from the world almost from day 1. His dementia so strong that meetings were either not held or called off at the last minute. Over 40 percent of his time as president were spent on ‘vacation’. The govt was essentially run by his wife and advisors.

2025 brings no relief as democrats retool and implement their efforts to derail the Trump agenda at any cost. Liberal governors and mayors are facing potential arrest should they interfere with the stated goal of mass deportations of illegals. The economy, emaciated after 4 years of biden, is shaky and a restart as potentially explosive as remixing matter / anti-matter.

Yes, 2025 could well be even more explosive than 2024.

Biden / Harris Watch –

Gladly, I’ll be able to delete this category in less than a month.

Cyber attacks/warfare – Moderate ALERT as of Dec 18, 2024

In a letter to U.S. Lawmakers, the U.S. Treasury department has revealed that they discovered a Chinese Cyber Operation on December 8, that accessed Treasury workstations using a stolen key from the third party software provider BeyondTrust. Characterized as a “Major Cybersecurity Incident,” the U.S. Treasury has said that no Classified Material was accessed and they believed that the cyber-actors no longer had access to their systems.

China –

Things are not happy in China. China has built or expanded more than 200 specialized detention facilities nationwide to interrogate suspects ensnared in Xi Jinping’s widening anti-corruption drive, a CNN investigation has found.

Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 20 -30s warming into the 40s towards the end of the forecast period.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –

Overnight Russia launched 6 Iskander-M/KN-23 missiles, 8 Kh-22 cruise missiles, 1 Kh-47M2 aero ballistic missile, 6 Kh-69 guided aviation missiles. 1 Kh-47M2 and 5 Kh-69 missiles were shot down. Also 16 Saheed UAVs were shot down

Explosion was reported in Odesa from a Kh-31P missile strike.

Russian losses on the last day of 2024 reported by the Ukrainian General Staff.

+1610 men
+5 tanks
+27 AFVs
+34 artillery systems

Overnight, Ukrainian attack drones successfully struck a large Russian fuel storage depot in Smolensk Oblast. The facility is violently burning, as Russian forces struggle to get the fire under control.

Ukraine Kursk Offensive-
In Kursk region Ukrainian forces have repelled 17 Russian army assaults, - General Staff of Armed Forces of Ukraine reports
NOTE - this is down from over 50 from a couple weeks ago.

Crimean front —
Ukrainian Military Intelligence: for the first time Magura V5 naval drone shot down Russian Mi-8 helicopter with R-73 SeaDragon missiles near occupied Crimea. Another helicopter was damaged

Multiple explosions were reported in Sevastopol from seaborne drone attacks.

Summary —
Both Russia and Ukraine gained terrain over the past few days. Russia continues to suffer high personnel losses to finish the year. Estimate of Russian casualties is close to 800K now as the year ends. Half of those casualties in 2004 alone.

biden is throwing multiple billions in aid/equipment to Ukraine as his term ends, anticipating that Trump will be shutting the valve shortly upon returning to the WH.

ISRAEL –

Key overnight developments -

- Hamas suffers major losses in N Gaza / Jabaliya

- Hamas sabotaging cease fire talks by changing hostage release standards.

——— GENERAL ——————————-

Hamas is changing the ceasefire agreement and refusing to release 12 out of the 34 hostages Israel wants freed.

——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————-

A large group of Hamas terrorists tried to sneak out of Jabaliya last night under the cover of darkness, dense fog and heavy rain.
However, the Israeli Army had prepared an ambush for them, killing nearly 100 terrorists in the ensuing battle, one of the largest ones in weeks.

——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-

Deputy Head of Hezbullah’s Political Council, Hajj Mahmoud Qamati:

“We committed to patience for 60 days, and on the 61st day, another day, and the situation will change, and the existing forces will become occupation forces, and we will deal with them on this basis”

———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————

The Israeli army confirms a ballistic missile launched from Yemen was intercepted before crossing into Israeli territory. The launch followed airstrikes by the U.S.-led coalition on Houthi targets in Hodeidah

Report from Yemen: The US military carried out two airstrikes in the Hodeidah governorate.

***
Houthi. According to some sources, weapon (missiles, drones, etc) have been transferred to residential buildings in the Sana’a area. Among other things, the weapons were transferred to the Bani al-Harith neighborhood, al-Sa’ain, and the Noqum area.

***
As I’m typing, US bombers are hitting a number of sites in Sana’a, targeting the Defense Ministry, a weapons maintenance camp, and the Al-Ardi Security Complex, according to Saudi Al-Hadath.

———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-

French Foreign Ministry: We condemn the Israeli military operations targeting hospitals in Gaza, most notably the Kamal Adwan Hospital

——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-

Hamas in N Gaza has suffered nearly 1000 losses to either capture, or killed/wounded. Operating out of the Kamal Adwan Hospital, it attempted to shield its operations. As with other instances of hospital use, there were some complaints, but as with the prior, the fact that the hospital staff not only aided Hamas, but many of its staff were senior leaders in it has dampened the complaints.

Hamas is going hardline on the hostages again. It remains to be seen what Trump may have to influence their release.

Hezbollah threatening to return to fighting after the 60 day cease fire window. Not a surprise, as they’ve been using the time to regroup and re-arm where possible. This put this into the Trump administration who will likely strongly support Israel’s efforts to eradicate any Hezbollah resurgence. This is also probably why Israel has not really pulled out of S Lebanon, as the Lebanese army has failed to disarm and remove Hezbollah elements south of the Litani River. Israel doesn’t what to have to refight for terrain already under their control. But any resumption of fighting may only be short lived for Hezbollah, facing virtually no support from Iran.

Clock is ticking on the next Israeli strike on the Houthi’s. As noted above, the Houthi’s have reportedly placed their stockpiles of rockets and drones deep into civilian area, thinking that may protect them from destruction. That tactic may work for the US/coalition forces, but as Israel has demonstrated in Gaza and Lebanon, they will strike them no matter where they are placed.

As 2024 fades and 2025 comes charging in, the dynamic change in the balance of power is expected to continue with the eventual face off between Israel and Iran. Based on Trump’s statement that he will not permit the development of an Iranian nuke, the US may strike Iran as well.

Iran is weak - from the last Israeli strike to the humiliation of the of the losses in Lebanon/Syria of Hezbollah and its dominance in the region. This makes it more likely that Israel will go after their nuke program. But as Ive said before, it is a wounded animal and may strike out at gulf states to put the global oil situation into a tailspin. Such an action would virtually guarantee US intervention under Trump.

Iran has to look internally to maintain the power of the mullahs. Failure to invest in upgrading the power grid and supply, and secure other economic basics is creating a great deal of unrest among the masses and that unrest may exceed the power of the IRGC to keep under foot.

With everything happening, Iran is a area to keep close eyes on.

Iran –

Iran appears to be seeking to foment sectarian conflict in Syria, which it could then exploit to establish proxy and partner militias there.

Iraq -

Iraqi Foreign Minister to his Syrian counterpart: Iraq is keen to return all members of its diplomatic mission to Damascus to continue their work.

***
In the past week, it has been reported that Iranian-backed militias in Iraq were nearing an Agreement with Iraqi Decision-Makers surrounding a cessation of attacks on Israel. Iraqi Officials have now confirmed that such an agreement is now in place.

However, it should be noted that this agreement doesn’t indicate a break from Iran by these militias. In the past week, the leader of the principal Iranian-backed militia in Iraq, the Popular Mobilization Units (PMU) reaffirmed their loyalty for Iran to Iranian state-media.

https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1873816879804162237?s=46&t=nfRT-Yioj0xALNzJelzFcA

Egypt –

A violent explosion rocks the Police Academy east of Cairo, with reports of deaths and injuries.

OBSERVATION - I’ve not seen more details, but on the surface this could represent terror actions by islamic sects seeking to overthrow the govt much like what happened in Syria.

Syria -

Syria: the French Air Force carried out yesterday 2 airstrikes against ISIS targets in the desert. Precise location undisclosed.

***
Fighting between SDF and Turkish backed forces continues in the northern regions of Syria.

Turkey –

Erdogan: Türkiye will take decisive steps in the coming period to achieve a “terror-free zone” (in Syria)

Misc of Note –

———— 2025 — — —
The push to get Trump elected is over and we have breathed a collective sigh of relief. 2025 the challenges will come from different sectors in different forms and we have to be vigilant in spotting them early on.
Some early areas of concern -

- Economy, sabotaged by biden and the fed
- Political sabotage by democrats and RINOs in congress

- Ever present threat of assassination still being pushed by the radical left.

- Global hotspots: Ukraine, Taiwan and Israel/Iran

- Mass deportation of illegals.

These are the top of my list, but there are many other dangerous areas to navigate thru as well such as globalism, plandemics, domestic violence/riots, etc. In many ways 2025 has the great potential to be far rougher than 2024.

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